{"id":5648,"date":"2026-10-07T11:54:09","date_gmt":"2026-10-07T09:54:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/toulouse-bayonne-prediction-2026-10-11\/"},"modified":"2026-10-12T10:20:23","modified_gmt":"2026-10-12T08:20:23","slug":"toulouse-bayonne-prediction-2026-10-11","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/rugby\/top-14\/toulouse-bayonne-prediction-2026-10-11\/","title":{"rendered":"Toulouse vs Bayonne: two points apart in the table, twenty-eight in the market"},"content":{"rendered":"

Two points separate Toulouse and Bayonne in the Top 14 table; twenty-eight points separate them in the market. First hosts third on Sunday evening at Ernest-Wallon, in front of a sell-out crowd, to close round six, and the bookmakers have already folded the match: Toulouse at 1.01, a line at −27.5. I do not see it that tidy.<\/p>\n

The Wallon gives nothing away<\/h2>\n

The recent head-to-head tells two stories: at the Wallon, Toulouse have always had the final word; at home, the Basques have won the last two meetings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
When<\/th>\nGround<\/th>\nScore<\/th>\nWinner<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
January 2026<\/td>\nErnest-Wallon<\/td>\n31-10<\/td>\nToulouse<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
October 2025<\/td>\nin Bayonne<\/td>\n40-26<\/td>\nBayonne<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Semi-final 2025<\/td>\nErnest-Wallon<\/td>\n32-25<\/td>\nToulouse<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
February 2025<\/td>\nErnest-Wallon<\/td>\n41-6<\/td>\nToulouse<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
November 2024<\/td>\nin Bayonne<\/td>\n12-8<\/td>\nBayonne<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Bayonne are rolling, Toulouse keep winning<\/h2>\n

Three straight wins for the Aviron: Clermont put away 46-24, Racing beaten on the road 20-17, Stade Fran\u00e7ais passed 35-32. The lineout runs at an 85% success rate with a new system and four signings in the pack, and Arthur Iturria, back from a hamstring injury, is closing on his first team sheet of the season. Toulouse have not lost since the opening round at La Rochelle (30-27): four wins in a row, including an 8-7 win scraped on the road at Castres with a rotated side.<\/p>\n

The front-liners rested against Castres returned to training with the group this week, Dupont, Ntamack, Baille, Flament and Brennan first, l’Opinion reports<\/a>. For Bayonne, Sud Ouest expects a reshaped XV: Orab\u00e9 returns from suspension<\/a>, but captain Tuilagi, Geraci and Tiberghien are rested, and Capilla starts at number eight against his future club. The LNR team sheet<\/a> was still blank on Saturday evening: nothing official before Sunday.<\/p>\n

A treatment room close to full<\/h2>\n

The rest of the Toulouse squad is still in the treatment room:<\/p>\n