{"id":2976,"date":"2026-09-30T17:36:42","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T15:36:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/bosnia-herzegovina-sweden-prediction-2026-10-02\/"},"modified":"2026-10-02T23:12:17","modified_gmt":"2026-10-02T21:12:17","slug":"bosnia-herzegovina-sweden-prediction-2026-10-02","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/football\/nations-league\/bosnia-herzegovina-sweden-prediction-2026-10-02\/","title":{"rendered":"Bosnia host a weakened Sweden in Zenica for Dzeko&#8217;s farewell"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>On Friday in Zenica, the Bilino Polje will be full for what the federation is billing as a farewell: tickets sold out in fourteen minutes. Edin Dzeko, 40, captain and the country&#8217;s most-capped player, plays his last international match against Sweden there, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nfsbih.ba\/en\/news\/football\/m\/a-national-team-m\/thank-you-edin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">announced back on 3 September<\/a>. Sweden arrive top of the group with six points, ahead of an unbeaten Bosnia on four.<\/p>\n<h2>Dzeko starts for his Zenica farewell<\/h2>\n<p>Barbarez has made no special request over his captain&#8217;s playing time: \u201cI hope he plays the whole match, scores and that we win\u201d, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.klix.ba\/sport\/nogomet\/barbarez-o-planu-za-dzekin-oprostaj-nadam-se-da-ce-protiv-svedske-odigrati-citav-susret\/260921085\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">he said<\/a>. Dzeko has travelled with the squad and trained with the group without being fielded: the official line-up has him starting, alongside Demirovi\u0107, for this match which a drone show will close out. Samed Ba\u017edar (Sint-Truiden), back from a slight injury, joins the competition.<\/p>\n<h2>Five more sick: eight missing on the Swedish side<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Emil Holm (right-back) left the squad on 26 September with a thigh injury picked up against Romania;<\/li>\n<li>Hjalmar Ekdal and Alexander Isak, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.svenskfotboll.se\/nyheter\/landslag\/2026\/09\/herrlandslaget-skador\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u201cslight injuries\u201d according to the federation<\/a>, withdrew the next day, with no replacements called up;<\/li>\n<li>Yasin Ayari, Benjamin Nygren, Gustaf Lagerbielke, Elliot Stroud and Patrik W\u00e5lemark are ill and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sydsvenskan.se\/sport\/totalt-sjukdomskaos-i-blagult-fem-missar-matchen\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">stay in Sweden<\/a>; Stroud and W\u00e5lemark, the worst hit, will also miss Monday&#8217;s game in Romania;<\/li>\n<li>after Eric Smith&#8217;s recall on Wednesday, four reinforcements have been called up: Felix Beijmo, Samuel Dahl, Hugo Bolin and Ken Sema.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Team doctor Jonas Werner talks of \u201cpossible measures to limit the spread of infection\u201d. Sweden held their last session at home before travelling to Sarajevo, with no session in Bosnia: in a match that comes down to freshness, that detail counts.<\/p>\n<h2>Gy\u00f6keres scores, Bosnia blow hot and cold<\/h2>\n<p>Sweden&#8217;s campaign has one face: two wins, and Gy\u00f6keres scoring in both, against Romania and then in front of 24,637 spectators against Poland. But without Ekdal, Holm or Lagerbielke, the Swedish back line is being rebuilt piece by piece, Lindel\u00f6f, Starfelt and Skoglund forming the back three, and Bosnia, carried by a full stadium, have the tools to trouble it.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Date<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Team<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Opponent<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Competition<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>28\/09<\/td>\n<td>Bosnia and Herzegovina<\/td>\n<td>Romania<\/td>\n<td>Nations League<\/td>\n<td>4-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>25\/09<\/td>\n<td>Bosnia and Herzegovina<\/td>\n<td>Poland<\/td>\n<td>Nations League<\/td>\n<td>0-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>02\/07<\/td>\n<td>Bosnia and Herzegovina<\/td>\n<td>USA<\/td>\n<td>World Cup<\/td>\n<td>0-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>18\/06<\/td>\n<td>Bosnia and Herzegovina<\/td>\n<td>Switzerland<\/td>\n<td>World Cup<\/td>\n<td>1-4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>28\/09<\/td>\n<td>Sweden<\/td>\n<td>Poland<\/td>\n<td>Nations League<\/td>\n<td>3-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>25\/09<\/td>\n<td>Sweden<\/td>\n<td>Romania<\/td>\n<td>Nations League<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>30\/06<\/td>\n<td>Sweden<\/td>\n<td>France<\/td>\n<td>World Cup<\/td>\n<td>0-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>20\/06<\/td>\n<td>Sweden<\/td>\n<td>Netherlands<\/td>\n<td>World Cup<\/td>\n<td>1-5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Bosnia have blown hot and cold: mute against Poland, let loose in Romania. The two nations have not met since 2010: no direct reference, this match reads through the absences and the form.<\/p>\n<h2>Both teams to score at 1.615: the price is already right<\/h2>\n<p>On Thursday, Sweden were priced at 2.45 with Bet365 (2.10 at the opening); Bosnia had shortened from 3.80 to 3.10. That move started before the five sick players were announced: the market may not have finished taking it in.<\/p>\n<p>I take both teams to score at 1.615 with Betway. I give a goal at each end a 66% chance; the price implies 62, and my estimate no longer sits far enough from the market&#8217;s: minimum stake, 0.25 units ($25), at a quarter <a href=\"\/en\/tools\/kelly-calculator\/\">Kelly<\/a>. Both teams score: +$15.38. One of them fails to score: \u2212$25. Sweden&#8217;s outbreak cuts both ways for this bet: fewer creators around Gy\u00f6keres, but a back line being rebuilt against a Bosnia carried by their stadium. The official line-ups follow that double reading: both teams start with their two strikers. The losing scenario exists: it is the Poland match, a Bosnia who do not open the scoring.<\/p>\n<p>This pick joins my <a href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/record\/\">public record<\/a>, whatever the outcome. 18+. Only bet what you can afford to lose.<\/p>\n<h2>Gy\u00f6keres scored, Zenica answered<\/h2>\n<p>Gy\u00f6keres opened for Sweden, Alajbegovi\u0107 equalised late for Bosnia: 1-1 at the Bilino Polje, and D\u017eeko&#8217;s farewell ends in a draw, without the parting goal. The two-sided reading I took from Sweden&#8217;s injury crisis played out as written: fewer creators around Gy\u00f6keres, a rebuilt defence facing a full stadium.<\/p>\n<p>Both teams to score, taken at 1.615 with Betway, wins: minimum stake, 0.25 units, +$15.38. Each side found the net once; the price had this game measured, and my stake followed it.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gy\u00f6keres then Alajbegovi\u0107: 1-1 in Zenica on D\u017eeko&#8217;s farewell. My bet, both teams to score, wins: +$15.38.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":4087,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Bosnia vs Sweden prediction: 1-1 in Zenica, Gy\u00f6keres then Alajbegovi\u0107 on D\u017eeko&#8217;s farewell. My both teams to score bet wins, +$15.38.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Bosnia and Herzegovina","ba_away_name":"Sweden","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-02 18:45:00","ba_venue":"Stadion Bilino Polje","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1528929","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[20,46],"class_list":["post-2976","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football-en","ba_sport-nations-league-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bosnia host a weakened Sweden in Zenica for Dzeko&#8217;s farewell &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bosnia vs Sweden prediction: 1-1 in Zenica, Gy\u00f6keres then Alajbegovi\u0107 on D\u017eeko&#8217;s farewell. 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My both teams to score bet wins, +$15.38.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/football\/nations-league\/bosnia-herzegovina-sweden-prediction-2026-10-02\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Bosnia host a weakened Sweden in Zenica for Dzeko&#8217;s farewell &#183; Bankroll Atlas","og_description":"Bosnia vs Sweden prediction: 1-1 in Zenica, Gy\u00f6keres then Alajbegovi\u0107 on D\u017eeko&#8217;s farewell. 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