{"id":10612,"date":"2026-10-21T12:07:42","date_gmt":"2026-10-21T10:07:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/maccabi-tel-aviv-real-madrid-trois-victoires-de-suite-et-toujours-ce-probleme-a-lexterieur\/"},"modified":"2026-10-22T23:18:15","modified_gmt":"2026-10-22T21:18:15","slug":"maccabi-tel-aviv-real-madrid-pronostic-2026-10-22","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/basket\/euroleague\/maccabi-tel-aviv-real-madrid-pronostic-2026-10-22\/","title":{"rendered":"Maccabi Tel Aviv &#8211; Real Madrid : trois victoires de suite, et toujours ce probl\u00e8me \u00e0 l\u2019ext\u00e9rieur"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Lundberg ne jouera pas. D\u00e9chirure partielle du tendon du quadriceps \u00e0 l\u2019entra\u00eenement, IRM confirm\u00e9e, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/news\/maccabi-to-be-without-lundberg-for-6-8-weeks\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">annonce du club le 20 octobre<\/a> ; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/news\/injury-report-round-7-fantasy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">le rapport de la ligue<\/a> le dit aujourd\u2019hui absent jusqu\u2019en d\u00e9cembre, ce qui recoupe les six \u00e0 huit semaines annonc\u00e9es. Le meneur avait d\u00e9but\u00e9 les six journ\u00e9es europ\u00e9ennes du Maccabi, 7,7 points et 3,0 passes de moyenne en 23 minutes. Contre le Real, c\u2019est un maillon de l\u2019attaque parti.<\/p>\n<h2>Un Real en confiance, sauf en d\u00e9placement<\/h2>\n<p>Trois victoires de suite en EuroLeague apr\u00e8s trois d\u00e9faites d\u2019ouverture : la reprise de Pedro Mart\u00ednez, arriv\u00e9 l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 avec sept recrues, a trouv\u00e9 son rythme. En Liga, la s\u00e9rie est encore plus longue, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gigantes.com\/euroliga\/cuando-juega-real-madrid\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">six succ\u00e8s d\u2019affil\u00e9e<\/a> dont un 119-84 au record de tirs \u00e0 trois points. Le b\u00e9mol tient en une ligne : 1-4 \u00e0 l\u2019ext\u00e9rieur.<\/p>\n<p>Le Maccabi, 2-4, vit l\u2019inverse : battu 120-93 \u00e0 Barcelone puis vainqueur \u00e0 Valence dans ses d\u00e9placements espagnols, d\u00e9fait 88-91 en championnat isra\u00e9lien le 18 octobre. Madar (15,7 d\u2019\u00e9valuation) et Maledon (21,5) tiennent la barque, mais sans Lundberg, la premi\u00e8re ligne se recompose.<\/p>\n<h2>Un domicile qui n\u2019en est plus un<\/h2>\n<p>La <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/game-center\/2026-27\/maccabi-rapyd-tel-aviv-real-madrid\/E2026\/62\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">page officielle du match<\/a> donne la Aleksandar Nikolic Hall, \u00e0 Belgrade : le Maccabi n\u2019y est que nominalement chez lui, loin de Tel Aviv. La presse chypriote parle de Limassol depuis d\u00e9but octobre ; ni la ligue ni le club n\u2019ont suivi. Le d\u00e9tail qui compte ici : les cinq derni\u00e8res confrontations entre ces deux \u00e9quipes ont toutes \u00e9t\u00e9 gagn\u00e9es par l\u2019\u00e9quipe qui recevait. Un domicile sans public isra\u00e9lien, c\u2019est un pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent qui perd son sens.<\/p>\n<h2>Les chiffres penchent Madrid<\/h2>\n<p>Le Real est la <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/news\/tae2627-rs7-game-facts-tel-mad\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">troisi\u00e8me attaque de la ligue<\/a>, 92,3 points par match ; le Maccabi en marque 84,8, onzi\u00e8me. Aux rebonds, 38,5 contre 31,2 : le m\u00eame \u00e9cart se r\u00e9p\u00e8te d\u2019une ligne \u00e0 l\u2019autre. Les absences se partagent : Deck (\u00e9paule) n\u2019a plus jou\u00e9 depuis la troisi\u00e8me journ\u00e9e c\u00f4t\u00e9 Real, Garuba (Achille) attend encore son retour, et aucun rapport m\u00e9dical officiel n\u2019a \u00e9t\u00e9 transmis de part et d\u2019autre.<\/p>\n<h2>Le pari : le Real doit passer, pas seulement gagner<\/h2>\n<p>\u00c0 1,46, le march\u00e9 fait du Real un grand favori. Le vainqueur sec ne m\u2019int\u00e9resse pas : gagner de quatre ne me suffit pas. La ligne principale demande 5,5 points d\u2019\u00e9cart ; je la prends \u00e0 4,5, Real -4,5 \u00e0 1,83 chez 1xbet, 55 % de chances de mon c\u00f4t\u00e9. Si le Real gagne de cinq points ou plus, le pari passe : 20,65 $ nets pour 25 $ mis\u00e9s. Tout autre r\u00e9sultat l\u2019efface.<\/p>\n<p>La mise est minimale, 0,25 unit\u00e9, et je le dis franchement : \u00e0 ce prix, ma lecture est d\u00e9j\u00e0 dans la cote, il n\u2019y a pas d\u2019avantage net \u00e0 aller chercher. Je l\u2019assume comme une prise de position sur la marge, pas comme une valeur. Elle rejoindra le <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a> en toute transparence, et la <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">m\u00e9thode de mise<\/a> l\u2019a d\u00e9j\u00e0 traduite en 25 $. 18+ : ne misez que ce que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre.<\/p>\n<h2>62-47 en seconde mi-temps : le Real emporte Belgrade<\/h2>\n<p>Le Maccabi a tenu la mi-temps. 30-23 apr\u00e8s dix minutes, 52-51 \u00e0 la pause, devant 102 spectateurs compt\u00e9s \u00e0 la Aleksandar Nikolic Hall. La sortie des vestiaires a tout chang\u00e9 : 62-47 en seconde p\u00e9riode, 113-99 final. La troisi\u00e8me attaque de la ligue finit plus de vingt points au-dessus de sa moyenne de 92,3, et Facundo Campazzo a promen\u00e9 le ballon : 21 points, 5 passes, 28 d&#8217;\u00e9valuation.<\/p>\n<p>Mon pari demandait cinq points d&#8217;avance, le Real en a pris quatorze : neuf points et demi de marge sur la ligne. Pris mercredi \u00e0 1,83, le handicap valait 1,98 au coup d&#8217;envoi, le march\u00e9 a fini plus m\u00e9fiant que moi. La s\u00e9rie des \u00e9quipes recevantes dans cette affiche s&#8217;arr\u00eate, le Maccabi tombe \u00e0 2-5, et le Real repart avec son bilan ext\u00e9rieur all\u00e9g\u00e9 : 2-4 en d\u00e9placement. Gains de 20,65 $ nets pour 25 $ mis\u00e9s, la mise minimale, port\u00e9s au bilan public.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le Real Madrid gagne 113-99 \u00e0 Belgrade apr\u00e8s une seconde mi-temps de 62-47. Mon Real -4,5 pris \u00e0 1,83 est gagn\u00e9 : 20,65 $ nets port\u00e9s au bilan public.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":11264,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Maccabi Tel Aviv - Real Madrid : le Real en confiance chez un Maccabi sans Lundberg. Pronostic : je prends Real -4,5 \u00e0 1,83 chez 1xbet, mise minimale.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Maccabi Tel Aviv","ba_away_name":"Real Madrid","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-22 18:05:00","ba_venue":"Aleksandar Nikolic Hall","ba_match_key":"api-sports:basketball:508644","ba_featured":true,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[24,95],"class_list":["post-10612","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-basket","ba_sport-euroleague"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Maccabi Tel Aviv &#8211; Real Madrid : trois victoires de suite, et toujours ce probl\u00e8me \u00e0 l\u2019ext\u00e9rieur &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Maccabi Tel Aviv - Real Madrid : le Real en confiance chez un Maccabi sans Lundberg. 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