{"id":1105,"date":"2026-09-27T23:36:47","date_gmt":"2026-09-27T21:36:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/dubai-barcelone-pronostic-2026-09-29\/"},"modified":"2026-09-29T21:13:07","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T19:13:07","slug":"dubai-barcelone-pronostic-2026-09-29","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/basket\/euroleague\/dubai-barcelone-pronostic-2026-09-29\/","title":{"rendered":"Duba\u00ef \u2013 Barcelone : le rebond offensif de Pascual face \u00e0 un Bar\u00e7a d\u00e9cim\u00e9 sous le cercle"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ce lundi, le rapport m\u00e9dical du Bar\u00e7a a tranch\u00e9 : Josh Nebo, Yoan Makoundou et Tosan Evbuomwan sont tous les trois out. Pendant que le Bar\u00e7a marquait 119 points contre Leyma Coru\u00f1a samedi, Duba\u00ef dormait chez lui. Ma lecture du match n&#8217;a pas chang\u00e9 depuis dimanche ; le prix, lui, a continu\u00e9 de descendre.<\/p>\n<h2>Balcerowski va encore porter la peinture seul<\/h2>\n<p>Nebo (mollet droit) manquera au moins les cinq premi\u00e8res journ\u00e9es, Makoundou (genou gauche) environ six semaines, Evbuomwan (\u00e9paule) n&#8217;a pas de date de retour. Olek Balcerowski a prot\u00e9g\u00e9 la peinture contre l&#8217;Efes ; mardi, il la prot\u00e8ge encore, avec plus de minutes. Kevin Punter, nomm\u00e9 capitaine, y avait mis 19 points : le Bar\u00e7a jouera par ses arri\u00e8res ou ne jouera pas.<\/p>\n<p>Et ces arri\u00e8res tirent juste : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/euroleague\/game-center\/2026-27\/dubai-basketball-fc-barcelona\/E2026\/13\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">60,0 % \u00e0 deux points et 41,4 % \u00e0 trois<\/a> apr\u00e8s la premi\u00e8re journ\u00e9e, parmi les meilleurs de la ligue. Duba\u00ef tourne \u00e0 42,5 % et 35,7 % sur les m\u00eames lignes. Le danger de ce pari est l\u00e0 : une chaude soir\u00e9e ext\u00e9rieure du Bar\u00e7a annule la raquette.<\/p>\n<p>L&#8217;infirmerie des deux bancs, telle qu&#8217;elle se lit lundi :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Barcelone : Nebo (mollet droit, au moins jusqu&#8217;\u00e0 la cinqui\u00e8me journ\u00e9e), Makoundou (genou gauche, environ six semaines), Evbuomwan (\u00e9paule, dur\u00e9e ind\u00e9termin\u00e9e) ; Abdu Kone reste incertain, selon le <a href=\"https:\/\/basketnews.com\/news-212393-euroleague-injury-report-updated.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">rapport de blessures<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li>Duba\u00ef : Abass (hors du roster EuroLeague), Jaiteh (tendon d&#8217;Achille, r\u00e9\u00e9ducation), Musa (genou, incertain apr\u00e8s la premi\u00e8re journ\u00e9e manqu\u00e9e).<\/li>\n<li>Dwayne Bacon, lui, a quitt\u00e9 l&#8217;infirmerie : il a disput\u00e9 et gagn\u00e9 le match d&#8217;ouverture.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Une semaine \u00e0 domicile contre un Bar\u00e7a qui voyage<\/h2>\n<p>Le Bar\u00e7a a jou\u00e9 samedi en Espagne, vole vers Duba\u00ef, repart jeudi \u00e0 Be\u015fikta\u015f : trois matchs en six jours. Duba\u00ef a ouvert sa saison \u00e0 la Coca-Cola Arena, y reste, et n&#8217;ira chercher Fenerbah\u00e7e que vendredi. La fra\u00eecheur du dernier quart devrait \u00eatre du c\u00f4t\u00e9 de la maison.<\/p>\n<p>Le <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelona.fr\/fr\/basketball\/equipe-premiere\/actualites\/4581475\/barca-basket-anadolu-efes-premiere-grande-soiree-au-palau-89-82\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">119-101 contre Coru\u00f1a<\/a> ressemble \u00e0 un festival offensif, la d\u00e9fense y a \u00e9t\u00e9 n\u00e9glig\u00e9e. Xavi Pascual, huit ans et demi au Bar\u00e7a, l&#8217;affronte pour la premi\u00e8re fois mardi, avec un effectif de 19 joueurs qui lui a permis de laisser cinq hommes \u00e0 l&#8217;\u00e9cart du groupe du match du Real, par choix : Anderson, Dangubic, Kamenjas, Prepelic, Vuckovic.<\/p>\n<h2>La premi\u00e8re journ\u00e9e en trois lignes<\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Premi\u00e8re journ\u00e9e<\/th>\n<th>Duba\u00ef contre le Real<\/th>\n<th>Barcelone contre l&#8217;Efes<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Score<\/td>\n<td>78-77<\/td>\n<td>89-82<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Rebonds offensifs<\/td>\n<td>18<\/td>\n<td>9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Marqueur en vue<\/td>\n<td>Bacon, 24 points<\/td>\n<td>Brizuela, 20 points<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Le match d&#8217;ouverture avait dit l&#8217;essentiel : Duba\u00ef a pris <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/game-center\/2026-27\/dubai-basketball-real-madrid\/E2026\/2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">18 rebonds offensifs<\/a> au Real, le Bar\u00e7a en a pris 9 face \u00e0 l&#8217;Efes. Contre un cercle r\u00e9duit \u00e0 Balcerowski, chaque seconde chance p\u00e8se double. La saison pass\u00e9e, chaque \u00e9quipe a gagn\u00e9 son match \u00e0 domicile : 83-78 pour Duba\u00ef, 91-89 pour Barcelone.<\/p>\n<h2>\u00c0 1,37, le march\u00e9 a fini par me rejoindre<\/h2>\n<p>Ma victoire de Duba\u00ef est enregistr\u00e9e \u00e0 1,441 chez 1xbet dimanche. Ce prix suppose environ 69,4 % de chances ; mon estimation restait un peu au-dessus. Lundi, le meilleur prix tombait \u00e0 1,37, soit plus de 73 % de chances exig\u00e9es : le march\u00e9 a combl\u00e9 l&#8217;essentiel de mon \u00e9cart. Le pari du dimanche le garde \u00e0 1,441 ; je n&#8217;enregistre rien de plus \u00e0 ce tarif.<\/p>\n<p>Tout bouge du m\u00eame c\u00f4t\u00e9 : la ligne principale de handicap s&#8217;affiche d\u00e9sormais \u00e0 -7, le total \u00e0 170,5. Quand le march\u00e9 lit le match comme moi, l&#8217;avantage fond ; il me reste le prix verrouill\u00e9 dimanche.<\/p>\n<h2>1,5 unit\u00e9, une conviction moyenne<\/h2>\n<p>Je mise 1,5 unit\u00e9, soit 150 $. Pas davantage : une journ\u00e9e de saison ne prouve pas encore la profondeur dubaiote. Pas moins : les absents en face et le calendrier jouent pour Duba\u00ef. Le <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">calculateur de Kelly et de mise en unit\u00e9s<\/a> d\u00e9taille le calcul, et mon <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a> gardera le r\u00e9sultat, gagn\u00e9 ou perdu. 18 ans et plus : ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n<h2>94-87 : Duba\u00ef passe \u00e0 2-0<\/h2>\n<p>Duba\u00ef s&#8217;impose 94-87 \u00e0 la Coca-Cola Arena, deux matchs, deux victoires. Barcelone finit \u00e0 87 points, dans la foul\u00e9e de ses 89 face \u00e0 l&#8217;Efes : le 119 de samedi appartenait \u00e0 Coru\u00f1a et \u00e0 la Liga ACB. La chaude soir\u00e9e ext\u00e9rieure qui annule la raquette ne s&#8217;est pas pr\u00e9sent\u00e9e.<\/p>\n<p>Victoire de Duba\u00ef \u00e0 1,441 chez 1xbet : pari gagn\u00e9, 66,15 $ pour 1,5 unit\u00e9. Le meilleur prix fermait \u00e0 1,33 au coup d&#8217;envoi : le march\u00e9 a continu\u00e9 de descendre apr\u00e8s moi, et le pari verrouill\u00e9 dimanche garde sa valeur. Le gain passe au bilan public.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Duba\u00ef s&#8217;impose 94-87 et passe \u00e0 2-0 : la victoire \u00e0 1,441 chez 1xbet est gagn\u00e9e, 66,15 $ pour 1,5 unit\u00e9. Barcelone reste sous les 90 points.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":2147,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Duba\u00ef contre Barcelone : victoire de Duba\u00ef \u00e0 1,441 chez 1xbet, 1,5 unit\u00e9. Le Bar\u00e7a sans ses trois int\u00e9rieurs, Duba\u00ef frais \u00e0 domicile.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Duba\u00ef","ba_away_name":"Barcelone","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-09-29 16:00:00","ba_venue":"Coca-Cola Arena","ba_match_key":"api-sports:basketball:508592","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[24,95],"class_list":["post-1105","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-basket","ba_sport-euroleague"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Duba\u00ef \u2013 Barcelone : le rebond offensif de Pascual face \u00e0 un Bar\u00e7a d\u00e9cim\u00e9 sous le cercle &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pronostic Duba\u00ef contre Barcelone : victoire de Duba\u00ef \u00e0 1,441 chez 1xbet, 1,5 unit\u00e9. 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