{"id":10337,"date":"2026-10-19T20:50:55","date_gmt":"2026-10-19T18:50:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/castres-olympique-stade-francais-paris-thirteenth-hosts-sixth-and-stays-favourite\/"},"modified":"2026-10-24T19:11:26","modified_gmt":"2026-10-24T17:11:26","slug":"castres-olympique-stade-francais-paris-prediction-2026-10-24","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/rugby\/top-14\/castres-olympique-stade-francais-paris-prediction-2026-10-24\/","title":{"rendered":"Castres Olympique – Stade Fran\u00e7ais Paris: thirteenth hosts sixth, and stays favourite"},"content":{"rendered":"

“When you see some clubs with injuries and the squad they still keep, we cannot afford that”: Louis Carbonel sums up the Paris camp on the eve of their trip to Castres<\/a>. Thirteenth hosts sixth on Saturday at Pierre Fabre<\/a>, and the market has hardened since Monday: 1.57 on Castres with Betano, 2.60 on Stade Fran\u00e7ais. I keep Stade Fran\u00e7ais +3.5, taken at 1.85 on Monday with 1xbet, minimum stake.<\/p>\n

Pretoria, but with a reshuffled side<\/h2>\n

Stade Fran\u00e7ais took 56-20 at Loftus Versfeld, but the team that went to South Africa<\/a> was heavily reshuffled: Ihaia West at fly-half, first starts for Martin Blum and Aisake Manna, Scelzo as captain. West gave way in the 17th minute, replaced by Foursans-Bourdette; Scelzo left the pitch supported by two members of staff, a leg injured. The front-liners had been kept fresh for the league; the flight back still has to be paid for.<\/p>\n

Paul Gustard, extended in late September through to 2029<\/a>, is building long term and owns his rugby: his team wants five points from every match. His target of thirty points from the first six rounds stopped at fourteen.<\/p>\n

Pierre Fabre wins games for Castres, the table disagrees<\/h2>\n

Two wins from six, 29-20 on opening day then 29-27 over Toulon, and four defeats: at Perpignan, then three in a row in the league, at Clermont (20-6), at home to Toulouse (7-8), at Pau (35-26). Mathieu Babillot took the captaincy at Pau. “We are average players”, Vanverberghe let slip: the dressing room speaks straighter than the table. On Sunday the CO beat Benetton Treviso 18-9<\/a> in the Challenge Cup, with five youngsters started: Sokobale, Gurtskaia, Turpin, Dupuy, Guilhot. Sokobale came out of it with a torn triceps: operated on, out for four to five months.<\/p>\n

Against Paris, the ground works for the CO: over the last five meetings they lead three wins to two, and they won both of the ones hosted at Pierre Fabre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Date<\/th>\nWinner<\/th>\nScore<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
January 2026<\/td>\nStade Fran\u00e7ais<\/td>\n33-15<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
October 2025<\/td>\nCastres<\/td>\n29-24<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
June 2025<\/td>\nStade Fran\u00e7ais<\/td>\n21-10<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
October 2024<\/td>\nCastres<\/td>\n35-13<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
June 2024<\/td>\nCastres<\/td>\n27-18<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Stade Fran\u00e7ais only win at home<\/h2>\n

Three wins, three defeats, and a clean split: 28-26 over Perpignan, 31-10 over Lyon, 30-22 over Montpellier at Jean-Bouin; 25-16 at Clermont, 40-10 at Bordeaux, 35-32 at Bayonne on the road. Stade Fran\u00e7ais brought nothing home from their three league trips.<\/p>\n