{"id":2677,"date":"2026-09-30T12:11:48","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T10:11:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/wales-norway-prediction-2026-10-01\/"},"modified":"2026-10-01T23:15:55","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T21:15:55","slug":"wales-norway-prediction-2026-10-01","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/football\/nations-league\/wales-norway-prediction-2026-10-01\/","title":{"rendered":"Wales vs Norway: no goal in two games, and an ankle to watch"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In Copenhagen, Craig Bellamy made six changes from the start and said it himself afterwards: the better team had won. His captain Ben Davies pointed to the two goals conceded from set pieces. Wales come home with no points, no goals, and supporters asking questions (<a href=\"https:\/\/nation.cymru\/sport\/wales-boss-craig-bellamy-really-hurting-after-defeat-in-denmark\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nation.Cymru<\/a>).<\/p>\n<h2>A silent attack, absences stacking up<\/h2>\n<p>Two away games, two defeats, no goal scored: Wales sit bottom of the group and play their first home match of the window in Cardiff.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Wilson, Broadhead, Darlow, Rodon, Lawlor, Colwill and Isaak Davies are reported out by the English press; the federation has confirmed nothing (<a href=\"https:\/\/faw.cymru\/news\/cymru-squad-announced-for-nations-league-opening-matches\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FAW<\/a>).<\/li>\n<li>The team sheet splits the difference: Ward keeps goal, Koumas starts up front, Cabango is in and Darlow is not.<\/li>\n<li>With this squad stretched thin, the certainty lies in the low block; the attacking play still has to be invented.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Bellamy has spent the week defending his side&#8217;s place in League A, and praising the model in the opposite camp: a World Cup quarter-final, two clubs in the Champions League.<\/p>\n<h2>\u00d8degaard on his way to Cardiff, Nyland under pressure<\/h2>\n<p>\u00d8degaard took no part in Tuesday&#8217;s training, an ankle hurt by the Bernardo Silva tackle against Portugal; he limped towards the bus and has not played since. Hangeland calls him &#8220;much better than the day before&#8221; and has &#8220;no doubt&#8221; he travels to Cardiff, with a simple target: that he contributes on the pitch (<a href=\"https:\/\/sportsbibelen.no\/skadesmell-for-landslagsprofil\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sportsbibelen<\/a>). Solbakken has confirmed the Norwegian medical staff are in contact with Arsenal. The team sheet answers: \u00d8degaard starts, and the schedule presses, a third game in eight days before Porto on Sunday.<\/p>\n<p>In goal, Nyland is taking criticism for the third match running, and the German press already sees him as second choice at Leipzig, behind Vandevoordt. A TV 2 pundit gave Egil Selvik the start in Cardiff, the English press kept Nyland in goal; it is indeed Nyland who keeps goal (<a href=\"https:\/\/sportsbibelen.no\/dyster-nyland-beskjed\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sportsbibelen<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p>Up front, Haaland remains the guarantee of the Norwegian trip: 65 goals in 57 caps, top scorer in League A with three goals. Bobb, on the bench against Portugal, does start; Wolfe returns from suspension and starts too, Thorstvedt stays out, S\u00f8rloth remains unavailable for the window.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Team<\/th>\n<th>Opponent<\/th>\n<th>Competition<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>27\/09<\/td>\n<td>Wales<\/td>\n<td>Denmark (away)<\/td>\n<td>Nations League<\/td>\n<td>0-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>24\/09<\/td>\n<td>Wales<\/td>\n<td>Portugal (away)<\/td>\n<td>Nations League<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>27\/09<\/td>\n<td>Norway<\/td>\n<td>Portugal (home)<\/td>\n<td>Nations League<\/td>\n<td>1-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>24\/09<\/td>\n<td>Norway<\/td>\n<td>Denmark (home)<\/td>\n<td>Nations League<\/td>\n<td>3-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/07<\/td>\n<td>Norway<\/td>\n<td>England (home)<\/td>\n<td>World Cup<\/td>\n<td>1-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>05\/07<\/td>\n<td>Norway<\/td>\n<td>Brazil (away)<\/td>\n<td>World Cup<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>A Norwegian win already priced in<\/h2>\n<p>Norway&#8217;s win has come in from 2.01 to 1.53 over the week and stayed there in Wednesday&#8217;s reading; Wales have drifted out to 6.50. On goals the market has stood still: both teams to score, yes at 1.68 since the opening, no at 2.148 with 1xbet.<\/p>\n<h2>The bet: at least one team stays silent<\/h2>\n<p>&#8220;Both teams to score: no&#8221; wins as soon as one of the two fails to score in 90 minutes, and pays $28.70 on a $25 stake. It loses if both score. I make that scenario 49%, the market has it at 44.25%. My reading has not moved on the eve of the game, and neither has the bet.<\/p>\n<p>The likeliest path runs through the Welsh attack: two games without scoring and an XI to rebuild. \u00d8degaard is in the line-up, and the typical scenario almost writes itself: Norway score, Wales stay silent. The classic danger remains: Norway lead by two with a quarter of an hour left and Wales chase a consolation. The stake is minimal, 0.25 units ($25): the edge, once my probability is blended with the market&#8217;s, is tiny. The <a href=\"\/en\/tools\/kelly-calculator\/\">Kelly calculator<\/a> breaks stakes down into units, and this pick goes on my <a href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/record\/\">public record<\/a>, win or lose. 18+. Only bet what you can afford to lose.<\/p>\n<h2>Wales break their silence: 2-1<\/h2>\n<p>After two games without scoring, Wales score twice and beat Norway 2-1 in Cardiff: their first goals and first points of the campaign. Behind Portugal, Denmark, Norway and Wales all sit on three points.<\/p>\n<p>My bet, &#8220;no&#8221; on both teams to score at 2.148 with 1xbet, loses: both teams scored. 0.25 units, $25 staked, $25 down. I made the &#8220;no&#8221; 49% where the market had it at 44.25%: tonight the market was right, and the template scenario, Norway scoring and Wales staying silent, flipped all the way to the result.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wales beat Norway 2-1 in Cardiff, first goals and first points of the campaign: my &#8220;no&#8221; on both teams to score at 2.148 with 1xbet loses, $25 down.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":3654,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Wales vs Norway, Nations League: my prediction, &#8220;no&#8221; on both teams to score at 2.148. Wales without a goal, Norway reshuffled: minimal stake.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Wales","ba_away_name":"Norway","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-01 18:45:00","ba_venue":"Cardiff City Stadium","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1528920","ba_featured":true,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[20,46],"class_list":["post-2677","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football-en","ba_sport-nations-league-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Wales vs Norway: no goal in two games, and an ankle to watch &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Wales vs Norway, Nations League: my prediction, &#8220;no&#8221; on both teams to score at 2.148. 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