{"id":15183,"date":"2026-11-02T08:43:19","date_gmt":"2026-11-02T07:43:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/jacquet-machac-once-das-de-descanso-contra-tres-das-de-partido\/"},"modified":"2026-11-02T08:43:30","modified_gmt":"2026-11-02T07:43:30","slug":"jacquet-machac-pronostico-2026-11-02","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/es\/partidos\/tenis\/atp\/jacquet-machac-pronostico-2026-11-02\/","title":{"rendered":"Jacquet &#8211; Machac: once d&#237;as de descanso contra tres d&#237;as de partido"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Primera vez en el cuadro principal del Masters de Par&#237;s para Kyrian Jacquet, invitado del torneo (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rolexparismasters.com\/fr\/actualites\/article\/edition-2026-wild-cards-tableau-principal-qualifications-tennis-fauteuil\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Rolex Paris Masters<\/a>). En la Pista 1, Tomas Machac jugar&#225; su tercer partido en tres d&#237;as en la misma sala (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.tennismajors.com\/atp\/rolex-paris-masters-1000-atp\/machac-on-course-for-fils-an-all-italian-qualifiers-clash-where-the-paris-masters-qualifiers-landed-864948.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tennis Majors<\/a>).<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>El vencedor tendr&#225; a Arthur Fils, cabeza de serie n&#250;mero seis, en segunda ronda.<\/li>\n<li>La temporada de Jacquet cambi&#243; de escala: dentro del Top 100, semifinalista en Hangzhou, cuartofinalista en Tokio.<\/li>\n<li>Machac nunca ha ganado un partido en el cuadro principal aqu&#237;, eliminado en primera ronda en 2024 y en 2025.<\/li>\n<li>Primer duelo entre los dos.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Once d&#237;as contra tres<\/h2>\n<p>Jacquet no juega desde el 22 de octubre, un octavo de final en Lyon perdido 6-4 6-3 ante B. Nakashima, despu&#233;s de dejar en la carretera a M. Berrettini (7-6 7-5) (<a href=\"https:\/\/en.tennistemple.com\/match\/jacquet-machac-rolex-paris-masters-2026\/9488404\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">TennisTemple<\/a>). Machac bati&#243; a Landaluce 6-4 6-3 el s&#225;bado y a Baez, cabeza de serie n&#250;mero uno de la clasificaci&#243;n, 6-2 6-4 el domingo, sin ceder un set. Tres d&#237;as de partido a un lado, once de descanso al otro.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>&#218;ltimos diez partidos<\/th>\n<th>Jacquet<\/th>\n<th>Machac<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Juegos de saque ganados<\/td>\n<td>83,1 %<\/td>\n<td>82,4 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Juegos de resto ganados<\/td>\n<td>21,3 %<\/td>\n<td>29,4 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Partidos y juegos en siete d&#237;as<\/td>\n<td>0<\/td>\n<td>2 partidos, 37 juegos<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>&#218;ltimo partido<\/td>\n<td>hace 11 d&#237;as<\/td>\n<td>hace 1 d&#237;a<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>La sala dice Machac, el saque dice Jacquet<\/h2>\n<p>Desde 2024, Jacquet solo cuenta una victoria en diez partidos en pista cubierta: es la estad&#237;stica que contradice su temporada. Machac vuelve con m&#225;s experiencia, pero tambi&#233;n de una rotura en el pie izquierdo sufrida en Roland Garros en junio (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.tennismajors.com\/atp\/machac-confirms-foot-tear-at-roland-garros-targets-grass-court-return-852289.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tennis Majors<\/a>): tres derrotas seguidas a su regreso y luego un enderezamiento, hasta ese empuj&#243;n contra De Minaur, finalista en Viena, el 26 de octubre, perdido 6-1 4-6 3-6. Jacquet sostiene su saque: en sus &#250;ltimos diez partidos juega un tie-break cada tres sets, y sobre dura bajo techo ese perfil mantiene vivos los sets.<\/p>\n<h2>Jacquet +1,5 set a 1,59: mi apuesta<\/h2>\n<p>El mercado hace favorito a Machac a 1,57 en Bet365, desde una apertura a 1,67; Jacquet ha subido a 2,60 en Betway, desde una apertura a 2,26. No juego al vencedor: la sala sigue siendo del checo, y sus dos victorias en la clasificaci&#243;n sin ceder un set no hablan de piernas muertas. Juego el set: Jacquet +1,5 set se paga a 1,59 en BetMGM, un precio justo del 59,1 % que yo veo en el 68 %.<\/p>\n<p>Dos jugadores que ganan m&#225;s de ocho juegos de saque de cada diez sobre dura bajo techo, un franc&#233;s ante su p&#250;blico en su estreno parisino, un tercer d&#237;a consecutivo enfrente: el set apretado sigue siendo el desenlace m&#225;s probable, aunque Machac no ha cedido ni un set desde el s&#225;bado. Jacquet gana al menos un set: ganada, +29,50 $ por media unidad de 50 $; Machac gana 2-0: perdida, -50 $; una retirada o un walkover devuelve la apuesta.<\/p>\n<p>El margen de la l&#237;nea supera el 7 %: la <a href=\"\/es\/herramientas\/calculadora-kelly\/\">apuesta en unidades<\/a> se queda en media unidad, el tama&#241;o justo de la ventaja, y esta apuesta entra en mi <a href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/es\/balance\/\">balance p&#250;blico<\/a>. 18+, apuesta solo lo que puedas permitirte perder.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Primera aparici&#243;n en el cuadro principal de Par&#237;s para Kyrian Jacquet, invitado fresco tras once d&#237;as; Tomas Machac encadena su tercer d&#237;a de partido. Tomo al franc&#233;s a +1,5 set a 1,59, sin jugarlo como ganador.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":15186,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pron\u00f3stico Jacquet \u2013 Machac: el franc\u00e9s invitado y fresco ante un Machac lanzado, tomo a Jacquet +1,5 set a 1,59 en BetMGM, apuesta de 0,5 unidades.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Kyrian Jacquet","ba_away_name":"Tomas Machac","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-11-02 14:30:00","ba_venue":"Paris","ba_match_key":"api-tennis:tennis:12176418","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[127,31],"class_list":["post-15183","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-atp-es","ba_sport-tenis-es"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Jacquet &#8211; 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