{"id":12821,"date":"2026-10-27T22:54:55","date_gmt":"2026-10-27T21:54:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/djokovic-humbert-quince-anos-despues-de-basilea-diecinueve-dias-sin-jugar\/"},"modified":"2026-10-27T22:55:10","modified_gmt":"2026-10-27T21:55:10","slug":"djokovic-humbert-pronostico-2026-10-28","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/es\/partidos\/tenis\/atp\/djokovic-humbert-pronostico-2026-10-28\/","title":{"rendered":"Djokovic &#8211; Humbert : quince a\u00f1os despu\u00e9s de Basilea, diecinueve d\u00edas sin jugar"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>El mi\u00e9rcoles en la St. Jakobshalle, Novak Djokovic disputa <a href=\"https:\/\/www.swissindoorsbasel.ch\/en\/tournament\/tournament-news\/articles\/2026-10-26_Djokovic-joins-the-fray-on-Wednesday.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">su primer partido en Basilea desde 2011<\/a>. Un t\u00edtulo aqu\u00ed en 2009, una final en 2010, una semifinal en 2011: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.atptour.com\/en\/news\/djokovic-basel-2026-first-match\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">12 victorias y 2 derrotas<\/a> en esta sala, y quince a\u00f1os de ausencia. Invitado por wild card, cabeza de serie n\u00b04, abre su torneo contra Ugo Humbert.<\/p>\n<h2>Tur\u00edn y un 103er t\u00edtulo en la mira<\/h2>\n<p>Und\u00e9cimo de la carrera a Tur\u00edn, a 319 puntos de la \u00faltima plaza clasificatoria, Djokovic busca los puntos de una decimonovena clasificaci\u00f3n, un r\u00e9cord. Un 103er t\u00edtulo igualar\u00eda a Federer; el 102 data de Pek\u00edn, a principios de octubre. Basilea se sum\u00f3 a su calendario tras el aplazamiento del Six Kings Slam, y el cuadro se le ha abierto con las bajas de Tsitsipas, Bublik y Davidovich Fokina.<\/p>\n<h2>Diecinueve d\u00edas sin partido<\/h2>\n<p>Su \u00faltima salida fue el 9 de octubre, una derrota ante Hubert Hurkacz en Shangh\u00e1i. Desde entonces, diecinueve d\u00edas de par\u00f3n, en parte rellenados el domingo con <a href=\"https:\/\/www.atptour.com\/en\/news\/djokovic-wawrinka-basel-2026-practice\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">un entrenamiento a puerta cerrada con Stan Wawrinka<\/a>. A su llegada explic\u00f3 lo que le promete la sala: sin calor, sin sol, menos factores externos que en un a\u00f1o al aire libre en el que dice haber sufrido a menudo. A los 39 a\u00f1os, la pregunta de esta ronda no es su nivel, es su ritmo.<\/p>\n<h2>Humbert, un zurdo peligroso que ya no gana<\/h2>\n<p>El franc\u00e9s, 32 del mundo, encadena dos victorias en diez partidos: derrotas ante Moutet en Lyon en un tercer set por tie-break, Gea en Shangh\u00e1i, Lehecka en Tokio. Zurdo a gusto en pista cubierta, el ATP lo presenta como <a href=\"https:\/\/www.atptour.com\/en\/news\/djokovic-basel-2026-draw-preview\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">un examen de apertura temible en estas condiciones<\/a>. Sin embargo, solo mantiene el 74,5 % de sus juegos de saque en los \u00faltimos diez partidos, frente al 81,8 % de Djokovic, y el serbio domina su \u00fanico precedente, en Wimbledon 2019.<\/p>\n<p>Sus cinco \u00faltimos partidos, los de Djokovic todos de octubre:<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Jugador<\/th>\n<th>Fecha<\/th>\n<th>Torneo<\/th>\n<th>Rival<\/th>\n<th>Resultado<\/th>\n<th>Marcador<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>N. Djokovic<\/td>\n<td>09\/10<\/td>\n<td>Shangh\u00e1i<\/td>\n<td>H. Hurkacz<\/td>\n<td>D<\/td>\n<td>4-6 3-6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>N. Djokovic<\/td>\n<td>04\/10<\/td>\n<td>Pek\u00edn<\/td>\n<td>A. Zverev<\/td>\n<td>V<\/td>\n<td>4-6 6-4 6-4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>N. Djokovic<\/td>\n<td>02\/10<\/td>\n<td>Pek\u00edn<\/td>\n<td>Y. Bu<\/td>\n<td>V<\/td>\n<td>4-6 7-6 6-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>N. Djokovic<\/td>\n<td>30\/09<\/td>\n<td>Pek\u00edn<\/td>\n<td>N. Borges<\/td>\n<td>V<\/td>\n<td>6-3 7-6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>N. Djokovic<\/td>\n<td>30\/08<\/td>\n<td>US Open<\/td>\n<td>M. Navone<\/td>\n<td>D<\/td>\n<td>6-7 7-5 6-4 2-6 1-6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>U. Humbert<\/td>\n<td>20\/10<\/td>\n<td>Lyon<\/td>\n<td>C. Moutet<\/td>\n<td>D<\/td>\n<td>2-6 7-6 6-7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>U. Humbert<\/td>\n<td>09\/10<\/td>\n<td>Shangh\u00e1i<\/td>\n<td>A. Gea<\/td>\n<td>D<\/td>\n<td>4-6 6-3 1-6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>U. Humbert<\/td>\n<td>03\/10<\/td>\n<td>Tokio<\/td>\n<td>J. Lehecka<\/td>\n<td>D<\/td>\n<td>7-5 4-6 4-6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>U. Humbert<\/td>\n<td>01\/10<\/td>\n<td>Tokio<\/td>\n<td>B. Nakashima<\/td>\n<td>V<\/td>\n<td>6-3 6-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>U. Humbert<\/td>\n<td>16\/08<\/td>\n<td>Cincinnati<\/td>\n<td>M. Zheng<\/td>\n<td>D<\/td>\n<td>4-6 3-6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>A 1,38, todo est\u00e1 dicho menos el \u00f3xido<\/h2>\n<p>El martes por la noche, Djokovic cotiza a 1,38 en 1xbet, en ligera baja desde su apertura a 1,40, y Humbert a 3,25 en Unibet. Retirado el margen, el precio da al serbio alrededor del 69,5 %; mi estimaci\u00f3n llega al mismo n\u00famero. Lo que el precio no mide es la parada de diecinueve d\u00edas: la veo pesando en el primer set, sin voltear el partido. Las l\u00edneas de h\u00e1ndicap y de total de juegos rondan el 8 % de margen, demasiado caras para una lectura que depende sobre todo del ritmo.<\/p>\n<p>No hay apuesta en este regreso a Basilea. El <a href=\"\/es\/herramientas\/calculadora-kelly\/\">m\u00e9todo de apuesta<\/a> sigue igual y la <a href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/es\/balance\/\">balanza p\u00fablica<\/a> no gana nada con una apuesta forzada; este partido lo ha pesado bien el mercado. Si aun as\u00ed lo juegas, 18+, apuesta solo lo que puedas permitirte perder.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Novak Djokovic vuelve a Basilea por primera vez desde 2011, tras diecinueve d\u00edas sin competici\u00f3n. A 1,38 contra Humbert, sin margen claro: no hay apuesta.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":12824,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Djokovic vuelve a Basilea quince a\u00f1os despu\u00e9s ante Ugo Humbert. Mi pron\u00f3stico del ATP: a 1,38 el mercado lo ha pesado todo, sin apuesta.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Novak Djokovic","ba_away_name":"Ugo Humbert","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-28 14:30:00","ba_venue":"Basel","ba_match_key":"api-tennis:tennis:12174050","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[127,31],"class_list":["post-12821","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-atp-es","ba_sport-tenis-es"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Djokovic &#8211; Humbert : quince a\u00f1os despu\u00e9s de Basilea, diecinueve d\u00edas sin jugar &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Djokovic vuelve a Basilea quince a\u00f1os despu\u00e9s ante Ugo Humbert. 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