{"id":10969,"date":"2026-10-22T11:37:41","date_gmt":"2026-10-22T09:37:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/olympiacos-fenerbahce-the-favourite-comes-off-two-overtimes-the-visitors-arrive-at-full-strength\/"},"modified":"2026-10-23T23:14:17","modified_gmt":"2026-10-23T21:14:17","slug":"olympiacos-fenerbahce-prediction-2026-10-23","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/olympiacos-fenerbahce-prediction-2026-10-23\/","title":{"rendered":"Olympiacos &#8211; Fenerbahce: the favourite comes off two overtimes, the visitors arrive at full strength"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Olympiacos come off two overtime wins, 102-97 in Valencia and 105-100 in Barcelona, with more than 100 points scored each time. Ten extra minutes on the legs across two nights, a squad wearing thin, and opposite them a Fenerbahce at full strength: that is the match.<\/p>\n<p>The market has already picked a side: Fenerbahce traded at 2.90 on the open and sit at 2.35 on Thursday evening. More surprising: Olympiacos hardened through the day, their win shortening from 1.78 to 1.70 and the main handicap from -2.5 to -3, even as their absences were being confirmed.<\/p>\n<h2>Three teams at 5-1, including these two<\/h2>\n<p>Three clubs share the <a href=\"https:\/\/mediacentre.euroleague.net\/uploads\/EuroleagueCore\/pastmatchups\/game19231.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">top of the standings<\/a> at 5-1: Panathinaikos, Fenerbahce on +54, Olympiacos on +40. The only Greek defeat came in Bologna in round three; Fenerbahce fell at Panathinaikos, then saw off Zalgiris and Partizan.<\/p>\n<h2>Fournier and Dorsey out, Montero in the balance<\/h2>\n<p>Thursday&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/news\/injury-report-round-7-fantasy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">official report<\/a> settled what the announcement left open: Evan Fournier (11.3 points a game) and Tyler Dorsey, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eurohoops.net\/en\/euroleague\/2020894\/olympiacos-excludes-dorsey-from-game-vs-barcelona\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">dropped by the club<\/a> since Barcelona, are ruled out for Friday, the club has confirmed. At the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/news\/pregame-quotes-round-7-el2627\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pre-game press conference<\/a>, Bartzokas put it plainly: \u201cWe are short-handed in the backcourt.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Montero, a sprained right ankle and a ligament issue in his left knee, has not returned to practice: a decision at the last minute. Milutinov, whose back kept him out of round six, appears on no absence list and his coach counts him among the available.<\/p>\n<p>Opposite them, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ensondakika.com.tr\/fenerbahce-tarfin-basketbol-avrupa-ligi-nde-yarin-olympiakos-a-konuk-olacak\/724326\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Fenerbahce<\/a> have filed no report: the squad was complete last round, and Shane Larkin made his season debut in round five.<\/p>\n<h2>The record smiles on the Greeks, narrowly<\/h2>\n<p>Over the last two meetings Olympiacos had the last word, and last season each side won at home:<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Occasion<\/th>\n<th>Winner<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>2026 SuperCup semi-final<\/td>\n<td>Olympiacos<\/td>\n<td>92-90<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>2026 Final Four semi-final<\/td>\n<td>Olympiacos<\/td>\n<td>79-61<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>EuroLeague, in Istanbul (January)<\/td>\n<td>Fenerbahce<\/td>\n<td>88-80<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>EuroLeague, in Piraeus<\/td>\n<td>Olympiacos<\/td>\n<td>104-87<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Since 2000 the overall record between the clubs reads 20-19 to Olympiacos. Nothing decisive, but a backdrop: these teams know each other by heart.<\/p>\n<h2>I&#8217;m taking Fenerbahce +2.5 at 2.05<\/h2>\n<p>At BetMGM, Fenerbahce +2.5 still trades at 2.05: my entry price, to the cent. The main line has moved to -3, where Fenerbahce +3 pays only 1.91: the market gives back half a point and charges for it. I stay at 54 % on my line; the value is still there, in the line rather than the straight win.<\/p>\n<p>Fenerbahce win, or lose by one or two points: the bet wins $131.25. A defeat by three points or more: $125 lost. Overtime included. The stake is 1.25 units: the gap between my read and the market&#8217;s is clear, the <a href=\"\/en\/tools\/kelly-calculator\/\">Kelly logic<\/a> does the rest, and my <a href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/record\/\">public record<\/a> will follow this bet. 18+. Only bet what you can afford to lose.<\/p>\n<h2>61-64: Fenerbahce finally get their first road win<\/h2>\n<p>A full-strength Fenerbahce win 61-64 in Piraeus, where they had taken nothing this season. The Olympiacos of back-to-back overtimes could not keep it going: after 102 points in Valencia and 105 in Barcelona, without Fournier and Dorsey, the Greek attack falls back to 61 at home.<\/p>\n<p>My Fenerbahce +2.5 at 2.05 with BetMGM never needed the line: a clean three-point win, five and a half to spare. Taken at 2.05, the bet closed at 1.88, the market following the same way through the evening. $131.25 net on a $125 stake, 1.25 units on the public record.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fenerbahce win 61-64 in Piraeus for a first road win of the season: my +2.5 at 2.05 with BetMGM lands with five and a half points to spare, $131.25 net on the public record.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":11634,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Olympiacos, missing Fournier and Dorsey, host a Fenerbahce side at 5-1 with no absence declared. Prediction: Fenerbahce +2.5 at 2.05 with BetMGM.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Olympiacos","ba_away_name":"Fenerbahce","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-23 18:15:00","ba_venue":"Peace and Friendship Stadium","ba_match_key":"api-sports:basketball:508650","ba_featured":true,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[25,96],"class_list":["post-10969","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-basketball-en","ba_sport-euroleague-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Olympiacos &#8211; Fenerbahce: the favourite comes off two overtimes, the visitors arrive at full strength &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Olympiacos, missing Fournier and Dorsey, host a Fenerbahce side at 5-1 with no absence declared. 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