{"id":10966,"date":"2026-10-22T11:37:41","date_gmt":"2026-10-22T09:37:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/olympiacos-fenerbahce-le-favori-sort-de-deux-prolongations-linvite-arrive-au-complet\/"},"modified":"2026-10-23T23:14:17","modified_gmt":"2026-10-23T21:14:17","slug":"olympiacos-fenerbahce-pronostic-2026-10-23","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/basket\/euroleague\/olympiacos-fenerbahce-pronostic-2026-10-23\/","title":{"rendered":"Olympiacos – Fenerbahce : le favori sort de deux prolongations, l’invit\u00e9 arrive au complet"},"content":{"rendered":"

L’Olympiacos sort de deux victoires en prolongation, 102-97 \u00e0 Valence puis 105-100 \u00e0 Barcelone, avec plus de 100 points marqu\u00e9s \u00e0 chaque sortie. Dix minutes de jeu en plus sur les jambes en deux soir\u00e9es, un effectif qui s’amincit, et en face un Fenerbahce au complet : voil\u00e0 le match.<\/p>\n

Le march\u00e9 a d\u00e9j\u00e0 pris parti : Fenerbahce s’\u00e9changeait \u00e0 2,90 \u00e0 l’ouverture, il est \u00e0 2,35 ce jeudi soir. Plus \u00e9tonnant : l’Olympiacos a durci dans la journ\u00e9e, victoire de 1,78 \u00e0 1,70 et handicap principal de -2,5 \u00e0 -3, alors m\u00eame que ses absences se confirmaient.<\/p>\n

Trois \u00e9quipes \u00e0 5-1, dont ces deux-l\u00e0<\/h2>\n

Trois clubs se partagent la t\u00eate du classement<\/a> \u00e0 5-1 : le Panathinaikos, Fenerbahce et sa diff\u00e9rence de +54, l’Olympiacos et ses +40. La seule d\u00e9faite grecque est venue \u00e0 Bologne au troisi\u00e8me tour ; Fenerbahce a chut\u00e9 au Panathinaikos, puis a \u00e9cart\u00e9 Zalgiris et Partizan.<\/p>\n

Fournier et Dorsey forfaits, Montero en suspens<\/h2>\n

Le rapport officiel<\/a> de jeudi a tranch\u00e9 ce que l’annonce laissait en suspens : Evan Fournier (11,3 points de moyenne) et Tyler Dorsey, \u00e9cart\u00e9 par le club<\/a> depuis Barcelone, sont forfaits pour vendredi, le club l’a confirm\u00e9. Sur la conf\u00e9rence de presse<\/a>, Bartzokas a r\u00e9sum\u00e9 : \u00ab We are short-handed in the backcourt. \u00bb<\/p>\n

Montero, entorse \u00e0 la cheville droite et l\u00e9sion ligamentaire au genou gauche, n’a pas repris l’entra\u00eenement : d\u00e9cision au dernier moment. Milutinov, le dos, avait manqu\u00e9 la sixi\u00e8me journ\u00e9e, mais il ne figure sur aucune liste d’absents et son entra\u00eeneur le compte parmi les disponibles.<\/p>\n

En face, Fenerbahce<\/a> n’a d\u00e9pos\u00e9 aucun rapport : l’effectif \u00e9tait au complet au tour pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent, et Shane Larkin a fait ses d\u00e9buts de saison au cinqui\u00e8me tour.<\/p>\n

L’histoire sourit aux Grecs, de justesse<\/h2>\n

Sur les deux derni\u00e8res confrontations, l’Olympiacos a eu le dernier mot, et la saison pass\u00e9e, chacun a gagn\u00e9 chez soi :<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Occasion<\/th>\nVainqueur<\/th>\nScore<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Demi-finale du SuperCup 2026<\/td>\nOlympiacos<\/td>\n92-90<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Demi-finale du Final Four 2026<\/td>\nOlympiacos<\/td>\n79-61<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
EuroLeague, \u00e0 Istanbul (janvier)<\/td>\nFenerbahce<\/td>\n88-80<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
EuroLeague, au Pir\u00e9e<\/td>\nOlympiacos<\/td>\n104-87<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Depuis 2000, le bilan global entre les deux clubs m\u00e8ne 20-19 pour l’Olympiacos. Rien de d\u00e9cisif, mais un d\u00e9cor : ces \u00e9quipes se connaissent par c\u0153ur.<\/p>\n

Je prends Fenerbahce +2,5 \u00e0 2,05<\/h2>\n

Chez BetMGM, Fenerbahce +2,5 s’\u00e9change toujours \u00e0 2,05 : mon prix de prise, au centime pr\u00e8s. La ligne principale est pass\u00e9e \u00e0 -3, o\u00f9 Fenerbahce +3 ne paie plus que 1,91 : le march\u00e9 rend un demi-point de plus et le fait payer. Je reste \u00e0 54 % sur ma ligne ; la valeur y est toujours, dans la ligne plut\u00f4t que dans la victoire s\u00e8che.<\/p>\n

Fenerbahce gagne ou perd d’un ou deux points : gagn\u00e9, 131,25 $. Une d\u00e9faite de trois points ou plus : 125 $ perdus. Prolongations comprises. La mise monte \u00e0 1,25 unit\u00e9 : l’\u00e9cart entre ma lecture et celle du march\u00e9 est net, la logique de Kelly<\/a> fait le reste, et mon bilan public<\/a> suivra ce pari. 18 ans minimum, ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n

61-64 : Fenerbahce d\u00e9croche enfin sa premi\u00e8re victoire \u00e0 l’ext\u00e9rieur<\/h2>\n

Le Fenerbahce au complet gagne 61-64 au Pir\u00e9e, l\u00e0 o\u00f9 il n’avait encore rien pris cette saison. En face, l’Olympiacos des deux prolongations n’a pas tenu : apr\u00e8s 102 points \u00e0 Valence et 105 \u00e0 Barcelone, priv\u00e9 de Fournier et de Dorsey, l’attaque grecque retombe \u00e0 61 \u00e0 la maison.<\/p>\n

Mon Fenerbahce +2,5 \u00e0 2,05 chez BetMGM n’a pas eu besoin de la ligne : victoire nette de trois points, cinq et demi de marge. Pris \u00e0 2,05, le pari a ferm\u00e9 \u00e0 1,88, le march\u00e9 a suivi le m\u00eame chemin dans la soir\u00e9e. 131,25 $ nets pour 125 $ mis\u00e9s, 1,25 unit\u00e9 port\u00e9e au bilan public.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fenerbahce gagne 61-64 au Pir\u00e9e et d\u00e9croche sa premi\u00e8re victoire \u00e0 l’ext\u00e9rieur : mon +2,5 \u00e0 2,05 chez BetMGM passe avec cinq points et demi de marge, 131,25 $ nets au bilan public.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":11636,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Olympiacos, favori \u00e0 domicile priv\u00e9 de Fournier et Dorsey, re\u00e7oit un Fenerbahce \u00e0 5-1 sans forfait annonc\u00e9. 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