{"id":12738,"date":"2026-10-27T22:36:57","date_gmt":"2026-10-27T21:36:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/sasnovich-vs-shnaider-the-qualifier-plays-her-fourth-match-in-five-days\/"},"modified":"2026-10-27T23:03:37","modified_gmt":"2026-10-27T22:03:37","slug":"sasnovich-shnaider-prediction-2026-10-28","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/tennis\/wta\/sasnovich-shnaider-prediction-2026-10-28\/","title":{"rendered":"Sasnovich vs Shnaider: the qualifier plays her fourth match in five days"},"content":{"rendered":"

On Saturday, Aliaksandra Sasnovich beat Y. Starodubtseva in the first round of Tokyo qualifying. On Sunday, she saw off Kamilla Rakhimova to reach the main draw. On Tuesday, she needed three sets against Nikola Bartunkova<\/a> on a side court. On Wednesday, the world number 122 is scheduled third on Center Court<\/a>, not before early afternoon: a fourth match in five days, against a third seed who has not played here yet.<\/p>\n

Diana Shnaider’s week looks nothing like it: beaten in the Ningbo semi-final on Saturday by E. Rybakina<\/a> (3-6 5-7), the third seed collected a bye in Tokyo and has not set foot on the Ariake courts in a match this week. Fresh legs, no rhythm found here yet.<\/p>\n

Sasnovich is playing above her ranking<\/h2>\n

The qualifier still arrives in good spirits: seven wins in her last ten matches, a clean victory over D. Kasatkina in Ningbo last week, two qualifying rounds won here without dropping a set. For a fortnight she has been winning matches nobody gives her. The counterweight sits in her load: 108 games played in seven days, and a fatigue that usually surfaces in the long games of a second set.<\/p>\n

Their last few weeks, side by side:<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Date<\/th>\nPlayer<\/th>\nRound<\/th>\nScore<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
27\/10<\/td>\nA. Sasnovich<\/td>\n1st round, Tokyo<\/td>\n6-4 6-7 6-3 vs N. Bartunkova<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
25\/10<\/td>\nA. Sasnovich<\/td>\nQualifying, Tokyo<\/td>\n6-4 6-4 vs K. Rakhimova<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
24\/10<\/td>\nA. Sasnovich<\/td>\nQualifying, Tokyo<\/td>\n6-4 7-5 vs Y. Starodubtseva<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
24\/10<\/td>\nD. Shnaider<\/td>\nSemi-final, Ningbo<\/td>\n3-6 5-7 vs E. Rybakina<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23\/10<\/td>\nD. Shnaider<\/td>\nQuarter-final, Ningbo<\/td>\n6-3 4-6 6-1 vs I. Jovic<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21\/10<\/td>\nA. Sasnovich<\/td>\nLast 16, Ningbo<\/td>\n5-7 7-6 3-6 vs L. Fernandez<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Two similar serves, very different opponents<\/h2>\n

Across the last ten matches, the service games won look close: 74.0% for Shnaider, 70.6% for Sasnovich, with return games converted almost identical (42.6% against 41.4%). The appearance misleads: Sasnovich’s run includes a Challenger in Suzhou and two qualifying rounds, while Shnaider was playing Ningbo quarter-finals and semi-finals. The same percentage does not describe the same tennis.<\/p>\n