{"id":8786,"date":"2026-10-15T11:45:31","date_gmt":"2026-10-15T09:45:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/panathinaikos-v-hapoel-tel-aviv-a-5-0-leader-at-home-itoudis-back-where-he-won-five-titles\/"},"modified":"2026-10-16T23:13:15","modified_gmt":"2026-10-16T21:13:15","slug":"panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-prediction-2026-10-16","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-prediction-2026-10-16\/","title":{"rendered":"Panathinaikos v Hapoel Tel Aviv: a 5-0 leader at home, Itoudis back where he won five titles"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Panathinaikos stand alone at the top of the EuroLeague, five wins in five games, and the club has called on supporters to fill the Telekom Center for a sixth. On the other side comes Dimitris Itoudis: thirteen years as \u017deljko Obradovi\u0107&#8217;s assistant on this bench (1998-2012), five EuroLeague titles to his name. And his team just put 100 points on Besiktas.<\/p>\n<h2>Athens are unbeaten, but lighter<\/h2>\n<p>PAO closed the double week with a 72-55 win in Belgrade against Partizan on Monday. Mathias Lessort is running at 21.2 in valuation, the team at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/game-center\/2026-27\/panathinaikos-aktor-athens-hapoel-ibi-tel-aviv\/E2026\/60\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">89.4 points scored<\/a>. The Greek press celebrates the 5-0 and already debates the basketball behind it. The injury list is moving on both sides:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Nikos Rogkavopoulos (a strain in the back of his left thigh, picked up against Partizan): <a href=\"https:\/\/www.onsports.gr\/basket\/euroleague\/story\/875249\/panathinaikos-neo-pligma-me-rogkavopoulo-xanei-ti-xapoel\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">out, confirmed by the club<\/a>, improving, no return targeted;<\/li>\n<li>Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas: zero minutes this season, status unconfirmed for Friday;<\/li>\n<li>Bar Timor (illness), Tomer Ginat (knee), Tyler Ennis (Achilles tendon) and Tamir Blatt (left out of the group): <a href=\"https:\/\/basketballsphere.com\/en\/injuries\/euroleague\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">absent for Hapoel<\/a>;<\/li>\n<li>Edwin Jackson: doubtful, on one tracker only.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/news\/injury-report-round-6-el2627\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">PAO&#8217;s medical report<\/a> had still not been filed by the day before the game. Juancho Hernang\u00f3mez, for his part, returned to the rotation on Monday.<\/p>\n<h2>A hundred points on Wednesday, the legs on Friday<\/h2>\n<p>Hapoel sit sixth, three wins and two defeats, after <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/news\/bryant-blakeney-boost-hapoel-past-besiktas\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">100-82 over Besiktas on Wednesday<\/a>: five players at fifteen points or more (Micic, Bryant, Coffey, LeDay, Blakeney), 11\/20 from three, and Elijah Bryant, MVP of the week for the second time in a row, at 24.4 in valuation. The rotation was cut as early as the fourth quarter, with one eye already on Athens. Their only real defeat of the season goes back to an 82-93 in Valencia.<\/p>\n<p>The drawback is physical: three games in six days, domestic league on Sunday, Sofia on Wednesday, Athens on Friday. Itoudis set the programme in his pregame presser: &#8220;we will have to absorb the physicality, control the ball, take good shots and win the battle of the boards.&#8221; Zach LeDay is just as careful: one of the hardest games the league offers.<\/p>\n<h2>The price has already picked its side<\/h2>\n<p>The winner is sold in advance: Panathinaikos at 1.31, opened at 1.38; Hapoel at 4.00. The main line is -8, the total 169.5. At that price, the outright offers nothing left: the whole game plays out on the margin.<\/p>\n<h2>My bet: Hapoel Tel Aviv +8.5<\/h2>\n<p>I take Hapoel +8.5 at 1.90 with BetMGM, odds taken this Thursday. The market gives this bet exactly 50%; I make it 56%. The edge is real but thin: 0.25 units, $25 (18+. Only bet what you can afford to lose). To recalculate a stake from a probability and a price, the <a href=\"\/en\/tools\/kelly-calculator\/\">staking calculator<\/a> does it live.<\/p>\n<p>The outcomes, plainly: Hapoel win or lose by eight points or fewer, the bet wins (+$22.50); they lose by nine or more, the bet loses (-$25). Overtime included.<\/p>\n<p>Why +8.5 rather than the main line at 8: half a point more, for three cents less (1.90 against 1.93). A game that tightens in the closing minutes often settles on an eight-point margin, precisely the tipping point. What makes me believe: an attack with five options in full confidence, a Panathinaikos already running with a cut rotation, and an Itoudis who knows this arena better than anyone. What can sink the bet: the crowd chasing the sixth win, Lessort in the paint, legs loaded by the week. The stake matches that doubt. The result will go on my <a href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/record\/\">public record<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>Hapoel win in Athens and the 5-0 run is over<\/h2>\n<p>Hapoel Tel Aviv won 91-81 at the Telekom Center, Panathinaikos&#8217;s first defeat of the season. Itoudis&#8217;s return to the opposite bench went the whole way: Francisco&#8217;s 22 points were not enough, Bryant and LeDay struck in the last three minutes, and the Greek unbeaten run stopped there.<\/p>\n<p>The pick won without being needed: when the outsider takes the game, eight and a half points no longer matter. Hapoel +8.5 at 1.90 with BetMGM returns $22.50 on the $25 stake. My 56% against the market&#8217;s 50% held, and the win goes to the record.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hapoel Tel Aviv beat Panathinaikos 91-81 in Athens: the Greeks&#8217; first defeat of the season. My Hapoel +8.5 at 1.90 is won, +$22.50.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":9414,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Panathinaikos, 5-0 and alone at the top, host an in-form Hapoel in Athens; Itoudis returns to his old arena. My prediction: Hapoel +8.5 at 1.90.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Panathinaikos","ba_away_name":"Hapoel Tel Aviv","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-16 18:15:00","ba_venue":"Telekom Center Athens","ba_match_key":"api-sports:basketball:508639","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[25,96],"class_list":["post-8786","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-basketball-en","ba_sport-euroleague-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Panathinaikos v Hapoel Tel Aviv: a 5-0 leader at home, Itoudis back where he won five titles &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Panathinaikos, 5-0 and alone at the top, host an in-form Hapoel in Athens; Itoudis returns to his old arena. 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My prediction: Hapoel +8.5 at 1.90.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-prediction-2026-10-16\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Panathinaikos v Hapoel Tel Aviv: a 5-0 leader at home, Itoudis back where he won five titles &#183; Bankroll Atlas","og_description":"Panathinaikos, 5-0 and alone at the top, host an in-form Hapoel in Athens; Itoudis returns to his old arena. My prediction: Hapoel +8.5 at 1.90.","og_url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-prediction-2026-10-16\/","og_site_name":"Bankroll Atlas","article_modified_time":"2026-10-16T21:13:15+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/themes\/bankroll-atlas\/assets\/icons\/og-default.png","type":"","width":"","height":""},{"width":1200,"height":675,"url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/carte-panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-en-be771d00.webp","type":"image\/webp"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-prediction-2026-10-16\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-prediction-2026-10-16\/"},"author":{"name":"Sarah Delcourt","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/a52ee5edc7737ea4704a1cebf10394c8"},"headline":"Panathinaikos v Hapoel Tel Aviv: a 5-0 leader at home, Itoudis back where he won five titles","datePublished":"2026-10-15T09:45:31+00:00","dateModified":"2026-10-16T21:13:15+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-prediction-2026-10-16\/"},"wordCount":689,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-prediction-2026-10-16\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/carte-panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-en-be771d00.webp","inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-prediction-2026-10-16\/","url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-prediction-2026-10-16\/","name":"Panathinaikos v Hapoel Tel Aviv: a 5-0 leader at home, Itoudis back where he won five titles &#183; Bankroll Atlas","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-prediction-2026-10-16\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-prediction-2026-10-16\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/carte-panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-en-be771d00.webp","datePublished":"2026-10-15T09:45:31+00:00","dateModified":"2026-10-16T21:13:15+00:00","description":"Panathinaikos, 5-0 and alone at the top, host an in-form Hapoel in Athens; Itoudis returns to his old arena. My prediction: Hapoel +8.5 at 1.90.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-prediction-2026-10-16\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-prediction-2026-10-16\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-prediction-2026-10-16\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/carte-panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-en-be771d00.webp","contentUrl":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/carte-panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-en-be771d00.webp","width":1200,"height":675,"caption":"Panathinaikos \u2013 Hapoel Tel Aviv \u00b7 EuroLeague \u00b7 81-91"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/basketball\/euroleague\/panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-prediction-2026-10-16\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Matchs","item":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/matches\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Panathinaikos v Hapoel Tel Aviv: a 5-0 leader at home, Itoudis back where he won five titles"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/","name":"Bankroll Atlas","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#organization","name":"Bankroll Atlas","url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/bankroll-atlas-logo.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/bankroll-atlas-logo.png","width":512,"height":512,"caption":"Bankroll Atlas"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/a52ee5edc7737ea4704a1cebf10394c8","name":"Sarah Delcourt","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/73d0e55235c16090e214b35415fe3b6cccc6e978e4e350604d78fb3042c591d9?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/73d0e55235c16090e214b35415fe3b6cccc6e978e4e350604d78fb3042c591d9?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/73d0e55235c16090e214b35415fe3b6cccc6e978e4e350604d78fb3042c591d9?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Sarah Delcourt"},"description":"A former point guard in a regional league, Sarah never lost her taste for reading the game and its numbers. 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