{"id":8661,"date":"2026-10-14T23:49:39","date_gmt":"2026-10-14T21:49:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/unbeaten-brentford-face-a-liverpool-running-on-empty\/"},"modified":"2026-10-17T19:16:30","modified_gmt":"2026-10-17T17:16:30","slug":"brentford-liverpool-prediction-2026-10-17","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/football\/premier-league\/brentford-liverpool-prediction-2026-10-17\/","title":{"rendered":"Unbeaten Brentford face a Liverpool running on empty"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ryan Gravenberch saw red in the 62nd minute against Manchester City on Sunday, and Liverpool travel on Saturday without him. Opposite them, Brentford have lost nothing: fourth, ten points, two wins and four draws. All week the market has slid towards the Bees; what is left to back is a bet to protect, not a favourite to pay for.<\/p>\n<h2>Liverpool play their fourth match in ten days<\/h2>\n<p>On Wednesday night Liverpool won 6-3 at Linz in the Champions League, with a Barcola hat-trick: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/soccer\/match\/_\/gameId\/401915415\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the match report<\/a> shows an attacking night and three goals conceded, three days after the 0-3 against City at Anfield. Andoni Iraola speaks of &#8220;four matches in ten days&#8221;: Gravenberch is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.liverpoolfc.com\/news\/ryan-gravenberch-suspended-for-brentford-v-liverpool-premier-league\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">suspended for one match<\/a> (back on 25 October against Brighton), Bradley, Ekitike and Leoni are unavailable, and the official line-up settles the questions: Isak and Szoboszlai start, Gakpo does not, and Trey Nyoni, 19, whom the press saw starting alongside Mac Allister, does not start either.<\/p>\n<h2>Brentford always bring something back<\/h2>\n<p>Four draws in six games, two wins, and a 3-0 handed to Chelsea at the Gtech Community Stadium on 18 September. At Villa Park last Saturday, Yarmolyuk opened the scoring and Ajer equalised late: the Bees hold the score wherever they go. Kevin Schade, three goals and the club&#8217;s top scorer, <a href=\"https:\/\/metro.co.uk\/2026\/10\/10\/kevin-schade-injury-update-brentford-star-forced-off-aston-villa-draw-29698100\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">forced off with a shoulder injury<\/a> shortly after the restart at Villa Park, does not start; neither do Collins (calf) and Damsgaard (ankle).<\/p>\n<p>The last five matches of each side:<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Team<\/th>\n<th>Opponent<\/th>\n<th>Competition<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>10\/10<\/td>\n<td>Brentford<\/td>\n<td>Aston Villa (A)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>2-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>18\/09<\/td>\n<td>Brentford<\/td>\n<td>Chelsea (H)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>3-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>15\/09<\/td>\n<td>Brentford<\/td>\n<td>Reading (A)<\/td>\n<td>League Cup<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>12\/09<\/td>\n<td>Brentford<\/td>\n<td>Bournemouth (A)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>2-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>05\/09<\/td>\n<td>Brentford<\/td>\n<td>Sunderland (H)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>14\/10<\/td>\n<td>Liverpool<\/td>\n<td>LASK Linz (A)<\/td>\n<td>Champions League<\/td>\n<td>6-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/10<\/td>\n<td>Liverpool<\/td>\n<td>Manchester City (H)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>20\/09<\/td>\n<td>Liverpool<\/td>\n<td>Bournemouth (A)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>1-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>15\/09<\/td>\n<td>Liverpool<\/td>\n<td>Tottenham (H)<\/td>\n<td>League Cup<\/td>\n<td>3-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>12\/09<\/td>\n<td>Liverpool<\/td>\n<td>Fulham (H)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>What weighs on Saturday<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Schade, three goals: out of the official line-up; Thiago up front, with Anthony, Jensen and Ouattara around him.<\/li>\n<li>Liverpool&#8217;s midfield: without Gravenberch, but Szoboszlai and Mac Allister start together, with Wirtz and Barcola behind Isak.<\/li>\n<li>Recent history: Brentford beat Liverpool 3-2 at the Gtech in October 2025, and the sides parted on a 1-1 at Anfield in May.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The mechanism I watch: Brentford defend in a block and live on transitions; Liverpool, after Linz, will press high on heavy legs. This is the kind of match where a fresh block takes a point off a tired press.<\/p>\n<h2>The market has changed favourite<\/h2>\n<p>Brentford opened at 2.88 and traded at 2.51 on Friday morning with 1xbet; Liverpool moved from 2.50 to 2.86, and the draw is 3.75. The move says the same thing as the absentees: the status has changed camp. The double chance Brentford or draw, opened at 1.60, now trades at 1.48 with 1xbet: roughly two chances in three for the market. My bet, taken at 1.50 with Bet365 on Tuesday, sits above the current price.<\/p>\n<h2>My bet: Brentford or draw at 1.50<\/h2>\n<p>I take the double chance Brentford or draw at 1.50 with Bet365. Brentford win or hold the draw: 12.50 $ on top of a 25 $ stake; Liverpool win: 25 $ lost. I prefer to protect the draw rather than pay for the outright win of a team with only two victories, all the more as the official line-ups lean towards Liverpool: at 1.50, the market has priced in almost all of Liverpool&#8217;s fatigue, and I hold no clear edge to defend. 0.25 units, the <a href=\"\/en\/tools\/kelly-calculator\/\">minimum stake<\/a>, and this <a href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/record\/\">prediction goes into the public record<\/a>. 18+. Only bet what you can afford to lose.<\/p>\n<h2>Behind at the break, Liverpool turn it around<\/h2>\n<p>Brentford lost 1-2 at the Gtech Community Stadium: Lewis-Potter put the Bees in front with a header on 44 minutes, and they held until the hour. Mu\u00f1oz levelled on 62 from a Wirtz pass, Isak won it for Liverpool on 70 after Barcola&#8217;s lay-off. Brentford finished with nine men, Yarmolyuk sent off just before half-time (45+8, after a VAR review), Janelt off on a second yellow in added time (90+2). The goals are all in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skysports.com\/football\/brentford-vs-liverpool\/report\/559505\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sky Sports&#8217; match report<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The fatigue script never played out: Szoboszlai went off around the half-hour with a hamstring relapse, replaced by Nyoni, Frimpong followed soon after the break, and Liverpool won anyway. A first defeat of the season ends the Bees&#8217; eight-match unbeaten run, and the fresh block never got its point.<\/p>\n<p>The pick is lost: Brentford or draw at 1.50 with Bet365, the minimum $25 stake gone. By kick-off the double chance was already priced at 1.56. A $25 loss on the public record.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Liverpool came from behind to beat Brentford 2-1: my Brentford or draw at 1.50 with Bet365 is lost, $25 to the public record.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":9713,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Brentford vs Liverpool prediction (17 Oct): the unbeaten Bees, a Liverpool side without Gravenberch. Double chance 1X at 1.50 with Bet365.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Brentford","ba_away_name":"Liverpool","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-17 14:00:00","ba_venue":"Brentford Community Stadium","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1557428","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[20,71],"class_list":["post-8661","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football-en","ba_sport-premier-league-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Unbeaten Brentford face a Liverpool running on empty &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Brentford vs Liverpool prediction (17 Oct): the unbeaten Bees, a Liverpool side without Gravenberch. 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