{"id":10718,"date":"2026-10-21T14:43:25","date_gmt":"2026-10-21T12:43:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/ipswich-nottingham-forest-le-favori-est-19e-et-il-se-deplace\/"},"modified":"2026-10-23T23:15:58","modified_gmt":"2026-10-23T21:15:58","slug":"ipswich-nottingham-forest-pronostic-2026-10-23","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/premier-league\/ipswich-nottingham-forest-pronostic-2026-10-23\/","title":{"rendered":"Ipswich &#8211; Nottingham Forest : le favori est 19e, et il se d\u00e9place"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Portman Road sera plein : Gary O&#8217;Neil table sur \u00ab 30 000 fans \u00bb vendredi, et voit dans la visite de Forest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.itfc.co.uk\/news\/2026\/october\/22\/Gary-ONeil-thoughts-Ipswich-Town-v-Nottingham-Forest\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u00ab notre match le plus dur jusqu&#8217;ici \u00bb<\/a>. Le dixi\u00e8me (9 points) re\u00e7oit le dix-neuvi\u00e8me (5 points), et c&#8217;est l&#8217;invit\u00e9 qui part favori.<\/p>\n<h2>Un favori qui vient de perdre trois fois de suite<\/h2>\n<p>Cinq points, une seule victoire, trois d\u00e9faites de suite : le bilan tient en une ligne. La difficult\u00e9 est la finition : face \u00e0 Arsenal dimanche, malgr\u00e9 Delap, Wood et Murillo, le but n&#8217;est jamais venu. Et pourtant, les bookmakers installent Forest favori de ce d\u00e9placement, \u00e0 2,32 chez 1xbet au relev\u00e9 de jeudi matin, contre 2,39 \u00e0 l&#8217;ouverture : depuis une semaine, l&#8217;argent va au visiteur. Le pari du march\u00e9 est simple : l&#8217;effectif d&#8217;Oliver Glasner vaut mieux que son classement.<\/p>\n<h2>Lukic forfait, Forest presque au complet<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Sasa Lukic (aine) est forfait : O&#8217;Neil l&#8217;esp\u00e9rait de retour cette semaine, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.itfc.co.uk\/news\/2026\/october\/22\/early-nottingham-forest-team-news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">la fiche du club<\/a> l&#8217;a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.suffolknews.co.uk\/ipswich\/sport\/town-midfielder-absent-for-visit-of-forest-9488168\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u00e9cart\u00e9 du match<\/a>, avec une reprise vis\u00e9e en d\u00e9but de semaine prochaine avant Hull ;<\/li>\n<li>Morgan Gibbs-White s&#8217;est entra\u00een\u00e9 toute la semaine et Milenkovic est <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nottinghamforest.co.uk\/news\/2026\/october\/21\/team-news---gibbs-white-fit-to-return-against-ipswich\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">apte \u00e0 d\u00e9buter<\/a> : les deux absents d&#8217;octobre reviennent en m\u00eame temps ;<\/li>\n<li>Igor Jesus (mollet) et Savona (genou) restent les deux seuls joueurs hors du groupe c\u00f4t\u00e9 Forest ;<\/li>\n<li>Jack Taylor (genou) n&#8217;a toujours pas disput\u00e9 une minute cette saison c\u00f4t\u00e9 Ipswich, sans que le club en dise plus.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Sans Lukic, le milieu \u00e0 deux d&#8217;Ipswich se recompose autour de Palacios, associ\u00e9 \u00e0 Florentino Luis. En face, Glasner aligne Milenkovic au centre de la d\u00e9fense \u00e0 trois et Gibbs-White entre les lignes, et Liam Delap, l&#8217;ancien d&#8217;Ipswich, d\u00e9bute en pointe \u00e0 Portman Road, avec une mission claire : \u00ab Forest a d\u00e9sesp\u00e9r\u00e9ment besoin qu&#8217;il marque \u00bb, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nottinghamforest.news\/2026\/10\/19\/oliver-glasner-raves-about-incredible-nottingham-forest-star-who-tormented-arsenal-duo\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">r\u00e9sume la presse locale<\/a>. O&#8217;Neil conna\u00eet le danger : Forest est \u00ab toujours difficile \u00e0 d\u00e9jouer \u00bb et \u00ab dangereux dans la transition \u00bb.<\/p>\n<h2>Ce que les cinq derniers matchs racontent<\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>\u00c9quipe<\/th>\n<th>Match<\/th>\n<th>Comp\u00e9tition<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>17\/10<\/td>\n<td>Ipswich<\/td>\n<td>\u00e0 Manchester City<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>2-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>10\/10<\/td>\n<td>Ipswich<\/td>\n<td>Fulham<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>19\/09<\/td>\n<td>Ipswich<\/td>\n<td>\u00e0 Everton<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>15\/09<\/td>\n<td>Ipswich<\/td>\n<td>Arsenal<\/td>\n<td>Coupe de la Ligue<\/td>\n<td>2-4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>12\/09<\/td>\n<td>Ipswich<\/td>\n<td>\u00e0 Crystal Palace<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>3-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>18\/10<\/td>\n<td>Forest<\/td>\n<td>Arsenal<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/10<\/td>\n<td>Forest<\/td>\n<td>\u00e0 Crystal Palace<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>1-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>19\/09<\/td>\n<td>Forest<\/td>\n<td>Coventry<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>12\/09<\/td>\n<td>Forest<\/td>\n<td>\u00e0 Aston Villa<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>05\/09<\/td>\n<td>Forest<\/td>\n<td>Tottenham<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Deux \u00e9quipes qui marquent presque \u00e0 chaque match, une seule qui gagne. Ipswich a battu Fulham ici et pouss\u00e9 City ; Forest a un but en trois sorties. L&#8217;histoire sourit \u00e0 Forest : 4-2 \u00e0 Portman Road en mars 2025, 1-0 \u00e0 domicile en novembre 2024.<\/p>\n<h2>Mon pari : Ipswich ou le nul, en petite mise<\/h2>\n<p>Le nul me prot\u00e8ge du sc\u00e9nario que Forest promet depuis trois semaines : cr\u00e9er sans conclure. Je prends Ipswich ou le nul \u00e0 1,69 chez 1xbet, la cote de ma prise de mercredi ; jeudi matin, la m\u00eame double chance s&#8217;\u00e9changeait \u00e0 1,68, relev\u00e9 pris avant l&#8217;annonce du forfait de Lukic : le mouvement vers Forest n&#8217;est peut-\u00eatre pas fini. Je donne 61 % \u00e0 cette double chance, la cote en promet 58 : l&#8217;\u00e9cart est si petit que la mise reste au plancher, 0,25 unit\u00e9, soit 25 $. Ipswich gagne ou fait match nul : +17,18 $ nets. Forest gagne : les 25 $ sont perdus.<\/p>\n<p>Ce forfait fragilise la prise, je ne le cache pas : Ipswich perd le premier relanceur de son milieu, et le sc\u00e9nario Forest devient plus plausible qu&#8217;au moment de la mise. Je ne r\u00e9\u00e9value pas une mise la veille d&#8217;un match, et elle \u00e9tait au plancher d\u00e8s mercredi. Pourquoi la double chance plut\u00f4t que la victoire s\u00e8che : \u00e0 plus de 3,30, elle paierait mieux, mais elle me laisse sans filet si Forest retrouve sa finition. La mise vient du <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">calculateur de mise<\/a> ; ce pari rejoint mon <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a>. 18+, ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n<h2>1-1 : le sc\u00e9nario Forest une \u00e9ni\u00e8me fois, et le nul paie ma double chance<\/h2>\n<p>Williams a ouvert le score pour Forest sur un centre de Mu\u00f1oz (13e), Enciso a r\u00e9pondu (41e), et personne n&#8217;a plus marqu\u00e9 : 1-1 devant 29 198 spectateurs, Gary O&#8217;Neil en attendait 30 000. L&#8217;occasion la plus franche est rest\u00e9e c\u00f4t\u00e9 Forest, Callum Hudson-Odoi tirant \u00e0 c\u00f4t\u00e9 \u00e0 la 89e : quatri\u00e8me match d&#8217;affil\u00e9e sans victoire pour le favori du march\u00e9. Le <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/sport\/football\/live\/cmn0628p5rkyt\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">fil du match<\/a> garde la soir\u00e9e enti\u00e8re.<\/p>\n<p>Ma double chance Ipswich ou nul \u00e0 1,69 chez 1xbet est gagn\u00e9e : 17,18 $ nets pour la mise minimale de 25 $. Le nul a fait exactement ce que je lui demandais, couvrir un Forest qui cr\u00e9e sans conclure. La cote n&#8217;a presque pas boug\u00e9 entre ma prise et la cl\u00f4ture.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ipswich et Forest se s\u00e9parent sur un 1-1 : ma double chance Ipswich ou nul \u00e0 1,69 chez 1xbet est gagn\u00e9e, 17,18 $ nets au bilan public, pendant que Forest reste \u00e0 quatre matches sans victoire.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":11661,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Ipswich - Nottingham Forest (PL, 23\/10) : Ipswich ou le nul \u00e0 1,69 chez 1xbet, mise minimale de 0,25 unit\u00e9. Lukic forfait, Forest se renforce.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Ipswich","ba_away_name":"Nottingham Forest","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-23 19:00:00","ba_venue":"Portman Road Stadium","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1557443","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"pv8gwidn7vp","author_id":4,"market":"Double chance","selection":"Ipswich ou nul (1X)","bookmaker":"1xbet","market_key":"dc","selection_key":"1x","line":null,"odds":1.687,"stake_units":0.25,"stake_amount":25,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":17.18,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"won","recorded_at":"2026-10-21 12:43:39","settled_at":"2026-10-23 21:00:07","probability":0.61,"p_market":0.5762,"p_used":0.5931,"edge":0.0006,"market_margin":0.053,"market_books":7,"closing_odds":1.69,"p_close":0.5788,"clv":-0.0236,"stake_rule":"min"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[19,70],"class_list":["post-10718","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football","ba_sport-premier-league"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Ipswich &#8211; Nottingham Forest : le favori est 19e, et il se d\u00e9place &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pronostic Ipswich - Nottingham Forest (PL, 23\/10) : Ipswich ou le nul \u00e0 1,69 chez 1xbet, mise minimale de 0,25 unit\u00e9. 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