{"id":12881,"date":"2026-10-27T23:41:41","date_gmt":"2026-10-27T22:41:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/hurkacz-vs-rune-an-89-serve-meets-an-eleven-month-comeback\/"},"modified":"2026-10-27T23:41:51","modified_gmt":"2026-10-27T22:41:51","slug":"hurkacz-rune-prediction-2026-10-28","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/tennis\/atp\/hurkacz-rune-prediction-2026-10-28\/","title":{"rendered":"Hurkacz vs Rune: an 89% serve meets an eleven-month comeback"},"content":{"rendered":"

On Monday in Basel Holger Rune won his first match in eleven months: 6-4, 6-7, 7-6 over Quentin Halys, in 2 hr 39, after absorbing 32 aces<\/a>. On Wednesday he backs it up against Hubert Hurkacz, who beat Zizou Bergs on Tuesday. The Dane has not chosen the gentle road back.<\/p>\n

Rune is coming back from a long way<\/h2>\n

Injured in the Achilles tendon in Stockholm in October 2025, Rune spent eleven months off the tour. His return dates from the Davis Cup in mid-September, two wins over Bulgaria; since then he lost his openers in Tokyo and Shanghai, then pulled out of Brussels ten days ago with his back locked, with nothing serious on the scans<\/a>. The win over Halys is his first on tour since the injury, and it took him two hours thirty-nine. He has also beaten Hurkacz in their only meeting<\/a>, in Paris in 2022, before everything that has happened to both of them.<\/p>\n

In Basel Rune is at home: a final in 2022, semi-finals in 2023 and 2024, 11 wins in 14 matches. It is the one place on tour where his comeback looks like a matter of course.<\/p>\n

Hurkacz’s serve is the data of the match<\/h2>\n

The Pole holds 89% of his service games over his last ten matches, a fast-room figure. His season adds up to two retirements, at Wimbledon and in the Beijing semi-final, and solid results everywhere else: the Chengdu final, a Shanghai quarter-final after a win over Djokovic, and the Bergs win on Tuesday. He says himself that his form is really very good<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Their recent matches:<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Player<\/th>\nDate<\/th>\nTournament<\/th>\nOpponent<\/th>\nResult<\/th>\nScore<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
H. Hurkacz<\/td>\n27\/10<\/td>\nBasel, first round<\/td>\nZ. Bergs<\/td>\nW<\/td>\n3-6 6-3 6-4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
H. Hurkacz<\/td>\n13\/10<\/td>\nShanghai, last 16<\/td>\nA. Davidovich Fokina<\/td>\nL<\/td>\n6-1 3-6 6-7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
H. Hurkacz<\/td>\n11\/10<\/td>\nShanghai, second round<\/td>\nY. Zhou<\/td>\nW<\/td>\n6-2 3-6 6-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
H. Hurkacz<\/td>\n09\/10<\/td>\nShanghai, first round<\/td>\nN. Djokovic<\/td>\nW<\/td>\n6-4 6-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
H. Rune<\/td>\n26\/10<\/td>\nBasel, first round<\/td>\nQ. Halys<\/td>\nW<\/td>\n6-4 6-7 7-6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
H. Rune<\/td>\n07\/10<\/td>\nShanghai, first round<\/td>\nD. Altmaier<\/td>\nL<\/td>\n6-1 6-7 4-6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
H. Rune<\/td>\n01\/10<\/td>\nTokyo, first round<\/td>\nK. Jacquet<\/td>\nL<\/td>\n3-6 1-6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Three things to watch:<\/p>\n