{"id":2735,"date":"2026-09-30T14:39:32","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T12:39:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/israel-kosovo-prediction-2026-10-01\/"},"modified":"2026-10-01T23:17:21","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T21:17:21","slug":"israel-kosovo-prediction-2026-10-01","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/football\/nations-league\/israel-kosovo-prediction-2026-10-01\/","title":{"rendered":"Israel &#8211; Kosovo: Ben Shimon facing calls to resign, Kosovo without Rrahmani"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;We started the match in a shameful way.&#8221; Ran Ben Shimon owned the defeat by Ireland (0-3) at the final whistle, and his side go into Thursday&#8217;s third League B game with zero points. The Israeli press <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/israel-news\/sports\/article-910123\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">demand his resignation<\/a> after two defeats in two games, one goal scored in 180 minutes, six conceded; one daily now writes that a defeat would seal the national team&#8217;s fate. In Debrecen, where Israel play their &#8220;home&#8221; matches, the coach should still be on the bench.<\/p>\n<p>His record: eight wins in twenty-two matches. &#8220;The responsibility lies 100% with the players&#8221;, replied Dasa; Solomon called it &#8220;a shame&#8221;.<\/p>\n<h2>What the recent matches say<\/h2>\n<p>Israel&#8217;s come from World Cup qualifiers and friendlies; in this League B, the only competitive win between the two belongs to Kosovo, that 1-0 against Ireland.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Team<\/th>\n<th>Opponent<\/th>\n<th>Competition<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>27\/09<\/td>\n<td>Israel<\/td>\n<td>Ireland<\/td>\n<td>Nations League<\/td>\n<td>0-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>24\/09<\/td>\n<td>Israel<\/td>\n<td>Austria<\/td>\n<td>Nations League<\/td>\n<td>1-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>03\/06<\/td>\n<td>Israel<\/td>\n<td>Albania<\/td>\n<td>Friendly<\/td>\n<td>1-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>26\/03<\/td>\n<td>Israel<\/td>\n<td>Georgia<\/td>\n<td>Friendly<\/td>\n<td>2-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>27\/09<\/td>\n<td>Kosovo<\/td>\n<td>Austria<\/td>\n<td>Nations League<\/td>\n<td>1-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>24\/09<\/td>\n<td>Kosovo<\/td>\n<td>Ireland<\/td>\n<td>Nations League<\/td>\n<td>1-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>07\/06<\/td>\n<td>Kosovo<\/td>\n<td>Andorra<\/td>\n<td>Friendly<\/td>\n<td>3-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>31\/05<\/td>\n<td>Kosovo<\/td>\n<td>Czechia<\/td>\n<td>Friendly<\/td>\n<td>1-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>A reshuffle, not yet a system<\/h2>\n<p>On the eve, Ben Shimon has still not settled his shape or several positions: a back four or three centre-backs: the official sheet picks four. Two dailies in agreement expect <a href=\"https:\/\/sport1.maariv.co.il\/israeli-soccer\/national-team\/article\/1959857\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tai Baribo to start in attack<\/a> and Dor Peretz to return; the dailies were right on those names, and the eleven splits the rest: Nachmias and Shlomo start together, Dasa does not, Solomon and Abada are in (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ynet.co.il\/sport\/israelisoccer\/article\/sknajw59gx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ynet<\/a>). Relearning your zone three days before kick-off costs: the half-second lost on a marking opens a goal.<\/p>\n<p>Kosovo arrive with their core: Zhegrova, Rashica, Muriqi and Asllani are all present, and the federation called up <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocnal.com\/2026\/09\/kosovo-squad-for-nations-league.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Erblin Osmani, 17, trained at the Bayern academy<\/a>, along with Dion Kacuri. Muriqi wears the armband for this window.<\/p>\n<h2>What is missing on both sides<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Amir Rrahmani (Kosovo): the former captain walked away from the national team after a dispute with the federation&#8217;s leadership.<\/li>\n<li>Arijanet Muri\u0107 (Kosovo): went off with a muscle injury in Vienna on Sunday; Saipi is indeed the one who starts.<\/li>\n<li>Albian Hajdari (Kosovo): doubtful, absent from the UEFA list of defenders.<\/li>\n<li>Omri Gandelman (Israel): knee injury, out for one to two weeks.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>I still think Rrahmani&#8217;s withdrawal weighs more than the goalkeeper doubt: a defence without its former captain loses the voice that holds it, and this match can turn on one communication error.<\/p>\n<h2>The market has corrected, and keeps going<\/h2>\n<p>At 2.32 with Betano in the latest reading, Kosovo start favourites, and the price has slid from 2.62 at the opening: Israel&#8217;s crisis was read before me. Israel trade at 3.20 with Bet365, the draw at 3.40. The drift has not stopped: the Kosovo -0.25 handicap has moved from 2.20 to 1.90.<\/p>\n<h2>I take Kosovo, without a clear edge<\/h2>\n<p>I give Kosovo a 44% chance of winning this match; the 2.32 price already promises 43.1%. The gap is too thin to pay: once blended with the market&#8217;s probability, the stake falls to the minimum, 0.25 units, $25. Kosovo win, the bet pays $33; a draw or an Israeli win loses it. The method follows quarter <a href=\"\/en\/tools\/kelly-calculator\/\">Kelly<\/a>, and the pick goes on my <a href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/record\/\">public record<\/a>, win or lose.<\/p>\n<p>The eve does not move me: the market has followed the same reading as mine, and gone further. The winning scenario: Israel start as they did against Ireland, Kosovo open the score and play in transition. The losing one: Ben Shimon sets up a compact block, Baribo takes the first chance, and Kosovo have to invent.<\/p>\n<p>18+. Only bet what you can afford to lose.<\/p>\n<h2>Debrecen stays silent: 0-0<\/h2>\n<p>No goals at the Nagyerdei. Israel take their first point of the campaign and their first clean sheet; Kosovo drop two points with the favourite&#8217;s tag on them. Ben Shimon&#8217;s compact block, my losing scenario, held for ninety minutes; only the Israeli goal went missing. Austria (7) lead the group, Ireland and Kosovo (4) follow, Israel (1) stay last.<\/p>\n<p>My bet, Kosovo to win at 2.32 with Betano, loses: 0.25 units, $25 staked, $25 down. I made Kosovo 44% where the odds promised 43.1%: tonight the market and I were wrong together, and the minimum stake kept the bill small.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Israel and Kosovo: 0-0 in Debrecen, Israel&#8217;s first point. My bet on Kosovo to win at 2.32 with Betano loses, $25 down on a 0.25-unit stake.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":3664,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Israel in crisis host Kosovo in Debrecen: my Kosovo prediction at 2.32, but the market has moved first, so a minimum 0.25-unit stake.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Israel","ba_away_name":"Kosovo","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-01 18:45:00","ba_venue":"Nagyerdei Stadion","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1528922","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[20,46],"class_list":["post-2735","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football-en","ba_sport-nations-league-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Israel &#8211; 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