{"id":10842,"date":"2026-10-21T20:33:38","date_gmt":"2026-10-21T18:33:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/manchester-city-sept-victoires-en-sept-retourne-a-villa-park-ou-il-na-plus-gagne-depuis-decembre-2021\/"},"modified":"2026-10-24T16:08:20","modified_gmt":"2026-10-24T14:08:20","slug":"aston-villa-manchester-city-pronostic-2026-10-24","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/premier-league\/aston-villa-manchester-city-pronostic-2026-10-24\/","title":{"rendered":"Manchester City, sept victoires en sept, retourne \u00e0 Villa Park o\u00f9 il n&#8217;a plus gagn\u00e9 depuis d\u00e9cembre 2021"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Sept victoires en sept matchs, 21 points, et un d\u00e9placement chez le douzi\u00e8me de Premier League : le samedi de Manchester City ressemble \u00e0 une formalit\u00e9. Villa Park est l&#8217;endroit o\u00f9 cette formalit\u00e9 se casse. City n&#8217;y a plus gagn\u00e9 depuis d\u00e9cembre 2021, et ses deux derni\u00e8res visites se sont sold\u00e9es par des d\u00e9faites, 1-0 puis 2-1.<\/p>\n<h2>Villa a battu City deux fois de suite \u00e0 domicile<\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Rencontre<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>24 mai 2026<\/td>\n<td>Manchester City &#8211; Aston Villa<\/td>\n<td>1-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>26 octobre 2025<\/td>\n<td>Aston Villa &#8211; Manchester City<\/td>\n<td>1-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>22 avril 2025<\/td>\n<td>Manchester City &#8211; Aston Villa<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Deux des trois derni\u00e8res confrontations sont tomb\u00e9es c\u00f4t\u00e9 Villa, y compris au Etihad en mai dernier. Et Villa Park ne pardonne pas : City y compte <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livescore.com\/en\/news\/football\/premier-league\/manchester-city-handed-a-huge-boost-ahead-of-aston-villa-clash-with-erling-haaland-available-to-play-esteemed-kompany\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">trois d\u00e9faites et un nul<\/a> depuis fin 2021.<\/p>\n<h2>La renaissance de Villa passe par l&#8217;Europe<\/h2>\n<p>Villa a gagn\u00e9 un seul de ses six premiers matchs de championnat. La Ligue des champions a chang\u00e9 l&#8217;air : 6-0 contre Fenerbah\u00e7e le 14 octobre, puis un succ\u00e8s 0-1 \u00e0 Newcastle trois jours plus tard. Mercredi soir, Villa a referm\u00e9 ce bloc par un 3-1 contre le Viking FK : cette \u00e9quipe n&#8217;est plus celle de la rentr\u00e9e.<\/p>\n<h2>En championnat City r\u00e8gne, en semaine il tremble<\/h2>\n<p>Dans la Premier League, tout encha\u00eene : 3-2 contre Ipswich le 17 octobre, septi\u00e8me victoire en autant de sorties. En Ligue des champions, la photographie change. Le 14 octobre, City s&#8217;est inclin\u00e9 2-4 \u00e0 domicile contre le Paris Saint-Germain, avant de r\u00e9pondre lundi par un 5-1 face \u00e0 l&#8217;AEK Ath\u00e8nes, Doku, Ndiaye, Guehi et Bouaddi m\u00e9nag\u00e9s. Haaland, rest\u00e9 sur le banc apr\u00e8s un coup au pied gauche re\u00e7u contre Ipswich, est <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mancity.com\/news\/mens\/enzo-maresca-aston-villa-away-press-conference-written-63928256\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u00ab 100 % disponible \u00bb<\/a> selon Enzo Maresca, en conf\u00e9rence de presse jeudi.<\/p>\n<p>Les absents s&#8217;accumulent des deux c\u00f4t\u00e9s :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Semenyo (City, genou gauche) : environ huit semaines d&#8217;absence, retour envisag\u00e9 en d\u00e9cembre ;<\/li>\n<li>Kovacic, Nunes et O&#8217;Reilly (City) : d\u00e9cision apr\u00e8s la s\u00e9ance de jeudi ; Gvardiol s&#8217;est remis de son coup l\u00e9ger ;<\/li>\n<li>Onana (Villa, ligaments crois\u00e9s) : absent de longue dur\u00e9e ; Wan-Bissaka (ischio-jambiers) : trois \u00e0 quatre semaines ; Ruggeri : environ deux mois, selon <a href=\"https:\/\/www.avfc.co.uk\/news\/2026\/october\/20\/prematch-team-news-for-viking-visit\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">le club<\/a> ;<\/li>\n<li>Manzambi (Villa, mollet) : Emery ne sait pas s&#8217;il sera disponible samedi ; Maatsen a repris l&#8217;entra\u00eenement.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Ce que dit la cote<\/h2>\n<p>Le march\u00e9 n&#8217;a pas froid aux yeux face \u00e0 cette histoire de Villa Park, et il a encore avanc\u00e9 vers City depuis mercredi : le champion s&#8217;\u00e9change \u00e0 1,71 chez 1xbet ce vendredi, contre 1,76 \u00e0 l&#8217;ouverture ; Villa est mont\u00e9e \u00e0 5,00, le nul \u00e0 4,42. Ma double chance Aston Villa ou nul s&#8217;affiche d\u00e9sormais au mieux \u00e0 2,30 chez Betano, contre 2,19 \u00e0 la prise mercredi : le march\u00e9 accorde toujours moins d&#8217;une chance sur deux \u00e0 Villa d&#8217;\u00e9viter la d\u00e9faite.<\/p>\n<h2>Mon pari : Villa ou le nul \u00e0 2,19, une demi-unit\u00e9<\/h2>\n<p>Je donne 49 % de chances \u00e0 Villa ou au nul. Mon pari est enregistr\u00e9 \u00e0 2,19 chez 1xbet, pris mercredi : la cote en suppose 45,7 %, l&#8217;\u00e9cart existe, et il n&#8217;est pas \u00e9norme. Le prix affich\u00e9 depuis ne change ni la mise ni le gain. City reste la meilleure \u00e9quipe du pays sur sept journ\u00e9es de preuves. Une demi-unit\u00e9 donc, 50 $ : c&#8217;est ce que me conseille le <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">calculateur de Kelly<\/a> pour un avantage de cette taille. Villa gagne ou fait nul : +59,50 $ nets. City gagne : -50 $.<\/p>\n<p>Ce pari rejoindra, gagn\u00e9 ou perdu, mon <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a>. 18+ : ne misez que ce que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre.<\/p>\n<h2>2-1 : le doubl\u00e9 de Jackson arr\u00eate City \u00e0 Villa Park<\/h2>\n<p>Villa gagne 2-1 et inflige \u00e0 City sa premi\u00e8re d\u00e9faite de la saison, apr\u00e8s sept victoires en sept matchs de championnat. Nicolas Jackson a sign\u00e9 le doubl\u00e9, ouvrant le score avant la sixi\u00e8me minute, et en est \u00e0 sept buts toutes comp\u00e9titions. Haaland \u00e9tait titulaire, \u00e7a n&#8217;a rien chang\u00e9 : City compte d\u00e9sormais quatre d\u00e9faites d&#8217;affil\u00e9e \u00e0 Villa Park.<\/p>\n<p>Ma double chance Villa ou nul n&#8217;a pas eu besoin du nul : 59,50 $ nets pour 50 $ mis\u00e9s, port\u00e9s au bilan public. Prise \u00e0 2,19 mercredi, la cote a ferm\u00e9 \u00e0 2,27 : le march\u00e9 avait encore gliss\u00e9 vers City avant le coup d&#8217;envoi, Villa ne l&#8217;a pas \u00e9cout\u00e9. La demi-unit\u00e9 \u00e9tait le prix juste pour ce pari : une \u00e9quipe \u00e0 21 points sur 21, et un terrain o\u00f9 elle ne gagne plus depuis d\u00e9cembre 2021.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Villa bat City 2-1, premi\u00e8re d\u00e9faite de la saison du champion : mon Villa ou nul pris \u00e0 2,19 passe, 59,50 $ nets port\u00e9s au bilan public.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":11830,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Aston Villa &#8211; Manchester City : City est sept sur sept, mais Villa Park le bat depuis 2021. Je prends Villa ou le nul \u00e0 2,19.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Aston Villa","ba_away_name":"Manchester City","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-24 11:30:00","ba_venue":"Villa Park","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1557438","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"p8pwbnnfqk2","author_id":4,"market":"Double chance","selection":"Aston Villa ou nul","bookmaker":"1xbet","market_key":"dc","selection_key":"1x","line":null,"odds":2.19,"stake_units":0.5,"stake_amount":50,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":59.5,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"won","recorded_at":"2026-10-21 18:33:50","settled_at":"2026-10-24 13:30:07","probability":0.49,"p_market":0.4461,"p_used":0.4681,"edge":0.025,"market_margin":0.0496,"market_books":7,"closing_odds":2.271,"p_close":0.4179,"clv":-0.0848,"stake_rule":"kelly"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[19,70],"class_list":["post-10842","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football","ba_sport-premier-league"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Manchester City, sept victoires en sept, retourne \u00e0 Villa Park o\u00f9 il n&#8217;a plus gagn\u00e9 depuis d\u00e9cembre 2021 &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pronostic Aston Villa &#8211; Manchester City : City est sept sur sept, mais Villa Park le bat depuis 2021. 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