{"id":2385,"date":"2026-09-29T23:34:57","date_gmt":"2026-09-29T21:34:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/virtus-bologna-olympiacos-prediction-2026-10-01\/"},"modified":"2026-10-01T23:13:11","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T21:13:11","slug":"virtus-bologna-olympiacos-prediction-2026-10-01","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/virtus-bologna-olympiacos-prediction-2026-10-01\/","title":{"rendered":"Five games in seven days: Olympiacos land at Virtus Bologna without Milutinov"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Georgios Bartzokas did not mince his words on Monday: &#8220;5 games in 7 days. For me, that&#8217;s not normal&#8230; we haven&#8217;t had a single training session.&#8221; On Thursday his Olympiacos, the reigning champions at 2-0, visit Virtus Bologna for round three of the EuroLeague. At 1.25 with Betano on Wednesday, the market still sees only one winner. My line sits elsewhere: eight and a half points of cushion for the home side.<\/p>\n<h2>Piraeus win everywhere, but their legs are counting the games<\/h2>\n<p>106-89 at Baskonia to open the season, then 93-91 in Kaunas on Tuesday: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.olympiacosbc.gr\/en\/news\/news\/19753-dunston-i-want-to-bring-energy-and-experience-video.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Fournier 19 points, Vezenkov 18, Montero 15 points and 7 assists<\/a>. The results keep coming, the legs a little less so. Between the two away games the squad had no training session, and the club brought back Dunston and signed Papas &#8220;to make sure of the number of players&#8221;. When a champion signs players just to reach the count, the calendar has a problem. Bologna will be their third away game in a week.<\/p>\n<h2>Milutinov out, and the paint gets lighter<\/h2>\n<p>The Greek side&#8217;s centre will not play on Thursday: nursing a thigh problem since 13 September, he had been playing through pain, and this week&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/basketnews.com\/news-212393-euroleague-injury-report-updated.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">injury report<\/a> lists him out for rounds 2 and 3. Bartzokas is not selling a quick return either. The same report leaves three question marks around him, one of them in Bologna.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Cory Joseph (Olympiacos): a back problem kept him out in Kaunas; he remains questionable for Thursday.<\/li>\n<li>Dunston is back in the group but did not leave the bench in Kaunas; Papas, signed for the headcount, stayed outside the twelve. Both questionable.<\/li>\n<li>Kokila (Virtus): listed out before the Milan derby, he now appears questionable, with no confirmed return; Casarin and Baiocchi remain outside the group, the coach&#8217;s choice.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>A Virtus side under construction, but at home<\/h2>\n<p>Alex Mumbru took over a new team: nine signings, a new staff, and a frank admission of method, &#8220;we will adapt game by game&#8221;. Two defeats in two away games, but the second one was better than the first: <a href=\"https:\/\/sport.sky.it\/basket\/eurolega\/2026\/09\/29\/olimpia-milano-virtus-bologna-risultato-highlights\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">beaten in Milan on Tuesday by a Devon Hall shot at the buzzer<\/a>, after pulling level with 4.2 seconds left. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/euroleague\/game-center\/2026-27\/virtus-bologna-olympiacos-piraeus\/E2026\/23\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Across their last five meetings<\/a> Virtus are 0-5 against Olympiacos, including a 109-77 beating in Piraeus last season. But the last Olympiacos visit to Bologna was decided by three points, 94-97. A line of eight and a half points leaves room for a game that stays close.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Round<\/th>\n<th>Team<\/th>\n<th>Game<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>R1<\/td>\n<td>Olympiacos<\/td>\n<td>at Baskonia<\/td>\n<td>106-89<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>R2<\/td>\n<td>Olympiacos<\/td>\n<td>at \u017dalgiris Kaunas<\/td>\n<td>93-91<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>R1<\/td>\n<td>Virtus Bologna<\/td>\n<td>at Fenerbah\u00e7e<\/td>\n<td>68-78<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>R2<\/td>\n<td>Virtus Bologna<\/td>\n<td>at Olimpia Milano<\/td>\n<td>85-87<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>On the style, the <a href=\"https:\/\/sportando.basketball\/virtus-bologna-una-supercoppa-senza-identita-mumbru-e-le-gerarchie-sono-gia-sotto-esame\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Italian press<\/a> sees one idea in Mumbru&#8217;s team: run. Slow the game down, get physical, and Virtus go quiet. That is what Olympiacos do best.<\/p>\n<h2>+8.5 at 1.90: a bet on tired legs more than on quality<\/h2>\n<p>At 1.25, the straight win is priced out of reach. I am keeping Virtus +8.5, taken at 1.90 with Betano, and I still put the chance of Virtus winning or losing by eight points or fewer at 55%, overtime included; at 1.90, the odds imply 52.6%. The gap is thin, and it should stay thin: the value I see comes from the visitors&#8217; legs and Milutinov&#8217;s absence, not from a sudden leap in Virtus&#8217; level.<\/p>\n<p>On Tuesday a single bookmaker priced this game; there are nine on Wednesday, and the +8.5 line now trades at 1.98 with BetMGM. The market has barely moved since Tuesday: the tired legs of Piraeus are still not in the price, and my price stays 1.90. The stake is the minimum, 0.25 units ($25): once my probability is blended with the market&#8217;s, the edge disappears and the site drops to the floor. That is exactly right for a low-conviction bet. Virtus win or lose by eight or fewer: +$22.50. Virtus lose by nine or more: -$25. 18+. Only bet what you can afford to lose, and the <a href=\"\/en\/tools\/kelly-calculator\/\">Kelly calculator<\/a> does the rest. My <a href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/record\/\">public record<\/a> moves on game by game.<\/p>\n<h2>The holders fall in Bologna: 96-94<\/h2>\n<p>Virtus win 96-94 and end a run of five straight defeats to Olympiacos. My bet was a fatigue bet: Olympiacos on a third road trip in a week, without Milutinov, against a Virtus side that had taken Milan to the buzzer on Tuesday. At 1.25, the market saw only one favourite; it was caught out by a calendar Bartzokas already called abnormal.<\/p>\n<p>My bet, Virtus +8.5 at 1.90 with Betano, wins: Virtus only needed to lose by eight, and they won the game. 0.25 units, $25 staked, $22.50 in profit. The stake stayed at the floor because the edge had melted once blended with the market; tonight the handicap never came close to the line.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Virtus beat the holders 96-94 to end five straight defeats: my +8.5 handicap at 1.90 with Betano wins, $22.50 profit on a 0.25-unit stake.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":3639,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Prediction Virtus Bologna vs Olympiacos: Milutinov is out and Virtus took Milan to the buzzer. I keep Virtus +8.5 at 1.90 with Betano.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Virtus Bologna","ba_away_name":"Olympiacos","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-01 18:30:00","ba_venue":"Segafredo Arena","ba_match_key":"api-sports:basketball:508605","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[25,96],"class_list":["post-2385","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-basketball-en","ba_sport-euroleague-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Five games in seven days: Olympiacos land at Virtus Bologna without Milutinov &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Prediction Virtus Bologna vs Olympiacos: Milutinov is out and Virtus took Milan to the buzzer. 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For six years she has analysed rotations, pace and individual match-ups to prepare her predictions. Her favourite courts are the NBA and the EuroLeague.\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/bankrollatlas.com\\\/en\\\/authors\\\/sarah-delcourt\\\/\",\"knowsAbout\":[\"Basketball\",\"NBA and EuroLeague\"]}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Five games in seven days: Olympiacos land at Virtus Bologna without Milutinov &#183; Bankroll Atlas","description":"Prediction Virtus Bologna vs Olympiacos: Milutinov is out and Virtus took Milan to the buzzer. I keep Virtus +8.5 at 1.90 with Betano.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/virtus-bologna-olympiacos-prediction-2026-10-01\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Five games in seven days: Olympiacos land at Virtus Bologna without Milutinov &#183; Bankroll Atlas","og_description":"Prediction Virtus Bologna vs Olympiacos: Milutinov is out and Virtus took Milan to the buzzer. I keep Virtus +8.5 at 1.90 with Betano.","og_url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/virtus-bologna-olympiacos-prediction-2026-10-01\/","og_site_name":"Bankroll Atlas","article_modified_time":"2026-10-01T21:13:11+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/themes\/bankroll-atlas\/assets\/icons\/og-default.png","type":"","width":"","height":""},{"width":1200,"height":675,"url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/carte-virtus-bologna-olympiacos-en-19dea38f.webp","type":"image\/webp"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Est. reading time":"4 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/virtus-bologna-olympiacos-prediction-2026-10-01\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/virtus-bologna-olympiacos-prediction-2026-10-01\/"},"author":{"name":"Sarah Delcourt","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/a52ee5edc7737ea4704a1cebf10394c8"},"headline":"Five games in seven days: Olympiacos land at Virtus Bologna without Milutinov","datePublished":"2026-09-29T21:34:57+00:00","dateModified":"2026-10-01T21:13:11+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/virtus-bologna-olympiacos-prediction-2026-10-01\/"},"wordCount":788,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/virtus-bologna-olympiacos-prediction-2026-10-01\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/carte-virtus-bologna-olympiacos-en-19dea38f.webp","inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/virtus-bologna-olympiacos-prediction-2026-10-01\/","url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/virtus-bologna-olympiacos-prediction-2026-10-01\/","name":"Five games in seven days: Olympiacos land at Virtus Bologna without Milutinov &#183; Bankroll Atlas","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/virtus-bologna-olympiacos-prediction-2026-10-01\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/virtus-bologna-olympiacos-prediction-2026-10-01\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/carte-virtus-bologna-olympiacos-en-19dea38f.webp","datePublished":"2026-09-29T21:34:57+00:00","dateModified":"2026-10-01T21:13:11+00:00","description":"Prediction Virtus Bologna vs Olympiacos: Milutinov is out and Virtus took Milan to the buzzer. I keep Virtus +8.5 at 1.90 with Betano.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/virtus-bologna-olympiacos-prediction-2026-10-01\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/virtus-bologna-olympiacos-prediction-2026-10-01\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/virtus-bologna-olympiacos-prediction-2026-10-01\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/carte-virtus-bologna-olympiacos-en-19dea38f.webp","contentUrl":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/carte-virtus-bologna-olympiacos-en-19dea38f.webp","width":1200,"height":675,"caption":"Virtus Bologna \u2013 Olympiacos \u00b7 EuroLeague \u00b7 96-94"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/virtus-bologna-olympiacos-prediction-2026-10-01\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Matchs","item":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Five games in seven days: Olympiacos land at Virtus Bologna without Milutinov"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/","name":"Bankroll Atlas","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#organization","name":"Bankroll Atlas","url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/bankroll-atlas-logo.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/bankroll-atlas-logo.png","width":512,"height":512,"caption":"Bankroll Atlas"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/a52ee5edc7737ea4704a1cebf10394c8","name":"Sarah Delcourt","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/73d0e55235c16090e214b35415fe3b6cccc6e978e4e350604d78fb3042c591d9?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/73d0e55235c16090e214b35415fe3b6cccc6e978e4e350604d78fb3042c591d9?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/73d0e55235c16090e214b35415fe3b6cccc6e978e4e350604d78fb3042c591d9?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Sarah Delcourt"},"description":"A former point guard in a regional league, Sarah never lost her taste for reading the game and its numbers. 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