{"id":6252,"date":"2026-10-08T20:45:44","date_gmt":"2026-10-08T18:45:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/glasner-returns-to-selhurst-crystal-palace-have-never-beaten-nottingham-forest\/"},"modified":"2026-10-11T18:15:57","modified_gmt":"2026-10-11T16:15:57","slug":"crystal-palace-nottingham-forest-prediction-2026-10-11","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/football\/premier-league\/crystal-palace-nottingham-forest-prediction-2026-10-11\/","title":{"rendered":"Glasner back at Selhurst: Crystal Palace have never beaten Nottingham Forest"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Oliver Glasner is back at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.premierleague.com\/en\/match\/2645249\/crystal-palace-vs-nottingham-forest\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Selhurst Park<\/a> on Sunday. He left behind an FA Cup, a Conference League and a Community Shield when he departed for Nottingham Forest this summer; Pierre Sage, formerly of Lens, took over. The welcome will be warm, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/sport\/football\/articles\/c5lye0emem9do\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the BBC expects<\/a> a hero&#8217;s reception. The stat waiting for Palace is colder: twelve Premier League meetings between the two clubs, no Palace win, eight draws, four defeats. The last three all finished 1-1.<\/p>\n<h2>Twelve meetings, zero wins, three 1-1 draws in a row<\/h2>\n<p>The run describes a fixture that refuses to settle: twenty goals in twelve meetings, under two per match, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestatszone.com\/crystal-palace-vs-nottingham-forest-preview-team-news-prediction-227761\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">five of the last six at Selhurst ended level<\/a>. Palace have not won a home league game since April.<\/p>\n<p>The last five meetings, all in the Premier League:<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Match<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>01\/02\/2026<\/td>\n<td>Nottingham Forest &#8211; Crystal Palace<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>24\/08\/2025<\/td>\n<td>Crystal Palace &#8211; Nottingham Forest<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>05\/05\/2025<\/td>\n<td>Crystal Palace &#8211; Nottingham Forest<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>21\/10\/2024<\/td>\n<td>Nottingham Forest &#8211; Crystal Palace<\/td>\n<td>1-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>30\/03\/2024<\/td>\n<td>Nottingham Forest &#8211; Crystal Palace<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>Two blunt attacks, two busy treatment rooms<\/h2>\n<p>Palace sit 15th on four points, Forest 13th on five, and both attacks have stalled: six league goals for Palace in five rounds, four for Forest. On Friday the London club settled it: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cpfc.co.uk\/news\/first-team\/team-news-sage-updates-on-mateta-and-khalaili-ahead-of-forest\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Mateta, Henderson and Tomiyasu will all three miss Sunday<\/a>, with a return targeted for 18 October; Disasi still serves his suspension after his red card against Ipswich, and Riad (knee) targets 2027. Two returns, though: Khalaili, recovered from the injury picked up with Israel, starts, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/sport\/football\/articles\/cm93zq75nzd7o\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Isma\u00efla Sarr, eight minutes of football since August, is fit but does not start<\/a>. The official team sheet settles the back line: Richards, Lerma and Canvot, no Ahanor, in a 3-4-2-1 with Strand Larsen leading the line.<\/p>\n<p>At Forest, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/sport\/football\/articles\/cm3vqpkyl7g3o\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Milenkovic will miss the match<\/a>: bone bruising from a collision in training, and a defender who cannot train. Igor Jesus (calf) is out for a few weeks, Neco Williams, feverish on his return from international duty, starts anyway, and Savona, still recovering from knee surgery, remains sidelined.<\/p>\n<h2>A market that refuses to pick a side<\/h2>\n<p>On the eve of the match the 1X2 stays tight: 2.79 for Palace, 3.49 for the draw, 2.70 for Forest at 1xbet, a slight drift towards Forest since Wednesday. On goals, the price has moved: under 2.5 has gone from 1.93 to 2.00, while the over came back to 1.94. A Forest back line without Milenkovic, attacking returns at Palace: the bookmakers see the match a touch more open than at the start of the week.<\/p>\n<h2>My bet: two goals or fewer, 0.5 units<\/h2>\n<p>My bet, recorded on Wednesday: under 2.5 goals at 1.93 with 1xbet. The price has drifted since; the bet stays as it is. At 1.93, the market gives two goals or fewer just over an even chance; I make it 55 %. What tilts me: two attacks scoring this little, a Palace without Mateta until 18 October, and a run of meetings stuck on the same score. What holds me back: Forest without Milenkovic, and a goals market that still expects both ends to score, both teams to score at 1.70. The official line-ups, out on Sunday, back that read.<\/p>\n<p>The gap stays modest and the stake says so: 0.5 units, $50. In practice: 0, 1 or 2 goals, the bet pays $46.45; three goals or more, it loses $50. 18+. Only bet what you can afford to lose. The staking rule can be worked out with the <a href=\"\/en\/tools\/kelly-calculator\/\">Kelly calculator<\/a>; the bet will go on the <a href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/record\/\">public record<\/a> as it stands, win or lose.<\/p>\n<h2>Three Palace goals, a first in thirteen meetings<\/h2>\n<p>Final score: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.11v11.com\/matches\/crystal-palace-v-nottingham-forest-11-october-2026-395565\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Crystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham Forest<\/a>. Ndoye had put Forest ahead as early as the 3rd minute, and the series said otherwise: twelve Premier League meetings without a Palace win, eight draws, three straight 1-1s. Kamada on 41, Lerma on 45+4 and Pino on 59 turned the match either side of half time. It is Palace&#8217;s first win over Forest in thirteen attempts, and three goals, half their league tally for the season, in a single afternoon.<\/p>\n<p>The bet died at 45+4, on Lerma&#8217;s goal, the third of the match: under 2.5 goals at 1.93 with 1xbet, 0.5 units, $50 lost. The market had warned me, the under had drifted from 1.93 to 2.00 by the end of the week: it saw the game opening, with Palace&#8217;s attacking returns and no Milenkovic at the back for Forest. It opened, four goals: my two stalled attacks woke up at once, and Palace&#8217;s scored three of them.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Palace win 3-1, their first victory in thirteen Premier League meetings with Forest. Under 2.5 goals dies at 45+4 with the third goal: $50 lost.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":7396,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest prediction: Glasner returns to Selhurst. My pick: under 2.5 goals at 1.93, the stake and the full analysis.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Crystal Palace","ba_away_name":"Nottingham Forest","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-11 13:00:00","ba_venue":"Selhurst Park","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1557421","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[20,71],"class_list":["post-6252","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football-en","ba_sport-premier-league-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Glasner back at Selhurst: Crystal Palace have never beaten Nottingham Forest &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest prediction: Glasner returns to Selhurst. 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He follows Ligue 1 and the European competitions most closely.","url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/authors\/lucas-morel\/","knowsAbout":["Football","Ligue 1 and European competitions"]}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ba_match\/6252","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ba_match"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/ba_match"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ba_match\/6252\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7461,"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ba_match\/6252\/revisions\/7461"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7396"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6252"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"ba_sport","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ba_sport?post=6252"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}