{"id":17342,"date":"2026-11-05T18:49:18","date_gmt":"2026-11-05T17:49:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/sunderland-v-chelsea-a-three-match-week-for-sunderland-a-week-of-rest-for-chelsea\/"},"modified":"2026-11-05T18:49:31","modified_gmt":"2026-11-05T17:49:31","slug":"sunderland-chelsea-prediction-2026-11-08","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/football\/premier-league\/sunderland-chelsea-prediction-2026-11-08\/","title":{"rendered":"Sunderland v Chelsea: a three-match week for Sunderland, a week of rest for Chelsea"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This fixture was meant for Saturday; it was pushed to Sunday <a href=\"https:\/\/www.premierleague.com\/en\/news\/4725574\/fixture-amendments-for-premier-league-matches-in-november\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">because Sunderland host Dinamo Zagreb on Thursday night<\/a>, in the Europa League. Three matches in eight days for the side propping up the table, while Chelsea, resting since Sunday&#8217;s win over Manchester United, have done nothing but train.<\/p>\n<h2>Winless since 30 August, and a dressing room boiling over<\/h2>\n<p>Sunderland&#8217;s last Premier League win came on 30 August, 1-0 against Fulham. Since then: draws, defeats, and a trip to Coventry (1-3) that brought the dressing room to a boil. Granit Xhaka said that, as things stand, there is \u201cno chance to win any game\u201d; Nordi Mukiele pointed at the squad&#8217;s standards; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sunderlandecho.com\/sport\/football\/sunderland-afc\/standards-regis-le-bris-responds-to-granit-xhaka-and-nordi-mukiele-comments-amid-sunderlands-poor-form-9329433\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">R\u00e9gis Le Bris answered<\/a> by pointing at a pressing game that failed at Coventry, and the club still backs him. Five points from nine rounds, twentieth place: the table matches the mood.<\/p>\n<p>The squad keeps thinning, too: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.safc.com\/news\/2026\/november\/04\/l--bris-provides-team-news-ahead-of-dinamo-zagreb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Habib Diarra (muscle) is out for roughly six weeks<\/a>, Romain Mundle as well, and Dan Ballard (hamstring) is not expected back before mid-December; Chemsdine Talbi has been added to the Europa League group to make up the numbers.<\/p>\n<h2>Chelsea rested, but hardly whole<\/h2>\n<p>Chelsea, fourth on sixteen points, have not played since the 2-0 against Manchester United on 31 October, a match in which Lavia, on for a sick Henderson, was named man of the match. Xabi Alonso has had the week to prepare this trip; the treatment room has stayed busy:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsmole.co.uk\/football\/chelsea\/injury-news\/injuries-and-suspensions\/martinez-pedro-hato-latest-chelsea-injury-suspension-list-vs-sunderland_608400.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">out<\/a>: Reece James (knee, until January), Joao Pedro (thigh, not before 21 November), Lacroix (hamstring) and Gittens (ankle);<\/li>\n<li>doubts: Hato (back), Emi Martinez (jaw, back in training), Henderson (illness) and Caicedo, who was not seen at Wednesday&#8217;s session;<\/li>\n<li>in the running: Quenda (muscle) is fighting to be involved.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Two meetings, two Chelsea defeats<\/h2>\n<p>Recent history embarrasses the favourite: Sunderland have beaten Chelsea in the last two meetings, 2-1 at the Stadium of Light last May and 2-1 at Stamford Bridge in October 2025. Before that, the balance swung the other way. The last five meetings:<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Match<\/th>\n<th>Competition<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>24\/05\/2026<\/td>\n<td>Sunderland &#8211; Chelsea<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>25\/10\/2025<\/td>\n<td>Chelsea &#8211; Sunderland<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>1-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>21\/05\/2017<\/td>\n<td>Chelsea &#8211; Sunderland<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>5-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>14\/12\/2016<\/td>\n<td>Sunderland &#8211; Chelsea<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>07\/05\/2016<\/td>\n<td>Sunderland &#8211; Chelsea<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>3-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>The bet: Chelsea to win, minimum stake<\/h2>\n<p>Chelsea are at 2.06 with 1xbet, tightened from an opening 2.15: the market has piled onto the Blues. I take Chelsea to win in regulation time at 2.06: a win pays +$26.60 net on a $25 stake; a draw or a Sunderland win loses the stake. I give Chelsea 50%; the odds imply barely more than 48.<\/p>\n<p>The scenario: a week of freshness against a team at the end of an eight-day run, a Sunderland block that already broke three times at Coventry. The losing scenario: the Stadium of Light on a big night, a low block that holds for ninety minutes and carries the game on emotion.<\/p>\n<p>0.25 units, the minimum stake. The last two head-to-heads went to Sunderland and Chelsea&#8217;s treatment room is long: once my probability is blended with the market&#8217;s, the edge does not make two points. I take the bet, and I do not inflate it. The <a href=\"\/en\/tools\/kelly-calculator\/\">Kelly calculator<\/a> shows the sizing, and my <a href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/record\/\">public record<\/a> follows it match after match. 18+, only bet what you can afford to lose.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bottom of the table and winless since 30 August, Sunderland play their third match in eight days; Chelsea have not played since Sunday. I am taking Chelsea at 2.06, minimum stake: the edge is thin.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":17343,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Sunderland, bottom of the Premier League, host Chelsea on Sunday: team news on both sides, market read and my prediction, a Chelsea win at 2.06 with 1xbet.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Sunderland","ba_away_name":"Chelsea","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-11-08 14:00:00","ba_venue":"Stadium of Light","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1557466","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[20,71],"class_list":["post-17342","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football-en","ba_sport-premier-league-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Sunderland v Chelsea: a three-match week for Sunderland, a week of rest for Chelsea &#183; 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