{"id":13617,"date":"2026-10-28T19:37:28","date_gmt":"2026-10-28T18:37:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/chelsea-vs-manchester-united-crisis-on-one-side-absentees-on-the-other\/"},"modified":"2026-10-28T19:37:39","modified_gmt":"2026-10-28T18:37:39","slug":"chelsea-manchester-united-prediction-2026-10-31","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/football\/premier-league\/chelsea-manchester-united-prediction-2026-10-31\/","title":{"rendered":"Chelsea vs Manchester United: crisis on one side, absentees on the other"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Both teams lost last weekend, two very different problems. United are picking up the pieces of a 0-3 home defeat to Bournemouth: 16th place, one win in eight league games, a coach kept on while the press already names his successors. Chelsea, fifth, have absentees to manage and nothing else.<\/p>\n<h2>At United, the crisis precedes the match<\/h2>\n<p>Carrick remains in post for the trip to Stamford Bridge, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/sport\/football\/articles\/crlykgeqzypyo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">as the BBC confirmed on Tuesday<\/a>, while the press reports crisis meetings and names Howe and Nagelsmann as possible successors. On the pitch, the 0-3 against Bournemouth was a sixth defeat in twelve matches; United sit one point above the relegation zone. Bruno Fernandes has lived the week differently: benched against Bournemouth after his criticism, then a clear-the-air talk with his coach.<\/p>\n<h2>At Chelsea, the absentees arrive at the worst time<\/h2>\n<p>Chelsea also lost, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.chelseafc.com\/en\/match\/chelsea-vs-tottenham-hotspur-english-premier-league-2026-10-24\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">0-2 to Tottenham<\/a>: an own goal from Penders, then, down to ten after Palmer&#8217;s red card, Tel&#8217;s goal. Alonso has to rebuild an attack without his two most creative players, and the rotation starts on Wednesday evening at Anfield, in the Carabao Cup: the coach is already <a href=\"https:\/\/www.standard.co.uk\/sport\/football\/chelsea-fc-xi-vs-liverpool-confirmed-team-news-predicted-lineup-injury-latest-carabao-cup-b1302517.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">thinking about United&#8217;s visit on Saturday<\/a>.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Palmer is suspended (a second yellow against Spurs); Joao Pedro (thigh) will be <a href=\"https:\/\/www.football.london\/chelsea-fc\/news\/breaking-alonso-chelsea-injury-news-34824080\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">out for a few weeks<\/a>, according to Alonso.<\/li>\n<li>Martinez (jaw) and James (knee) are unavailable; Chavarria remains a doubt.<\/li>\n<li>Emegha, back from the hamstring injury picked up in July, rejoins the group.<\/li>\n<li>United travel without Sesko (tibia) and Shaw; Rashford (hip) is a major doubt, and Mainoo only returned to full training on Wednesday.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Last April at the Bridge, a warning<\/h2>\n<p>United have won the last two league meetings, including 0-1 at Stamford Bridge in April. The memory stings; the present flatters less: four away trips without a win this season, across all competitions. The head-to-head:<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Competition<\/th>\n<th>Fixture<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>18 April 2026<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>Chelsea &#8211; Manchester United<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>20 September 2025<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>Manchester United &#8211; Chelsea<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>16 May 2025<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>Chelsea &#8211; Manchester United<\/td>\n<td>1-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>3 November 2024<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>Manchester United &#8211; Chelsea<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>4 April 2024<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>Chelsea &#8211; Manchester United<\/td>\n<td>4-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Across the last five meetings, two wins each and a draw. Chelsea&#8217;s favouritism rests on the present, not on the past.<\/p>\n<h2>Chelsea to win, at the price of honesty<\/h2>\n<p>I make Chelsea&#8217;s win 52% likely, against the market&#8217;s 52.3%: no net edge, and at 1.902 with 1xbet this week, the odds have said their piece. The site prices the stake at the bare minimum (the <a href=\"\/en\/tools\/kelly-calculator\/\">Kelly calculator<\/a> shows the method), 0.25 units, $25 for a $22.55 gain if Chelsea win; a draw or a United win takes the $25. Like every bet, this one goes on my <a href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/record\/\">public record<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>My winning scenario holds together: a squad spared in the cup, an attack Emegha can lead on his return, and an opponent shipping goals everywhere. My losing scenario has happened once already: a low block, one move, 0-1, last April. 18+. Only bet what you can afford to lose.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Both teams lost last weekend, but not in the same state: United sit 16th, one win in eight, with a coach kept on amid crisis talk. Without the suspended Palmer and the injured Joao Pedro, I take Chelsea to win at 1.902: minimum stake, the market has this one right.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":13618,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction for 31 October: odds, team news and analysis. I take Chelsea to win at 1.902, minimum stake, no net edge.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Chelsea","ba_away_name":"Manchester United","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-31 12:30:00","ba_venue":"Stamford Bridge","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1557450","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[20,71],"class_list":["post-13617","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football-en","ba_sport-premier-league-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Chelsea vs Manchester United: crisis on one side, absentees on the other &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction for 31 October: odds, team news and analysis. 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He follows Ligue 1 and the European competitions most closely.","url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/authors\/lucas-morel\/","knowsAbout":["Football","Ligue 1 and European competitions"]}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ba_match\/13617","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ba_match"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/ba_match"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ba_match\/13617\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13619,"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ba_match\/13617\/revisions\/13619"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13618"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13617"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"ba_sport","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ba_sport?post=13617"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}