{"id":3003,"date":"2026-09-30T17:42:03","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T15:42:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/bayonne-stade-francais-pronostico-2026-10-03\/"},"modified":"2026-10-03T19:09:55","modified_gmt":"2026-10-03T17:09:55","slug":"bayonne-stade-francais-pronostico-2026-10-03","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/es\/partidos\/rugby\/top-14\/bayonne-stade-francais-pronostico-2026-10-03\/","title":{"rendered":"Bayonne recibe a un Stade Fran\u00e7ais sin victorias a domicilio: mi pron\u00f3stico va al h\u00e1ndicap"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Cuatro jornadas, tres victorias, trece puntos: el Aviron es cuarto y recibe el s\u00e1bado al Stade Fran\u00e7ais en Jean Dauger, con Vincent Blasco Baque pitando. Par\u00eds no ha ganado a\u00fan a domicilio. La apuesta real es el h\u00e1ndicap.<\/p>\n<h2>Coly vuelve a la mel\u00e9, Tuilagi sigue de capit\u00e1n<\/h2>\n<p>Lesionado en la primera jornada contra el Toulon (isquiotibiales), Coly regresa: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sudouest.fr\/sport\/rugby\/aviron-bayonnais\/aviron-bayonnais-leo-coly-de-retour-como-titulaire-manu-tuilagi-capitaine-face-au-stade-francais-30848848.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sud Ouest<\/a> e <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ici.fr\/nouvelle-aquitaine\/pyrenees-atlantiques-64\/bayonne\/aviron-bayonnais-leo-coly-de-retour-contre-le-stade-francais-la-compo-probable-4496104\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ICI publican el mismo quince probable<\/a>, con la pareja de medianas Coly-Segonds, Tuilagi de capit\u00e1n y Fischer de vuelta en la tercera l\u00ednea. Las <a href=\"https:\/\/top14.lnr.fr\/feuille-de-match\/2026-2027\/j5\/11847-bayonne-paris\/compositions\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">alineaciones oficiales<\/a> siguen sin publicarse: leo ese equipo como probable, no como confirmado.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Tilloles, molestias en el muslo izquierdo el martes, se espera en el banquillo;<\/li>\n<li>Jantjies s\u00ed vol\u00f3 de vuelta desde Sud\u00e1frica, tras un vuelo cancelado la v\u00edspera y escala en Par\u00eds, pero solo pas\u00f3 a saludar al grupo de paisano: no se anuncian sus primeros minutos, no est\u00e1 en el banquillo probable;<\/li>\n<li>la enfermer\u00eda no cambia: Orab\u00e9 cumple su sanci\u00f3n, Leota (rodilla) estar\u00e1 dos o tres semanas fuera, Castillon, Iturria, Cormenier y Alainu&#8217;uese siguen en el dique seco;<\/li>\n<li>a Iturria, Cormenier y Alainu&#8217;uese se les espera de vuelta para los Cheetahs del 18\/10, Erbinartegaray (conmoci\u00f3n) deber\u00eda volver a entrenar el lunes.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Un Stade Fran\u00e7ais que no rinde fuera de casa<\/h2>\n<p>Octavo con nueve puntos, el Stade Fran\u00e7ais gan\u00f3 a Perpignan y Lyon en casa y perdi\u00f3 en Clermont y Burdeos. Veinti\u00fan puntos marcados por partido, treinta para el Aviron. El club guarda el recuerdo del 35-34 cedido en Jean Dauger el 27 de diciembre: Hirigoyen, Delbouis y Kockott hablan de revancha.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.minutesports.fr\/2026\/09\/29\/stade-francais-paul-gustard-a-tranche-pour-son-avenir\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Paul Gustard, prolongado hasta 2029<\/a>, no puede contar con Monin, Koffi, Briatte (hombro, no antes de noviembre), Alo-Emile (\u00abtodav\u00eda no est\u00e1 listo\u00bb), McLean, Dakuwaqa, Abadie, Lodjro y Duguivalu. El caso Macalou sigue confuso: retirada anunciada y luego desmentida, operaci\u00f3n importante rumorada, nada confirmado por el club. No juega el s\u00e1bado.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Equipo<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Rival<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Sede<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Resultado<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Aviron Bayonnais<\/td>\n<td>Toulon<\/td>\n<td>Casa<\/td>\n<td>27-26<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Aviron Bayonnais<\/td>\n<td>Clermont<\/td>\n<td>Casa<\/td>\n<td>46-24<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Aviron Bayonnais<\/td>\n<td>Pau<\/td>\n<td>Fuera<\/td>\n<td>28-70<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Aviron Bayonnais<\/td>\n<td>Racing 92<\/td>\n<td>Fuera<\/td>\n<td>20-17<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Stade Fran\u00e7ais<\/td>\n<td>Perpignan<\/td>\n<td>Casa<\/td>\n<td>28-26<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Stade Fran\u00e7ais<\/td>\n<td>Lyon<\/td>\n<td>Casa<\/td>\n<td>31-10<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Stade Fran\u00e7ais<\/td>\n<td>Clermont<\/td>\n<td>Fuera<\/td>\n<td>16-25<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Stade Fran\u00e7ais<\/td>\n<td>Bordeaux B\u00e8gles<\/td>\n<td>Fuera<\/td>\n<td>10-40<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>A 1,90, el Aviron menos siete puntos y medio<\/h2>\n<p>El ganador se ve venir: 1,34 en Betano el viernes por el Aviron, acortada desde la apertura (1,38). A ese precio no hay nada que tomar. Paso al h\u00e1ndicap principal, Aviron \u22127,5 a 1,90 en 1xbet, una l\u00ednea que no se ha movido; el +7,5 del Stade Fran\u00e7ais ha entrado, de 1,91 a 1,85. Dos de las tres victorias del Aviron se decidieron a un punto y a tres: el mercado lo sabe, y yo tambi\u00e9n. Doy un 51 % al Aviron ganando por ocho puntos o m\u00e1s; la cuota promete el 53. Sin ventaja clara: apuesta m\u00ednima, 0,25 unidades (25 $), a un cuarto de <a href=\"\/es\/herramientas\/calculadora-kelly\/\">Kelly<\/a>. El Aviron gana por ocho puntos o m\u00e1s: +22,50 $. Gana por siete o menos, hay empate o el Stade Fran\u00e7ais se impone: \u221225 $.<\/p>\n<p>Este pron\u00f3stico entra en mi <a href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/es\/balance\/\">balance p\u00fablico<\/a>, gane o pierda. +18, apuesta solo lo que puedas permitirte perder.<\/p>\n<h2>Tres puntos de diferencia, otra vez<\/h2>\n<p>El Aviron gan\u00f3 35-32 al Stade Fran\u00e7ais. Tres puntos, como la victoria en Cr\u00e9teil ante el Racing 92 la semana anterior: el guion que conoc\u00eda el mercado se repiti\u00f3, y con \u00e9l cay\u00f3 la apuesta. La victoria bayonesa se ve\u00eda venir; los ocho puntos de ventaja, nunca.<\/p>\n<p>El Aviron \u22127,5 puntos a 1,90 en 1xbet est\u00e1 perdida: 25 $ de apuesta m\u00ednima. Escrib\u00eda que esta l\u00ednea no me daba ventaja clara; la apuesta estuvo a la altura de ese pron\u00f3stico, y el marcador final lo confirma.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El Aviron gan\u00f3 35-32 al Stade Fran\u00e7ais, por tres puntos: mi apuesta al Aviron \u22127,5 puntos a 1,90 est\u00e1 perdida, 25 $ de apuesta m\u00ednima.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":4405,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pron\u00f3stico Aviron Bayonnais y Stade Fran\u00e7ais del Top 14 en Jean Dauger: an\u00e1lisis y cuotas. Apuesto al Aviron \u22127,5 puntos a 1,90 en 1xbet, apuesta m\u00ednima.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Aviron Bayonnais","ba_away_name":"Stade Fran\u00e7ais Paris","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-03 14:35:00","ba_venue":"","ba_match_key":"api-sports:rugby:54109","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[41,102],"class_list":["post-3003","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-rugby-es","ba_sport-top-14-es"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bayonne recibe a un Stade Fran\u00e7ais sin victorias a domicilio: mi pron\u00f3stico va al h\u00e1ndicap &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pron\u00f3stico Aviron Bayonnais y Stade Fran\u00e7ais del Top 14 en Jean Dauger: an\u00e1lisis y cuotas. 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