{"id":2811,"date":"2026-09-30T15:17:39","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T13:17:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/poland-vs-romania-prediction-2026-10-02\/"},"modified":"2026-10-02T23:11:46","modified_gmt":"2026-10-02T21:11:46","slug":"poland-vs-romania-prediction-2026-10-02","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/football\/nations-league\/poland-vs-romania-prediction-2026-10-02\/","title":{"rendered":"Poland vs Romania: one goal scored in two games, six conceded at the other end"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Warsaw stages a meeting of the winless on Friday: Poland have a point, Romania none, and neither has won since the Nations League began. After the 2-4 against Bosnia at the Arena Na\u021bional\u0103, behind closed doors, Gic\u0103 Hagi&#8217;s press conference was described as &#8220;incendiary&#8221;: &#8220;With me or without me,&#8221; he said, his mandate questioned by his own press.<\/p>\n<h2>One goal scored on one side, six conceded on the other<\/h2>\n<p>The paradox fits in two lines: Poland have scored once in two games, Romania have conceded six. A 0-0 against Bosnia in Warsaw and a 1-3 in Sweden for Jan Urban&#8217;s side; a 1-2 in Sweden and a 2-4 at home for Hagi&#8217;s, with nine changes between the two games. The only recent head-to-head dates from 2018 World Cup qualifying, a 3-1 for Poland in Warsaw; in the Nations League, they have never met.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th><\/th>\n<th>Poland<\/th>\n<th>Romania<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Points<\/td>\n<td>1<\/td>\n<td>0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Goals scored<\/td>\n<td>1<\/td>\n<td>3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Goals conceded<\/td>\n<td>3<\/td>\n<td>6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Form<\/td>\n<td>one draw, one defeat<\/td>\n<td>two defeats<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>No Grabara, no Kami\u0144ski<\/h2>\n<p>Jan Urban goes into Thursday&#8217;s press conference with the same sick list: Kamil Grabara, the first-choice goalkeeper, will miss all four games of the window, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.digisport.ro\/fotbal\/liga-natiunilor\/out-din-lot-pentru-meciul-contra-romaniei-atacantul-de-17-000-000e-a-plecat-deja-din-cantonament-4509687\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Jakub Kami\u0144ski, Benfica&#8217;s left winger, has left the camp injured<\/a>. An English preview still had him starting on Friday; the official line-up proved me right: Kami\u0144ski does not start.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Grabara, Benedyczak and R\u00f3zga, all injured, are replaced in the squad by Dr\u0105gowski and Regu\u0142a, called up mid-window.<\/li>\n<li>Romania are without both centre-forwards of the window, Denis Dr\u0103gu\u0219 and Louis Munteanu; Dennis Man, doubtful on Tuesday, <a href=\"https:\/\/tvrinfo.ro\/gheorghe-hagi-a-anuntat-un-lot-de-23-de-jucatori-pentru-meciul-cu-polonia\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">is in the squad of 23 named on Thursday<\/a>, but Hagi has admitted he does not know whether he can play.<\/li>\n<li>The official line-ups have dropped: for Poland, Bu\u0142ka in goal, Bednarek, Cash and Kiwior in defence, \u015awiderski and Zalewski behind Lewandowski; for Romania, Hindrich keeps goal, and the attack starts with Man, B\u00eerligea and Ianis Hagi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Two coaches against the wall<\/h2>\n<p>Hagi owned the Bosnian defeat and said he wanted to look at his eleven again; on Thursday, <a href=\"https:\/\/redactia.ro\/gica-hagi-a-decis-lotul-pentru-polonia-romania-opt-jucatori-au-ramas-pe-dinafara-489863\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">he left eight players out of his squad<\/a>, six of them starters against Bosnia (Matei Ilie, Burc\u0103, Eissat, Screciu, Dragomir, Olaru). Only Radu, Coubi\u0219, Stanciu, B\u00eerligea and Mih\u0103il\u0103 survive, with Coubi\u0219 the one player the press praised on Monday; the regulars return: Ra\u021biu, Dr\u0103gu\u0219in, Bancu, R. Marin, Man, I. Hagi, Racovi\u021ban. The official line-up sorts further: of the five survivors, only B\u00eerligea and Mih\u0103il\u0103 start, Racovi\u021ban does not, and B\u0103lu\u021b\u0103 takes a place in midfield.<\/p>\n<p>Across the aisle, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsmole.co.uk\/football\/poland\/uefa-nations-league\/preview\/poland-vs-romania-prediction-team-news-lineups_606004.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Urban lives under the same pressure<\/a>, one nuance apart: five wins in twelve games, five without a victory, supporters he fails to convince, and a calendar he calls &#8220;disadvantaged, like Hagi&#8217;s&#8221;.<\/p>\n<h2>Poland under 1.5 goals at 2.25<\/h2>\n<p>The market keeps drifting towards a closed game: favourites at 1.61 on Tuesday, Poland are down to 1.57 with Betano on Thursday; &#8220;both teams to score: no&#8221; has fallen to 1.92 with Unibet, from 2.20 at the open, and &#8220;Romania to score none&#8221; to 2.25, from 2.55. My bet has not moved: taken at 2.25 with Unibet on Tuesday, it stands at 2.24. The ticket stays at the price I took it.<\/p>\n<p>I keep the bet that says the match as I read it: Poland do not score much. Poland team goals, under 1.5, at 2.25 with Unibet on Tuesday. One goal in two games, Kami\u0144ski not starting, an eleven finally known: I give it 48 per cent that Poland stay on one goal at most, where the price implies 44. The bet wins if Poland score none or one, a 0-0 or a 1-1 carries it; it loses from Poland&#8217;s second goal, even if Poland win.<\/p>\n<p>And I am not staking more, for one simple reason: this Romanian defence has conceded six in two games, and it leaves doors open that Poland know how to walk through, and the official Polish eleven is built to attack. Stake: 0.75 units ($75), potential profit $93.75; for the method, the <a href=\"\/en\/tools\/kelly-calculator\/\">calculator<\/a> does the work, and the result joins the public <a href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/record\/\">record<\/a>. 18+. Only bet what you can afford to lose.<\/p>\n<h2>The door I saw, wide open<\/h2>\n<p>Poland won 6-0. Lewandowski scored twice, and the Romanian defence offered the doors I was pointing at. I wrote that this back line opened doors; Warsaw walked through every one of them.<\/p>\n<p>The bet loses badly: Poland under 1.5 team goals at 2.25, 0.75 units, -$75. My 48% rested on a Polish attack silent since September; it found its level in one evening, and the loss goes to the public record.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Poland crushed Romania 6-0, a Lewandowski brace: my bet, Poland under 1.5 goals, is lost, -$75.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":4072,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Poland vs Romania prediction: Poland crushed Romania 6-0 with a Lewandowski brace. My bet, Poland under 1.5 goals at 2.25, loses, -$75.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Poland","ba_away_name":"Romania","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-02 18:45:00","ba_venue":"National Stadium Warsaw","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1528928","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[20,46],"class_list":["post-2811","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football-en","ba_sport-nations-league-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Poland vs Romania: one goal scored in two games, six conceded at the other end &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Poland vs Romania prediction: Poland crushed Romania 6-0 with a Lewandowski brace. 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He follows Ligue 1 and the European competitions most closely.","url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/authors\/lucas-morel\/","knowsAbout":["Football","Ligue 1 and European competitions"]}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ba_match\/2811","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ba_match"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/ba_match"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ba_match\/2811\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4128,"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ba_match\/2811\/revisions\/4128"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4072"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2811"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"ba_sport","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ba_sport?post=2811"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}