{"id":11349,"date":"2026-10-22T23:42:01","date_gmt":"2026-10-22T21:42:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/sunderland-leeds-le-dernier-de-premier-league-recoit-un-leeds-repose\/"},"modified":"2026-10-25T20:13:18","modified_gmt":"2026-10-25T19:13:18","slug":"sunderland-leeds-pronostic-2026-10-25","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/premier-league\/sunderland-leeds-pronostic-2026-10-25\/","title":{"rendered":"Sunderland \u2013 Leeds : un Leeds frais, trois doutes offensifs en suspens"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Jeudi soir \u00e0 Poznan, Sunderland a laiss\u00e9 filer deux points (1-1) malgr\u00e9 vingt-cinq tirs ; dimanche, il re\u00e7oit Leeds au Stadium of Light, dernier de Premier League avec quatre d\u00e9faites de suite, et la pression que la presse locale d\u00e9crit comme maximale. Leeds a eu la semaine enti\u00e8re pour pr\u00e9parer ce d\u00e9placement, et l&#8217;a pass\u00e9e \u00e0 surveiller trois joueurs offensifs touch\u00e9s contre Manchester United.<\/p>\n<h2>La table, puis le calendrier<\/h2>\n<p>Le classement dit l&#8217;\u00e9cart : Sunderland vingti\u00e8me, 4 points, une victoire en sept matchs, six buts marqu\u00e9s, quatorze encaiss\u00e9s ; Leeds septi\u00e8me, 10 points. Le calendrier l&#8217;aggrave : Sunderland a jou\u00e9 jeudi en Pologne, o\u00f9 il a l\u00e2ch\u00e9 ses premiers points en Europa League, tandis que Leeds sort d&#8217;un nul contre Manchester United (1-1).<\/p>\n<p>Dimanche dernier, Sunderland a perdu 2-0 \u00e0 Bournemouth ; d\u00e9but octobre, 0-2 contre Brighton \u00e0 domicile. Leeds, sur la m\u00eame p\u00e9riode, compte un seul revers.<\/p>\n<h2>Brobbey revient, les absences s&#8217;accumulent<\/h2>\n<p>Les onzes officiels sont tomb\u00e9s ce dimanche : Sunderland en 4-2-3-1, Roefs au but ; Hume, Mukiele, O&#8217;Nien et Reinildo en d\u00e9fense ; Xhaka et Sadiki au milieu ; Angulo, Rigg et Le F\u00e9e derri\u00e8re Brobbey, seul attaquant. Leeds r\u00e9pond en 3-4-2-1 : Trafford au but ; Justin, Bijol et Muharemovi\u0107 en d\u00e9fense ; Bogle, Ampadu, Tanaka et Gudmundsson au milieu ; Wilson et Aaronson derri\u00e8re Calvert-Lewin, seul en pointe.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Le retour attendu de Brian Brobbey : le club l&#8217;annon\u00e7ait <a href=\"https:\/\/www.safc.com\/news\/2026\/october\/21\/le-bris-confirms-brobbey-timeline\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">disponible contre Leeds<\/a> apr\u00e8s une dizaine de jours de reprise ; il n&#8217;a pas jou\u00e9 \u00e0 Poznan par pr\u00e9caution, et Le Bris le titularise.<\/li>\n<li>Thomas Meunier et Wilson Isidor se sont entra\u00een\u00e9s \u00e0 part mercredi ; Le Bris les disait <a href=\"https:\/\/www.chroniclelive.co.uk\/sport\/football\/football-news\/brian-brobbey-injury-update-return-34799539\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u00ab en bonne voie, on verra s&#8217;ils peuvent \u00eatre pr\u00eats \u00bb<\/a> : aucun des deux ne d\u00e9bute.<\/li>\n<li>Kevin Danso <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sunderlandecho.com\/sport\/football\/sunderland-afc\/sunderland-europa-league-news-lech-poznan-9302735\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">manque le match, suspendu<\/a> apr\u00e8s son rouge \u00e0 Bournemouth, Mundle est absent (genou) et Ballard les a rejoints (muscle) : Le Bris a recompos\u00e9 sa d\u00e9fense.<\/li>\n<li>Chez Leeds, Joe Rodon reste \u00e9cart\u00e9 et Mateo Joseph absent, mais Daniel James est cette fois <a href=\"https:\/\/www.leedsunited.com\/en\/news\/sunderland-vs-leeds-united-team-news-key-stats-and-everything-you-need-to-know\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">disponible pour la s\u00e9lection<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li>La nouveaut\u00e9 de la semaine : Daniel Farke <a href=\"https:\/\/www.leedsunited.com\/en\/news\/daniel-farke-gives-fitness-update-on-dominic-calvert-lewin-anton-stach-and-noah-okafor\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">compte trois doutes majeurs<\/a>, Calvert-Lewin (contusion au pied), Stach (pied) et Okafor (adducteurs), tous touch\u00e9s contre Manchester United : \u00ab si le match avait lieu aujourd&#8217;hui, les trois ne seraient pas disponibles. \u00bb Verdict : Calvert-Lewin est titulaire, Stach et Okafor non.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Sunderland garde la main sur Leeds<\/h2>\n<p>Le paradoxe de ce match : la saison pass\u00e9e, Sunderland a pris quatre points sur six contre Leeds, et cet \u00e9t\u00e9, Leeds ne s&#8217;est impos\u00e9 que dans un match de pr\u00e9paration. Les confrontations r\u00e9centes sourient au club du nord-est ; le classement, lui, ne suit pas.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Match<\/th>\n<th>Comp\u00e9tition<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>30\/07\/2026<\/td>\n<td>Sunderland &#8211; Leeds<\/td>\n<td>Summer Series<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>03\/03\/2026<\/td>\n<td>Leeds &#8211; Sunderland<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>28\/12\/2025<\/td>\n<td>Sunderland &#8211; Leeds<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>17\/02\/2025<\/td>\n<td>Leeds &#8211; Sunderland<\/td>\n<td>Championship<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>04\/10\/2024<\/td>\n<td>Sunderland &#8211; Leeds<\/td>\n<td>Championship<\/td>\n<td>2-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Un Stadium of Light sous pression peut porter une \u00e9quipe en difficult\u00e9 : c&#8217;est le sc\u00e9nario qui inqui\u00e8te mon pari. Celui qui l&#8217;arrange : des jambes lourdes du retour de Pologne et un bloc trop recul\u00e9 pour tenir soixante-dix minutes.<\/p>\n<h2>La cote a rebrouss\u00e9 chemin depuis jeudi<\/h2>\n<p>Leeds vainqueur affiche 2,577 chez 1xbet : la cote de jeudi, 2,484, s&#8217;est d\u00e9tendue, m\u00eame si le prix reste sous l&#8217;ouverture \u00e0 2,632. Sunderland est revenu de 3,22 \u00e0 3,08, le nul vaut 3,305, la ligne principale de buts reste basse \u00e0 2,25. \u00c0 2,577, le march\u00e9 donne Leeds gagnant autour de 39 % ; les trois doutes offensifs d\u00e9voil\u00e9s vendredi ne se lisent pas encore dans le prix.<\/p>\n<h2>Leeds \u00e0 2,484, une demi-unit\u00e9<\/h2>\n<p>Je garde Leeds vainqueur \u00e0 2,484 chez 1xbet, avec 0,5 unit\u00e9, soit 50 $ : le pari est pris, il ne bouge plus. Je donne 43 % \u00e0 Leeds l\u00e0 o\u00f9 la cote en promettait 40 : trois points d&#8217;\u00e9cart, un vrai mais petit avantage, et le <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">calculateur de Kelly<\/a> a pos\u00e9 une demi-unit\u00e9, pas plus. Leeds gagne, le pari rapporte 74,20 $ nets ; nul ou victoire de Sunderland, il co\u00fbte 50 $.<\/p>\n<p>Ce qui me fait y aller : une semaine de pr\u00e9paration contre un retour de Pologne, un adversaire priv\u00e9 de Danso et de Mundle. Ce qui me retient : Sunderland tient le duel r\u00e9cent, Brobbey revient, un public qui se joue sa saison change un match. Le r\u00e9sultat rejoindra le <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a>. 18+, ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n<h2>0-0 : le Stadium of Light a tenu Leeds en \u00e9chec<\/h2>\n<p>Le sc\u00e9nario que je craignais a pris forme : Sunderland arrache son point, la s\u00e9rie de quatre d\u00e9faites s&#8217;arr\u00eate l\u00e0, et Leeds repart avec un nul qui ne paie pas mon pari. Les doutes offensifs de vendredi se sont r\u00e9gl\u00e9s c\u00f4t\u00e9 Leeds, Calvert-Lewin titulaire, Stach et Okafor dehors, et le but n&#8217;est jamais venu ; Sunderland garde la main sur ce duel, encore.<\/p>\n<p>Pari perdu : Leeds \u00e0 2,484, 0,5 unit\u00e9, soit -50 $ au bilan public. La cl\u00f4ture avait d\u00e9riv\u00e9 \u00e0 2,785 : le march\u00e9 doutait de Leeds plus fort que moi \u00e0 la fin, et il avait raison de douter.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sunderland a arrach\u00e9 le 0-0 et stopp\u00e9 sa s\u00e9rie de quatre d\u00e9faites ; mon pari Leeds \u00e0 2,484 est perdu : -50 $ au bilan public.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":12331,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Sunderland - Leeds : Sunderland dernier, Leeds frais avec Calvert-Lewin titulaire. Mon pari : Leeds gagne \u00e0 2,484 chez 1xbet.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Sunderland","ba_away_name":"Leeds","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-25 16:30:00","ba_venue":"Stadium of Light","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1557446","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"pzkst0gl93k","author_id":4,"market":"Vainqueur (1N2)","selection":"Leeds gagne","bookmaker":"1xbet","market_key":"ml","selection_key":"away","line":null,"odds":2.484,"stake_units":0.5,"stake_amount":50,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":74.2,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"lost","recorded_at":"2026-10-22 21:42:18","settled_at":"2026-10-25 18:30:05","probability":0.43,"p_market":0.398,"p_used":0.414,"edge":0.0284,"market_margin":0.0469,"market_books":7,"closing_odds":2.785,"p_close":0.353,"clv":-0.1231,"stake_rule":"kelly"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[19,70],"class_list":["post-11349","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football","ba_sport-premier-league"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Sunderland \u2013 Leeds : un Leeds frais, trois doutes offensifs en suspens &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pronostic Sunderland - Leeds : Sunderland dernier, Leeds frais avec Calvert-Lewin titulaire. 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