{"id":5380,"date":"2026-10-06T13:03:01","date_gmt":"2026-10-06T11:03:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/clermont-bordeaux-begles-prediction-2026-10-10\/"},"modified":"2026-10-10T23:13:20","modified_gmt":"2026-10-10T21:13:20","slug":"clermont-bordeaux-begles-prediction-2026-10-10","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/rugby\/top-14\/clermont-bordeaux-begles-prediction-2026-10-10\/","title":{"rendered":"Clermont – Bordeaux B\u00e8gles: UBB only win at home, and they travel on Saturday"},"content":{"rendered":"

Two Top 14 sides that only win in their own stadium. Clermont have taken both their wins at Marcel-Michelin, UBB all three of theirs at home; away, both lose everything. On Saturday it is Bordeaux B\u00e8gles who travel, and the market has hardened: Clermont have gone from a 1.57 open to 1.33 with Bet365, UBB now stand at 4.10 with 1xbet. My bet, taken on Tuesday at 1.55 with Betano, stays where it is.<\/p>\n

Marcel-Michelin holds, the road breaks them<\/h2>\n

Clermont sit 8th, two wins from two home games and nothing away: 13-38 at La Rochelle, where the Auvergne press watched the ASM sink, 24-46 at Bayonne, 36-40 at Lyon. In La Rochelle, 26 points conceded in the second half after a yellow card. The home crowd expects the reaction at home, where ASM have not lost.<\/p>\n

The best attack only wins at home too<\/h2>\n

4th hosts 8th, and the head-to-head<\/a> is one glance:<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Head-to-head<\/th>\nASM Clermont<\/th>\nUnion Bordeaux-B\u00e8gles<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Standings before round 6<\/td>\n8th, two wins, three defeats<\/td>\n4th, three wins, two defeats<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Points scored per game<\/td>\n24<\/td>\n38<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tries scored per game<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Penalties conceded per game<\/td>\naround 12<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Home \/ away record<\/td>\ntwo home wins, none away<\/td>\nthree home wins, none away<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Thirty-eight points and six tries a game: this attack is not coming to Clermont to shut the match down. It loses everything on the road, 25-38 at Perpignan, 12-48 at Toulouse, and Clermont concede around twelve penalties a game. Against a side that plays standing up, every penalty given away in front of the line costs three points at a time. UBB, for their part, already look further ahead: they open their Champions Cup at Gloucester on Friday 16 October<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Jalibert still out, Reus or Reti\u00e8re at fly-half<\/h2>\n

The heaviest absence is confirmed: Matthieu Jalibert, a quadriceps tear on 20 September against Stade Fran\u00e7ais, four weeks out by his own count, up to six according to the regional press<\/a>. A day out from kick-off, the LNR still has not published the line-ups. The probable XVs in the press<\/a> give Plummer at fly-half for Clermont with Jauneau captaining, and Reus or Reti\u00e8re in the UBB number 10 shirt outside Lucu; nothing official before Saturday.<\/p>\n

On the absentees, the third-party Allrugby list<\/a> has not moved since the start of the week:<\/p>\n