{"id":10600,"date":"2026-10-21T12:06:24","date_gmt":"2026-10-21T10:06:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/bayern-dubai-the-favourites-return-to-munich-where-they-won-last-season\/"},"modified":"2026-10-22T22:16:23","modified_gmt":"2026-10-22T20:16:23","slug":"bayern-dubai-prediction-2026-10-22","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/bayern-dubai-prediction-2026-10-22\/","title":{"rendered":"Bayern &#8211; Dubai: the favourites return to Munich, where they won last season"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Last season Dubai beat Bayern twice, including an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/game-center\/2025-26\/fc-bayern-munich-dubai-basketball\/E2025\/311\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">87-74 at the SAP Garden in March<\/a>. On Thursday, Pascual\u2019s side are back in Munich, and the market has made them favourites: 1.65 with Unibet on Wednesday, against an opening 1.70.<\/p>\n<h2>A rested Bayern against the wave<\/h2>\n<p>Bayern have not played a EuroLeague game since 16 October, an 87-95 defeat at Besiktas, and sit on two wins from six rounds. At home, the SAP Garden has protected nobody: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/standings\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">0-2 in the EuroLeague<\/a>, 15th in the standings. Their most recent outing was an emphatic 85-63 German Cup win at the Hamburg Towers on 18 October. The rest is real, and so are the returning bodies: Jensen, Jokubaitis and Voigtmann, absent from the sheet in the last European round, all played in the Cup at the weekend.<\/p>\n<p>Dubai are the opposite: 4-2, back-to-back EuroLeague road wins at Baskonia and then Milan, 101-97 behind 29 points from Bacon, plus an ABA League still perfect, 108-90 over SC Derby on Monday. <a href=\"https:\/\/gulfnews.com\/sport\/dubai-basketball-continue-perfect-aba-league-record-with-win-over-sc-derby-1.500716775\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Pascual said as much after that game<\/a>: now for the European away trip to Munich.<\/p>\n<h2>A fifth-ranked defence against a turnover problem<\/h2>\n<p>The style of the game writes itself. Dubai own the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/news\/tae2627-rs7-game-facts-mun-dub\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">fifth-best defence in the league<\/a> (82.2 points conceded) and Europe\u2019s third top scorer in Bacon, 17.8 a night; Bayern remain the most generous team with the ball, <a href=\"https:\/\/fcbayern.com\/basketball\/en\/news\/2026-27\/10\/game-report-anadolu-efes-istanbul-fc-bayern-basketball\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">as Gavel admitted himself after the win in Istanbul<\/a>. Washington answers off the bench at 16.8 points per game, the sixth-best tally in the competition.<\/p>\n<p>No injury is confirmed on either side: the daily reports have not been filed yet. Dubai travel with their usual doubts, Musa (knee) and Anderson (hamstring) have yet to play this season; the sources disagree on Musa, doubtful rather than ruled out. Bayern list no injured player.<\/p>\n<h2>The bet: three and a half points against the wave<\/h2>\n<p>The main line has settled at 3.5 points; I will take it at 2.00 with 888Sport. I give Bayern a 52% chance of winning or losing by three or fewer, barely more than the coin flip the price implies.<\/p>\n<p>I prefer the points to the outright: at 2.50, Bayern would have to beat the form team in Europe, whose price has already shortened since the open. With +3.5, the bet survives a narrow defeat: a home win, or a loss by one, two or three points, all of it lands. Four points or more erase it, $25 down for $25 up.<\/p>\n<p>0.25 units, the minimum: my edge on the market is thin, and the <a href=\"\/en\/tools\/kelly-calculator\/\">staking method<\/a> does not flatter close reads. The bet joins the <a href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/record\/\">public record<\/a> for what it is: a contrarian position at a small price. 18+. Only bet what you can afford to lose.<\/p>\n<h2>107-91: the wave takes the SAP Garden<\/h2>\n<p>Dubai Basketball win 107-91 in Munich: sixteen points apart, and my +3.5 line finished nowhere near. A third straight road win for Pascual&#8217;s team, after Baskonia and Milan, and 107 points scored, twenty-five above their season average. The boxscore is in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/game-center\/2026-27\/fc-bayern-munich-dubai-basketball\/E2026\/65\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">official game center<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Bayern played their score, 91 points, four above their own average. Their defence conceded 107, and the SAP Garden stays at 0-3 in the EuroLeague. Taken on Wednesday at 2.00, the line closed at the same price: the market stuck to its read to the end. The $25 of the minimum stake join the public record.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dubai Basketball win 107-91 at the SAP Garden, a third straight road win. My Bayern +3.5 taken at 2.00 is lost: $25 to the public record.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":11247,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Bayern Munich vs Dubai: the form team arrives in Munich as favourites. Prediction: I take Bayern +3.5 at 2.00 with 888Sport, minimum stake.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Bayern","ba_away_name":"Dubai","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-22 18:00:00","ba_venue":"SAP Garden","ba_match_key":"api-sports:basketball:508646","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[25,96],"class_list":["post-10600","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-basketball-en","ba_sport-euroleague-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bayern &#8211; Dubai: the favourites return to Munich, where they won last season &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bayern Munich vs Dubai: the form team arrives in Munich as favourites. 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