{"id":12753,"date":"2026-10-27T22:39:24","date_gmt":"2026-10-27T21:39:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/eala-vs-gibson-i-take-gibson-4-5-games-at-1-83\/"},"modified":"2026-10-27T23:03:52","modified_gmt":"2026-10-27T22:03:52","slug":"eala-gibson-prediction-2026-10-28","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/tennis\/wta\/eala-gibson-prediction-2026-10-28\/","title":{"rendered":"Eala vs Gibson: I take Gibson +4.5 games at 1.83"},"content":{"rendered":"

On Monday, Alexandra Eala settled wild card Mika Stojsavljevic in 75 minutes, 6-1 6-2, with 68% first serves and just one game facing break points, a 0-40 saved<\/a>. With Chwalinska and Bencic both withdrawing, her draw has opened up, and on Wednesday the eighth seed waits for Talia Gibson on Center Court<\/a>. The favourite is logical; the margin looks far less clear to me.<\/p>\n

The nuance sits in Monday’s opponent. Stojsavljevic, ranked 411th, was playing her first main-draw match at WTA level: a 6-1 6-2 against her tells us little about the margin against a tour regular. The same day, Gibson knocked out qualifier Daria Kasatkina, ranked 74th, 6-0 7-5. On Monday alone, Gibson beat the better player.<\/p>\n

Their last two weeks, side by side:<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Date<\/th>\nPlayer<\/th>\nRound<\/th>\nScore<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
26\/10<\/td>\nA. Eala<\/td>\n1st round, Tokyo<\/td>\n6-1 6-2 vs M. Stojsavljevic<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
26\/10<\/td>\nT. Gibson<\/td>\n1st round, Tokyo<\/td>\n6-0 7-5 vs D. Kasatkina<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23\/10<\/td>\nT. Gibson<\/td>\nQuarter-final, Osaka<\/td>\n1-6 3-6 vs A. Krueger<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22\/10<\/td>\nA. Eala<\/td>\nLast 16, Ningbo<\/td>\n5-7 4-6 vs D. Shnaider<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21\/10<\/td>\nT. Gibson<\/td>\nLast 16, Osaka<\/td>\n6-2 6-1 vs S. Kraus<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10\/10<\/td>\nT. Gibson<\/td>\nSemi-final, Wuhan<\/td>\n5-7 0-6 vs S. Sorribes Tormo<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Two serves at the same level, a gap elsewhere<\/h2>\n

Across their last ten matches, the service games won are nearly identical: 66.1% for Gibson, 64.3% for Eala, and the return games converted run close too. The ranking separates them: 20th in the world for the Filipino, 42nd for the Australian. Their previous meetings as well: Eala leads 2-0, two ITF duels in 2023.<\/p>\n

Eala knows her opponent: a big hitter and a big fighter<\/a>, in her words before this last sixteen. That is the profile that keeps a set alive even when behind, and this match is no 6-1 6-2 waiting to happen.<\/p>\n

The load sits on Gibson’s side<\/h2>\n

Gibson’s last ten matches fit in five weeks: a Singapore final at the end of September, Beijing, a Wuhan semi-final, three matches in Osaka, then Tokyo from Monday. Eala has played two matches in seven days and given the doubles a miss<\/a> to play singles only. The wear should tilt the match one way; on Monday, though, the Australian showed no heavy legs, and her opening 6-0 against Kasatkina was the cleanest set of her week.<\/p>\n