{"id":4245,"date":"2026-10-03T12:03:39","date_gmt":"2026-10-03T10:03:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/romania-vs-sweden-a-back-line-to-rebuild-with-gyokeres-waiting\/"},"modified":"2026-10-05T23:10:38","modified_gmt":"2026-10-05T21:10:38","slug":"romania-sweden-prediction-2026-10-05","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/football\/nations-league\/romania-sweden-prediction-2026-10-05\/","title":{"rendered":"Romania vs Sweden: a back line to rebuild, with Gy\u00f6keres waiting"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In Warsaw on Friday, Romania lost both of their starting centre-backs in a single evening: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gsp.ro\/fotbal\/nationala\/aparare-decimata-romania-suedia-virgil-ghita-suspendat-984238.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Dr\u0103gu\u0219in sent off in the 22nd minute<\/a> for a foul on Lewandowski, penalty given, then Ghi\u021b\u0103 booked twice. The 0-6 followed, and the bill lands on Monday&#8217;s game: the Arena Na\u021bional\u0103 hosts Sweden, top of the group with 7 points, against a back line rebuilt from scratch.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Dr\u0103gu\u0219in and Ghi\u021b\u0103, the two starting centre-backs, suspended for Monday.<\/li>\n<li>Denis Dr\u0103gu\u0219 and Florinel Coman, injured, out of the squad for the whole window.<\/li>\n<li>For Sweden, Starfelt, hurt at the back of his thigh against Bosnia on Friday, has left the squad to start his rehab with Celta Vigo, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.svenskfotboll.se\/nyheter\/landslag\/2026\/10\/victor-eriksson-kallas-in\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the federation has called up Victor Eriksson of Hammarby as cover<\/a>; the official XI pairs Smith with Lindel\u00f6f, not emergency call-up Eriksson; Isak had already gone home after the first leg in late September.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>A new pairing, ninety minutes of doubt<\/h2>\n<p>A centre-back pairing that has never played together concedes on details: who covers the striker, who steps in to build, who calls the line when the press comes. Waiting for them is Gy\u00f6keres, on the scoresheet in all three of Sweden&#8217;s group games, including the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/sport\/football\/live\/crgqdp3dngqqt\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2-1 in the reverse fixture on 25 September<\/a>. Give him half a chance once and that is usually enough.<\/p>\n<p>Five names are doing the rounds in Romania, <a href=\"https:\/\/hurbra.se\/dragusin-avstangd-mot-sverige-5-oktober-2026\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Coubi\u0219, Burc\u0103, Racovi\u021ban, Ilie or Eissat<\/a>, and the pair was still unsettled this Saturday; the official XI has now settled it: Coubi\u0219 and Ilie in the middle, Ra\u021biu and Bancu on the flanks. The mood is heavy: Hagi called himself the first responsible for the debacle and waves away any talk of resignation, while Balint and Prunea call for his head.<\/p>\n<h2>Sweden top the group, drained by the week<\/h2>\n<p>Seven points, two wins, a draw: Sweden have handled the pitch, not the treatment room. This week alone, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.svt.se\/sport\/fotboll\/sveriges-herrlandslag-i-fotboll?inlagg=01b64016c2792ee725779d285275e9b4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">four players left the camp ill<\/a>, defender Mellberg among them, and the staff kept making emergency call-ups. On Friday, Bosnia held them 1-1, Gy\u00f6keres scoring once more. The back line lives dangerously: one goal conceded in each of the three group games, and no clean sheet for Graham Potter since he took over.<\/p>\n<p>Both teams&#8217; last five matches:<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Team<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Date<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Competition<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Opponent<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Romania<\/td>\n<td>02\/10<\/td>\n<td>Nations League<\/td>\n<td>Poland (away)<\/td>\n<td>0-6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Romania<\/td>\n<td>28\/09<\/td>\n<td>Nations League<\/td>\n<td>Bosnia and Herzegovina (home)<\/td>\n<td>2-4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Romania<\/td>\n<td>25\/09<\/td>\n<td>Nations League<\/td>\n<td>Sweden (away)<\/td>\n<td>1-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Romania<\/td>\n<td>06\/06<\/td>\n<td>Friendly<\/td>\n<td>Wales (home)<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Romania<\/td>\n<td>02\/06<\/td>\n<td>Friendly<\/td>\n<td>Georgia (away)<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Sweden<\/td>\n<td>02\/10<\/td>\n<td>Nations League<\/td>\n<td>Bosnia and Herzegovina (away)<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Sweden<\/td>\n<td>28\/09<\/td>\n<td>Nations League<\/td>\n<td>Poland (home)<\/td>\n<td>3-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Sweden<\/td>\n<td>25\/09<\/td>\n<td>Nations League<\/td>\n<td>Romania (home)<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Sweden<\/td>\n<td>30\/06<\/td>\n<td>World Cup<\/td>\n<td>France (away)<\/td>\n<td>0-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Sweden<\/td>\n<td>25\/06<\/td>\n<td>World Cup<\/td>\n<td>Japan (away)<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>A price that has already moved<\/h2>\n<p>Sweden have shortened all weekend: 1.95 early in the week, 1.89 with 10BET on Saturday when the bet went on, 1.78 at the best price on Sunday; Romania have drifted from 4.10 to 4.50. At 1.78 the market gives Sweden a touch over 56 percent, almost my reading: I stay at 57, without reading too much into a 0-6 played against ten men for over an hour.<\/p>\n<h2>Sweden at 1.89, with restraint<\/h2>\n<p>The edge over the market was real on Saturday, the market has nearly closed it since, and the stake I took says so: 0.75 units, $75, on Sweden to win at 1.89 with 10BET. The winning script: an early Swedish goal, a Romanian pairing with no shared reflexes retreating into mistakes. The losing script: an Arena at full boil, a low block that holds for ninety minutes, Swedes running on empty. Sweden win in normal time: +$66.75. Draw or Romania win: -$75.<\/p>\n<p>To work out your own stakes, the <a href=\"\/en\/tools\/kelly-calculator\/\">Kelly calculator<\/a> does the maths, and my tips, won or lost, stay on the <a href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/record\/\">public record<\/a>. 18+. Only bet what you can afford to lose.<\/p>\n<h2>Gy\u00f6keres was enough<\/h2>\n<p>Sweden won 0-1 in Bucharest, and the winning scenario I described played out almost word for word: Gy\u00f6keres scored in the 13th minute, his fourth goal in four group games, against the brand-new centre-back pairing of Coubi\u0219 and Ilie. Romania, four defeats in four, never found a way back, and Sweden finish the window alone on top, with ten points.<\/p>\n<p>My bet, Sweden to win at 1.89, has won: 0.75 unit, $66.75. An early goal, a defence without collective bearings that steps back: the match ran on its own. Sweden leave with ten points from twelve and their first game of the group without conceding.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sweden won 0-1 in Bucharest, Gy\u00f6keres scoring on 13 minutes. My bet at 1.89 has won, 0.75 unit, and Sweden finish the window on top alone.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":5264,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Romania vs Sweden prediction: Romania without both centre-backs, Sweden now missing Starfelt too. My tip: Sweden to win at 1.89 with 10BET, 0.75 units.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Romania","ba_away_name":"Sweden","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-05 18:45:00","ba_venue":"Arena Na\u021bional\u0103","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1528949","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[20,46],"class_list":["post-4245","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football-en","ba_sport-nations-league-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Romania vs Sweden: a back line to rebuild, with Gy\u00f6keres waiting &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Romania vs Sweden prediction: Romania without both centre-backs, Sweden now missing Starfelt too. 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