{"id":16983,"date":"2026-11-04T22:36:56","date_gmt":"2026-11-04T21:36:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/nottingham-forest-manchester-city-the-wounded-favourite-visits-a-goalless-city-ground\/"},"modified":"2026-11-04T22:37:11","modified_gmt":"2026-11-04T21:37:11","slug":"nottingham-forest-manchester-city-prediction-2026-11-07","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/football\/premier-league\/nottingham-forest-manchester-city-prediction-2026-11-07\/","title":{"rendered":"Nottingham Forest &#8211; Manchester City: the wounded favourite visits a goalless City Ground"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>After the defeat at Brentford (0-2), Oliver Glasner gave his squad the choice: buy into the project or leave. A group meeting followed on Sunday, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/football\/2026\/11\/02\/oliver-glasner-marinakis-player-backing-nottingham-forest\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the English press report<\/a> the players stayed behind their head coach, the sixth Nottingham have had in a year. Saturday brings the answer on the pitch, against a top-of-the-table side that has not won since 20 October.<\/p>\n<h2>Not a single goal at the City Ground all season<\/h2>\n<p>Nottingham Forest sit 19th, six points from nine games, five league matches without a win. At home it is bleaker: no victory, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nottinghampost.com\/sport\/football\/football-news\/nottingham-forest-injury-news-jesus-11226689\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">no goal at the City Ground since the season began<\/a>. Coventry and Arsenal both won there by the same score, 0-1. This Forest keeps games tight for a long time, then never finds the goal that opens them.<\/p>\n<h2>City score everywhere and stop winning<\/h2>\n<p>City&#8217;s problem runs the other way: they score, they do not win. Their only two defeats of the season, both in the league, came back to back in late October, and Leipzig held them to a draw on Wednesday (2-2). Enzo Maresca <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/sport\/football\/erling-haaland-man-city-enzo-maresca-b3078605.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">has warned his squad<\/a> about over-reliance on Erling Haaland and speaks about managing his players three days before kick-off. Phil Foden, who started in Leipzig on Wednesday after his suspension, is available.<\/p>\n<p>Both treatment rooms are busy:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Forest: Savona (knee, only just back running on the grass) and Ndoye (muscle) out; Igor Jesus (calf) doubtful, with Glasner reluctant to risk him just before a two-week break.<\/li>\n<li>Forest again: Dominguez (muscle) should be ready, according to Glasner.<\/li>\n<li>City: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mancity.com\/news\/club\/monday-marker-2-november-2026-63929148\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Semenyo (knee)<\/a> still without a return date; Doku (calf) doubtful; Nunes back in training but listed as doubtful.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The Thursday and Friday press conferences will sharpen this picture.<\/p>\n<h2>The last ten results, line by line<\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Team<\/th>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Opponent<\/th>\n<th>Competition<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Forest<\/td>\n<td>31\/10<\/td>\n<td>Brentford (A)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Forest<\/td>\n<td>23\/10<\/td>\n<td>Ipswich (A)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Forest<\/td>\n<td>18\/10<\/td>\n<td>Arsenal (H)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Forest<\/td>\n<td>11\/10<\/td>\n<td>Crystal Palace (A)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>1-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Forest<\/td>\n<td>19\/09<\/td>\n<td>Coventry (H)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>City<\/td>\n<td>04\/11<\/td>\n<td>RB Leipzig (A)<\/td>\n<td>Champions League<\/td>\n<td>2-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>City<\/td>\n<td>31\/10<\/td>\n<td>Brighton (H)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>City<\/td>\n<td>28\/10<\/td>\n<td>Brighton (H)<\/td>\n<td>Carabao Cup<\/td>\n<td>2-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>City<\/td>\n<td>24\/10<\/td>\n<td>Aston Villa (A)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>1-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>City<\/td>\n<td>20\/10<\/td>\n<td>AEK Athens (H)<\/td>\n<td>Champions League<\/td>\n<td>5-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Read together, the two runs tell the story: Forest scored in all three away games above, never at home; City scored in all five, and have not won any of the last four.<\/p>\n<h2>At 1.78 the market keeps its cool<\/h2>\n<p>A City win pays 1.78 with 1xbet, against 1.73 at the opening: the market has given a little ground back to the favourite this week. Forest are 4.75, the draw 4.27. At 1.78, the market gives City a bit more than a one-in-two chance. I make it 58 per cent: a small gap, and the stake reflects it.<\/p>\n<h2>My bet: City, 0.25 units and no more<\/h2>\n<p>I take Manchester City to win, at 1.78 with 1xbet, for 0.25 units, $25. The table convinces me, the freshness holds me back: I give them a 58 per cent chance of winning it. The stake is small because the edge is small.<\/p>\n<p>I keep it on the straight win rather than a handicap: the City Ground has already seen Forest beat City 1-0, in March 2025, and the last meeting at the Etihad finished 2-2. If City win in normal time, the bet returns $19.45; a draw or a Forest win costs $25. The units are worked out on our <a href=\"\/en\/tools\/kelly-calculator\/\">staking calculator<\/a>, and the result will go into my <a href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/record\/\">public record<\/a>. 18+. Only bet what you can afford to lose.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Two league defeats and a midweek draw in Leipzig in their legs: Manchester City remain favourites at a Forest side 19th in the table and without a home goal all season. I take City to win at 1.78, small.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":16984,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City prediction: the wounded favourite meets a host side with no home goals. My tip: City to win at 1.78, small stake.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Nottingham Forest","ba_away_name":"Manchester City","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-11-07 17:30:00","ba_venue":"City Ground","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1557465","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[20,71],"class_list":["post-16983","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football-en","ba_sport-premier-league-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Nottingham Forest &#8211; Manchester City: the wounded favourite visits a goalless City Ground &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City prediction: the wounded favourite meets a host side with no home goals. 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