{"id":6426,"date":"2026-10-09T11:36:34","date_gmt":"2026-10-09T09:36:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/zhou-vs-musetti-a-month-without-a-match-and-musetti-still-at-1-20\/"},"modified":"2026-10-09T17:17:42","modified_gmt":"2026-10-09T15:17:42","slug":"zhou-musetti-prediction-2026-10-09","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/tennis\/atp\/zhou-musetti-prediction-2026-10-09\/","title":{"rendered":"Zhou vs Musetti: a month without a match, and Musetti still at 1.20"},"content":{"rendered":"

Yi Zhou won his opening match at the Shanghai Masters through a deciding tie-break: 6-4, 3-6, 7-6(4) against Mattia Bellucci<\/a>, on Wednesday on the Chinese hard courts. Lorenzo Musetti has not played a competitive match since the US Open in early September. First meeting between the two, and a picture almost drawn in advance: the man who has already won here is cast as a bystander, the man coming back from a month out is the seed. Friday’s order of play<\/a> puts this match at the end of the Stadium Court session, after Djokovic – Hurkacz: clear sky, 25 degrees recorded in the afternoon, a light wind, and an outdoor match in the evening.<\/p>\n

Zhou has already won on this court<\/h2>\n

A wildcard entry, Zhou arrived in Shanghai after quick exits in Chengdu and at the China Open. Against Bellucci he held together the tight moments, third-set tie-break included: 12 aces and 9 break points saved. The tournament describes him as an attacking player, built on a forehand that takes the ball early<\/a> and a constant willingness to finish at the net. That profile does not collect long rallies: he hunts the wrong-foot and the approach, which bothers an opponent short of rhythm more than anyone.<\/p>\n

Musetti returns from a month without a match<\/h2>\n

Seeded, and therefore exempt from the first round, the Italian has not played since his US Open defeat. A finger fracture<\/a>, reported in late September, cost him Tokyo on the way. He says the hand has healed and denies any discomfort; he is back to full training and has strung together two days of practice<\/a> without pain in the finger, he said on Friday. Pain is not my subject here: rhythm is. A month away rarely gets paid off in the first round back, and rarely in the scoreline, more in the hold of the service games late in a set, when the second serve starts slowing down.<\/p>\n

At 1.20, the market has already decided<\/h2>\n

Musetti is still priced at 1.20 with 1xbet, the odds recorded on Thursday evening when the bet was placed; on Friday morning the best price on the market stands at 1.222 with Betway, and Zhou remains 4.90 with Unibet: no movement since the bet was placed. At 1.20, the odds promise the Italian just over an 83% chance. I give him 73: the gap, in my reading, sits with the market, which has the injury return already priced in.<\/p>\n

In the first set, three things will tell me whether I got it wrong:<\/p>\n