{"id":2588,"date":"2026-09-30T11:41:40","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T09:41:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/maccabi-tel-aviv-vs-besiktas-prediction-2026-09-30\/"},"modified":"2026-09-30T23:11:17","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T21:11:17","slug":"maccabi-tel-aviv-vs-besiktas-prediction-2026-09-30","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/maccabi-tel-aviv-vs-besiktas-prediction-2026-09-30\/","title":{"rendered":"Maccabi host Besiktas in Belgrade, in an arena that cheers for nobody"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Scottie Wilbekin played <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/news\/tae2627-rs2-game-notes-tel-bes\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">124 games for Maccabi<\/a> between 2018 and 2022, and started 123 of them. On Wednesday evening he walks into his old club wearing a different shirt, Besiktas&#8217;s, in an arena where nobody is really at home: Maccabi host at the Aleksandar Nikolic Hall in Belgrade, where the EuroLeague has relocated the Israeli clubs. Two teams at 0-1 are chasing a first win there.<\/p>\n<p>The two clubs have not met since 2012-13, when Maccabi took both games (77-55 in Istanbul, 101-58 in Tel Aviv). Besiktas are back in the EuroLeague for the first time in thirteen seasons.<\/p>\n<h2>Belgrade, a home game on paper only<\/h2>\n<p>Since the flat opening defeat at ASVEL (74-84 on 24 September), Maccabi have not played another European game: between the two rounds they beat Kiryat Ata 109-61 in the Winner Cup quarter-final, a game that says nothing about this level. Besiktas have lost three in a row in three competitions: the Super Cup against Fenerbah\u00e7e (59-72), the EuroLeague against Valencia (94-96, at home), the league against Anadolu Efes (81-95). Their coach <a href=\"https:\/\/basketdergisi.com\/alimpijevic-sahda-bundan-cok-daha-farkli-bir-yuz-gostermemiz-gerekiyor.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Alimpijevic said it after the Valencia game<\/a>: &#8220;we are very far from the defence we want to play, we have to show a very different face&#8221;.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Team<\/th>\n<th>Competition<\/th>\n<th>Opponent<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Maccabi<\/td>\n<td>EuroLeague, R1<\/td>\n<td>ASVEL (away)<\/td>\n<td>74-84<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Maccabi<\/td>\n<td>Winner Cup, QF<\/td>\n<td>Kiryat Ata<\/td>\n<td>109-61<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Besiktas<\/td>\n<td>Super Cup<\/td>\n<td>Fenerbah\u00e7e<\/td>\n<td>59-72<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Besiktas<\/td>\n<td>EuroLeague, R1<\/td>\n<td>Valencia (home)<\/td>\n<td>94-96<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Besiktas<\/td>\n<td>League<\/td>\n<td>Anadolu Efes<\/td>\n<td>81-95<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Maccabi are living this &#8220;home&#8221; game like a road trip: <a href=\"https:\/\/maccabi.co.il\/games\/besiktas-istanbul-30-09-2026\/?tab=preview\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">final training at Hadar Yosef<\/a>, then the flight to Belgrade and a shooting session on game day.<\/p>\n<h2>Jeffries operated on, Korkmaz in doubt<\/h2>\n<p>The absences weigh heavier on the Turkish side, and they are not all equal:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>DaQuan Jeffries (Besiktas): <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/news\/daquan-jeffries-undergoes-wrist-surgery\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">operated on his left wrist<\/a> after fracturing a bone in round 1, out for an indefinite period. A confirmed absence.<\/li>\n<li>Furkan Korkmaz (Besiktas): a calf problem since returning from national-team duty, short of full fitness in the Super Cup and left on the bench against Valencia, the coach&#8217;s decision; the club has said nothing about tonight. Doubtful, not out.<\/li>\n<li>Maccabi: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/news\/injury-report-round-2-el2627\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the official round-2 injury report<\/a> names nobody for this game, with neither club having filed a medical report. Hunter did not play at ASVEL, no reason given; Lavi remains doubtful and Leaf is listed as available in the press only. Jimmy Clark III, who missed the Israeli Super Cup, did come back in round 1.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The Turkish production rests on four names: Nowell and Omoruyi scored 17 points each against Valencia, Morgan 15, and Wilbekin added 12 points and 5 assists, with Zizic and Gabriel inside. Without Jeffries, Alimpijevic has one card fewer to rotate.<\/p>\n<h2>What the price says<\/h2>\n<p>The market believes in Maccabi: 1.52 at 1xbet on Wednesday morning, about two chances in three, against 2.72 for Besiktas. On the main line, Maccabi -4.5 trades at 1.91 and Besiktas +4.5 at 1.95, a price that has not moved since it opened. The favourite has even firmed slightly, from 1.53 to 1.52, and no new absence explains the move: nothing has changed on either roster since this morning.<\/p>\n<p>For the market, Belgrade is enough: an administrative home court, a deeper roster, a logical win. The arena itself gives them nothing: no crowd of their own for Maccabi, and a team that has yet to show anything in this EuroLeague. I prefer the line to the outright: at 1.52 the Maccabi win pays nothing, and the handicap lets the game decide.<\/p>\n<h2>Besiktas +4.5: cover, do not overturn<\/h2>\n<p>My pick: Besiktas +4.5 points at 1.95 with 1xbet. It wins if Besiktas take the game or lose by one to four points: +$23.75 on a $25 stake. It loses if the gap reaches five points or more: -$25. Overtime included.<\/p>\n<p>I do not see Besiktas winning this game: 2.72 is not my scenario. But the talent gap between the two rotations does not look like five points in a neutral arena. Jeffries out and a defence criticised by its own coach count against Besiktas; that is why I take them with the four and a half points, not on their own.<\/p>\n<p>I make the cover 52%; the 1.95 price implies 51.3%. That gap is too thin: the market has read this game well and I have no edge worth paying for. Minimum stake, 0.25 units, $25. If Maccabi break it open by half-time on their depth, the line is worth nothing. To weigh your own probability and the stake that goes with it, the <a href=\"\/en\/tools\/kelly-calculator\/\">Kelly calculator<\/a> does the maths; my results, wins and losses, are on the <a href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/record\/\">public record<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>18+. Only bet what you can afford to lose.<\/p>\n<h2>Besiktas never needed the four and a half points<\/h2>\n<p>Final score: 93-109. Besiktas take it by sixteen in Belgrade, the scenario I had ruled out at 2.72. My Besiktas +4.5 at 1.95 with 1xbet wins without ever needing the line: +$23.75 on a $25 stake.<\/p>\n<p>On the arena, I was right: this home game in Belgrade gave Maccabi nothing. On the rotations, I was wrong: the gap I read as under five finished at sixteen, in Besiktas&#8217;s favour. The cover wins, which is all the pick asked for; the outright paid 2.72. The $23.75 goes on the record as it is.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Final score 93-109: Besiktas win by sixteen in Belgrade. My Besiktas +4.5 at 1.95 wins (+$23.75), without ever needing the line.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":3179,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Besiktas prediction, EuroLeague round 2 in Belgrade: my pick is Besiktas +4.5 at 1.95 (1xbet), minimum 0.25 u stake, both teams 0-1.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Maccabi Tel Aviv","ba_away_name":"Besiktas","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-09-30 18:05:00","ba_venue":"Aleksandar Nikolic Hall","ba_match_key":"api-sports:basketball:508600","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[25,96],"class_list":["post-2588","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-basketball-en","ba_sport-euroleague-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Maccabi host Besiktas in Belgrade, in an arena that cheers for nobody &#183; 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