{"id":7970,"date":"2026-10-12T20:40:56","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T18:40:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/hapoel-tel-aviv-besiktas-a-favourite-without-home-court-an-underdog-that-wins-on-the-road\/"},"modified":"2026-10-14T20:11:45","modified_gmt":"2026-10-14T18:11:45","slug":"hapoel-tel-aviv-besiktas-prediction-2026-10-14","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/hapoel-tel-aviv-besiktas-prediction-2026-10-14\/","title":{"rendered":"Hapoel Tel Aviv \u2013 Besiktas: a favourite without home court, an underdog that wins on the road"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Hapoel Tel Aviv host Besiktas on Wednesday night, and the quotation marks matter: round 5 is played at the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/euroleague\/game-center\/2026-27\/hapoel-ibi-tel-aviv-besiktas-istanbul\/E2026\/48\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Arena 8888 in Sofia<\/a>, not in Israel. Itoudis is not done with his suitcases either: Panathinaikos await him in Athens on Friday. The market has settled the winner; I dispute the margin.<\/p>\n<h2>Sofia cuts Hapoel\u2019s home court in half<\/h2>\n<p>Four rounds in, the records are identical: 2-2. Hapoel sit 11th (-8), Besiktas 7th (+9), and the Turkish club\u2019s return, thirteen years on and via wildcard, is going better than expected.<\/p>\n<p>At 1.35 with 1xbet on Tuesday (1.37 on Saturday), the market has shortened Hapoel\u2019s price again. A clear favourite, I agree; a neutral floor is worth a few points, not eight and a half.<\/p>\n<h2>Valencia left a mark in the first quarter<\/h2>\n<p>On Thursday, Hapoel lost 93-82 at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/israel-news\/sports\/article-911354\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Valencia<\/a> despite 30 points from Blakeney. Itoudis did not look for nuance: the game was lost on first-quarter defence. That slow start is what worries me against Besiktas. Bryant, Satoransky and Blakeney will score; the bounce-back has already come in the Israeli league, but getting into games is the unfinished job.<\/p>\n<h2>Besiktas win on the road<\/h2>\n<p>The bare numbers: 109-93 at Maccabi, 92-84 at Baskonia on Friday, an 82-95 defeat against Barcelona in between. Wilbekin holds the ball, Dotson and Zizic complete the picture. Itoudis expects \u201cplenty of pressure on the ball\u201d and rates Besiktas\u2019 \u201cexperience and athleticism\u201d (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/news\/pregame-quotes-round-5-el2627\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pregame quotes<\/a>). Two road wins in four rounds, for a club rediscovering the EuroLeague: that is solid.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>DaQuan Jeffries (Besiktas): broken left wrist in round 1, operated on, out indefinitely; three rounds missed (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/news\/injury-report-round-5-el2627\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">injury report<\/a>).<\/li>\n<li>Tomer Ginat (Hapoel): knee, not a single minute this season; the double week comes too soon for him.<\/li>\n<li>Bar Timor (Hapoel): did not travel to Sofia; illness in the league\u2019s injury report, \u201ccoach\u2019s choice\u201d for <a href=\"https:\/\/basketnews.com\/news-212393-euroleague-injury-report-updated.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BasketNews<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li>Amir Coffey (Hapoel): travelled after four rounds without playing; \u201cgame-time\u201d status.<\/li>\n<li>Tyler Ennis (Hapoel): Achilles, long-term; Guy Palatin, outside the EuroLeague roster.<\/li>\n<li>Sissoko (Besiktas): move frozen on medical grounds, the squad has not been reinforced.<\/li>\n<li>No lineups published yet: for Hapoel, watch Bryant, Satoransky and Blakeney, plus Coffey\u2019s green light; for Besiktas, Wilbekin, Dotson and Zizic.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>The pick: Besiktas +8.5 at 1.83<\/h2>\n<p>Hapoel as favourite, I concede. My disagreement is the margin, and the market is starting to come round: the main line has moved from 7.5 to 7 points between Monday and Tuesday. Mine has not moved: Besiktas +8.5 at 1.83 with BetMGM.<\/p>\n<p>I give Besiktas a 57% chance of covering the 8.5 points, where the odds imply 54.6%. A game in Sofia, two road wins: the Turkish resistance looks sturdier to me than the handicap suggests.<\/p>\n<p>The stake: 0.75 units, $75. Besiktas win or lose by eight points or fewer, overtime included: the bet pays $62.25. Hapoel win by nine or more: the $75 is gone, with no refund possible on an 8.5 line.<\/p>\n<p>My thermometer will be the first quarter: if Besiktas survive the opening five minutes level, the line lives long; if Hapoel roll from the start, so much for my Turkish resistance.<\/p>\n<p>Unit stakes are <a href=\"\/en\/tools\/kelly-calculator\/\">calculated<\/a>, not decreed; the rest is tracked in the public <a href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/record\/\">record<\/a>, wins and losses alike. 18+. Only bet what you can afford to lose.<\/p>\n<h2>The third quarter settled it<\/h2>\n<p>Hapoel Tel Aviv win 100-82. My line allowed a defeat by eight and a half: eighteen is nine and a half too many, and the $75 stake is gone in full.<\/p>\n<p>My thermometer sat in the first quarter, and it read the way I hoped: 22-18 Hapoel, then 21-21 in the second. At half-time the line was still alive. The third quarter killed it: 32-16, a sixteen-point gap in ten minutes (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/euroleague\/game-center\/2026-27\/hapoel-ibi-tel-aviv-besiktas-istanbul\/E2026\/48\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">quarter scores on the official game page<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p>The slow start I had tracked since Valencia cost Hapoel neither points nor the game: it was all decided after the break. Zizic finished as the game\u2019s top performer (17 points, 28 PIR), Bryant and Micic carried Hapoel with 16 each. The Turkish resistance held for two quarters; my 57% did not survive the third.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hapoel Tel Aviv win 100-82 in Sofia: my Besiktas +8.5 at 1.83 loses, and the third quarter (32-16) decided the game.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":8459,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Hapoel Tel Aviv host Besiktas in Sofia, not Tel Aviv. My prediction: Besiktas +8.5 at 1.83 with BetMGM, 0.75 units on the Turkish resistance.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Hapoel Tel Aviv","ba_away_name":"Besiktas","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-14 16:00:00","ba_venue":"Arena","ba_match_key":"api-sports:basketball:508629","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[25,96],"class_list":["post-7970","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-basketball-en","ba_sport-euroleague-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Hapoel Tel Aviv \u2013 Besiktas: a favourite without home court, an underdog that wins on the road &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Hapoel Tel Aviv host Besiktas in Sofia, not Tel Aviv. 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My prediction: Besiktas +8.5 at 1.83 with BetMGM, 0.75 units on the Turkish resistance.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/hapoel-tel-aviv-besiktas-prediction-2026-10-14\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Hapoel Tel Aviv \u2013 Besiktas: a favourite without home court, an underdog that wins on the road &#183; Bankroll Atlas","og_description":"Hapoel Tel Aviv host Besiktas in Sofia, not Tel Aviv. 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My prediction: Besiktas +8.5 at 1.83 with BetMGM, 0.75 units on the Turkish resistance.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/hapoel-tel-aviv-besiktas-prediction-2026-10-14\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/hapoel-tel-aviv-besiktas-prediction-2026-10-14\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/hapoel-tel-aviv-besiktas-prediction-2026-10-14\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/carte-hapoel-tel-aviv-besiktas-en-ba949ffc.webp","contentUrl":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/carte-hapoel-tel-aviv-besiktas-en-ba949ffc.webp","width":1200,"height":675,"caption":"Hapoel Tel Aviv \u2013 Besiktas \u00b7 EuroLeague \u00b7 100-82"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/hapoel-tel-aviv-besiktas-prediction-2026-10-14\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Matchs","item":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Hapoel Tel Aviv \u2013 Besiktas: a favourite without home court, an underdog that wins on the road"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/","name":"Bankroll Atlas","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#organization","name":"Bankroll Atlas","url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/bankroll-atlas-logo.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/bankroll-atlas-logo.png","width":512,"height":512,"caption":"Bankroll Atlas"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/a52ee5edc7737ea4704a1cebf10394c8","name":"Sarah Delcourt","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/73d0e55235c16090e214b35415fe3b6cccc6e978e4e350604d78fb3042c591d9?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/73d0e55235c16090e214b35415fe3b6cccc6e978e4e350604d78fb3042c591d9?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/73d0e55235c16090e214b35415fe3b6cccc6e978e4e350604d78fb3042c591d9?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Sarah Delcourt"},"description":"A former point guard in a regional league, Sarah never lost her taste for reading the game and its numbers. 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