{"id":5967,"date":"2026-10-08T11:33:50","date_gmt":"2026-10-08T09:33:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/norrie-svrcina-prediction-2026-10-08\/"},"modified":"2026-10-08T17:10:06","modified_gmt":"2026-10-08T15:10:06","slug":"norrie-svrcina-prediction-2026-10-08","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/tennis\/atp\/norrie-svrcina-prediction-2026-10-08\/","title":{"rendered":"Cameron Norrie vs Dalibor Svrcina in Shanghai: the favourite chases his first win since August"},"content":{"rendered":"

A withdrawal that changes the draw<\/h2>\n

The original draw sent Cameron Norrie into Denis Shapovalov. The Canadian pulled out with a hip injury picked up in Tokyo, and the Briton inherits qualifier Dalibor Svrcina, ranked 126. On paper, the door looks open. I push it twice before walking in: Norrie has been chasing a win since mid-August.<\/p>\n

His opponent took the other road: Svrcina came through qualifying on Monday and Tuesday, one full match taken from Billy Harris, then a shortened path, Nishioka retiring at 5-2 in the first set. A Masters 1000 first round between a direct entrant and a qualifier in form.<\/p>\n

Norrie has lost his bearings, not his level<\/h2>\n

Three straight defeats: Zverev in Cincinnati in mid-August, Van Assche at the US Open at the end of August, Zverev again in Beijing last Thursday. None was a collapse, and Beijing came down to two tight sets (7-6, 6-4). His 2026 record reads 21 wins and 20 losses, 14-11 on hard courts: the base has not moved, it is the close sets that keep slipping.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Player<\/th>\nDate<\/th>\nOpponent<\/th>\nEvent<\/th>\nResult<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
C. Norrie<\/td>\n1 October<\/td>\nZverev<\/td>\nBeijing, first round<\/td>\nLoss 7-6(1), 6-4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
C. Norrie<\/td>\n30 August<\/td>\nVan Assche<\/td>\nUS Open, first round<\/td>\nLoss in four sets<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
C. Norrie<\/td>\n16 August<\/td>\nZverev<\/td>\nCincinnati, second round<\/td>\nLoss<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
D. Svrcina<\/td>\n6 October<\/td>\nNishioka<\/td>\nShanghai, qualifying 2<\/td>\nWin 5-2, retirement<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
D. Svrcina<\/td>\n5 October<\/td>\nHarris<\/td>\nShanghai, qualifying 1<\/td>\nWin 4-6, 7-6(6), 7-5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
D. Svrcina<\/td>\n23 September<\/td>\nHijikata<\/td>\nHangzhou, second round<\/td>\nLoss<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Across the net, Svrcina has won seven of his last ten matches. Against Billy Harris in qualifying he saved two match points before turning the last set around. That Harris match remains the only full one he has played on these courts this week; Norrie last played on 1 October.<\/p>\n

A first meeting, bearings to build<\/h2>\n

They have never played each other, a first meeting<\/a> between the two. With no head-to-head, I read this match through the conditions: outdoor hard in the evening, around 21 degrees, humidity and a few drops in the forecast, a court that slows the ball. If the rally settles long, it tilts towards Norrie; the danger sits in the early games, while he rebuilds his footwork.<\/p>\n