{"id":11413,"date":"2026-10-23T11:37:55","date_gmt":"2026-10-23T09:37:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/paris-favori-a-147-malgre-quatre-absents-je-prends-lyon-15-a-184\/"},"modified":"2026-10-26T23:10:39","modified_gmt":"2026-10-26T22:10:39","slug":"psg-lyon-pronostic-2026-10-25","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/ligue-1\/psg-lyon-pronostic-2026-10-25\/","title":{"rendered":"PSG-Lyon d\u00e9cal\u00e9 au lundi soir : je garde Lyon +1,5 \u00e0 1,84"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Lyon arrive au Parc des Princes en leader, \u00e0 \u00e9galit\u00e9 de points avec Paris et avec une meilleure diff\u00e9rence de buts : apr\u00e8s sept journ\u00e9es, ce match d\u00e9partage le duo de t\u00eate. Il s&#8217;est pourtant \u00e9crit \u00e0 l&#8217;infirmerie. Demb\u00e9l\u00e9, Kvaratskhelia et Marquinhos sont absents pour des semaines ; \u00e0 1,47 chez 1xbet, un prix qui tient depuis mardi, le march\u00e9 donne quand m\u00eame \u00e0 Paris pr\u00e8s de deux chances sur trois.<\/p>\n<p>Le match a chang\u00e9 de cr\u00e9neau : pr\u00e9vu dimanche 25 \u00e0 20h45, il se joue <a href=\"https:\/\/ligue1.com\/en\/articles\/l1_article_5994-psg-ol-decale-au-lundi-26-octobre-l1-2627\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">lundi 26 octobre \u00e0 20h30<\/a>, apr\u00e8s l&#8217;interdiction pr\u00e9fectorale de l&#8217;organiser le dimanche soir. La LFP et les deux clubs voulaient garder la date d&#8217;origine ; ils s&#8217;y sont rang\u00e9s, et la diffusion passe sur Ligue 1+. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eurosport.fr\/football\/ligue-1\/2026-2027\/ligue-1-officiel-psg-lyon-reporte-a-lundi-sur-decision-de-la-prefecture-de-police_sto23348473\/story.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Les manifestations du samedi et le match NFL du dimanche au Stade de France<\/a> ont pes\u00e9 dans la d\u00e9cision, et le coup d&#8217;envoi tombe le soir de la remise du Ballon d&#8217;Or.<\/p>\n<h2>Cinq victoires de suite, trois cadres en infirmerie<\/h2>\n<p>La s\u00e9rie parle pour Paris ; la feuille de match parle contre. L&#8217;attaque perd Demb\u00e9l\u00e9 et Kvaratskhelia, la d\u00e9fense Marquinhos, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnews.fr\/sport\/2026-10-21\/psg-ousmane-dembele-et-marquinhos-touches-la-cuisse-et-absents-plusieurs-semaines\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">absents plusieurs semaines<\/a>. Nuno Mendes, touch\u00e9 \u00e0 la cuisse, avait d\u00e9j\u00e0 manqu\u00e9 le match du Bar\u00e7a : il n&#8217;est pas dans le onze officiel, qui aligne Safonov dans le but, Hakimi, Zabarnyi, Pacho et Za\u00efre-Emery en d\u00e9fense, Jo\u00e3o Neves, Vitinha et Fabi\u00e1n Ruiz au milieu, Dou\u00e9, Ferran Torres et Akliouche en attaque.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>PSG : Demb\u00e9l\u00e9 (cuisse gauche) et Marquinhos (cuisse droite) en soins, plusieurs semaines.<\/li>\n<li>PSG : Kvaratskhelia, crois\u00e9s du genou droit, op\u00e9r\u00e9 en d\u00e9but de semaine, longue absence ; Mendes et Longoni absents du onze.<\/li>\n<li>Lyon : Openda (p\u00e9ron\u00e9) absent au moins jusqu&#8217;\u00e0 mi-novembre ; Tagliafico environ trois semaines ; Ou\u00e9draogo indisponible.<\/li>\n<li>Lyon : Nakamura suspendu apr\u00e8s son rouge contre Nice ; Kango, Hamdani et Sulc absents du onze.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Lyon a tourn\u00e9 jeudi, Paris a jou\u00e9 mardi<\/h2>\n<p>Les deux \u00e9quipes n&#8217;arrivent pas avec les m\u00eames jambes, et le report ajoute un jour de repos aux deux sans combler l&#8217;\u00e9cart. Fonseca a fait tourner \u00e0 Hoffenheim et l&#8217;a assum\u00e9 : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sofoot.com\/breves\/ligue-europa-paulo-fonseca-lentraineur-de-lyon-assume-avoir-fait-tourner-avant-le-deplacement-a-paris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">&#8220;un match tr\u00e8s important contre le PSG&#8221;<\/a>. Son \u00e9quipe y a perdu 0-3. La rotation donne des joueurs frais, elle ne donne pas de calendrier : lundi, Lyon jouera quatre jours apr\u00e8s Hoffenheim, Paris six jours apr\u00e8s Barcelone. Le onze lyonnais est connu : Tolisso d\u00e9marre, aux c\u00f4t\u00e9s de Tessmann et Morton, avec Nuamah, Merah et Duranville devant.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\u00c9quipe<\/th>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Adversaire<\/th>\n<th>Comp\u00e9tition<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Paris<\/td>\n<td>20\/10<\/td>\n<td>Barcelone<\/td>\n<td>Ligue des champions<\/td>\n<td>4-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Paris<\/td>\n<td>17\/10<\/td>\n<td>Strasbourg<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>3-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Paris<\/td>\n<td>14\/10<\/td>\n<td>Manchester City<\/td>\n<td>Ligue des champions<\/td>\n<td>4-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Paris<\/td>\n<td>10\/10<\/td>\n<td>Le Mans<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>3-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Paris<\/td>\n<td>20\/09<\/td>\n<td>Marseille<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Lyon<\/td>\n<td>22\/10<\/td>\n<td>Hoffenheim<\/td>\n<td>Ligue Europa<\/td>\n<td>0-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Lyon<\/td>\n<td>18\/10<\/td>\n<td>Nice<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Lyon<\/td>\n<td>15\/10<\/td>\n<td>Crystal Palace<\/td>\n<td>Ligue Europa<\/td>\n<td>3-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Lyon<\/td>\n<td>09\/10<\/td>\n<td>Lens<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>1-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Lyon<\/td>\n<td>19\/09<\/td>\n<td>Rennes<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>4-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>Quatre des cinq derniers PSG-Lyon se sont jou\u00e9s \u00e0 un but pr\u00e8s<\/h2>\n<p>La confrontation r\u00e9cente plaide pour le match court. Lyon a gagn\u00e9 sa derni\u00e8re visite au Parc des Princes 2-1 en avril, et seul le PSG-Lyon de d\u00e9cembre 2024 s&#8217;est r\u00e9gl\u00e9 par plus d&#8217;un but d&#8217;\u00e9cart. Sans Marquinhos ni Mendes, je vois mal Paris creuser.<\/p>\n<h2>Lyon +1,5 \u00e0 1,84 : je prends l&#8217;\u00e9cart<\/h2>\n<p>Le pari porte sur l&#8217;\u00e9cart, pas sur le vainqueur, et le report ne change rien \u00e0 ma lecture. Ce Paris diminu\u00e9 gagne rarement ce match-l\u00e0 de deux buts, et l&#8217;histoire des confrontations va dans ce sens. Le handicap passe si Lyon gagne, fait nul ou perd d&#8217;un but ; il tombe si Paris s&#8217;impose de deux buts ou plus. \u00c0 1,84 chez 1xbet, le gain est de 146,30 $ pour 175 $ mis\u00e9s.<\/p>\n<p>Le march\u00e9 donne environ 55 % \u00e0 cette ligne ; je la vois \u00e0 60 %. La mise calcul\u00e9e monte \u00e0 1,75 unit\u00e9 : une vraie conviction sur l&#8217;\u00e9cart. Le risque a un visage : ce mois-ci, Paris a d\u00e9j\u00e0 gagn\u00e9 deux matchs europ\u00e9ens par deux buts d&#8217;\u00e9cart. M\u00eame amoindri, ce sc\u00e9nario existe, et c&#8217;est lui qui fait perdre le pari.<\/p>\n<p>Pour caler vos mises, le <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">calculateur de mise en unit\u00e9s<\/a> fait le calcul, et ce pari part au <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a> tel quel. 18+, misez seulement ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n<h2>2-0 : le sc\u00e9nario europ\u00e9en emporte le pari<\/h2>\n<p>Le risque avait un visage, et il s&#8217;est montr\u00e9 au Parc des Princes : Paris gagne par deux, comme contre Barcelone et Manchester City ce mois-ci. Amput\u00e9 de Demb\u00e9l\u00e9, Kvaratskhelia et Marquinhos, le onze align\u00e9 a suffi ; Lyon, venu quatre jours apr\u00e8s Hoffenheim, ne marque pas pour le deuxi\u00e8me match de suite. Les deux \u00e9quipes arrivaient \u00e0 \u00e9galit\u00e9 de points : Paris en prend trois d&#8217;avance.<\/p>\n<p>Pari perdu : Lyon +1,5 \u00e0 1,84 chez 1xbet, 1,75 unit\u00e9, -175 $ au bilan public. La ligne a ferm\u00e9 \u00e0 2,06 : le march\u00e9 avait gliss\u00e9 vers Paris entre la prise et le coup d&#8217;envoi, et il a eu raison.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Paris gagne 2-0 : mon pari Lyon +1,5 \u00e0 1,836 chez 1xbet est perdu, exactement le sc\u00e9nario europ\u00e9en qui le mena\u00e7ait. Le handicap tombe : 175 $ de moins au bilan public.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":12575,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic PSG - Lyon, report\u00e9 au lundi 26 : trois cadres parisiens forfaits, Lyon leader au Parc. Le pari : Lyon +1,5 \u00e0 1,84 chez 1xbet, 1,75 unit\u00e9.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Paris Saint-Germain","ba_away_name":"Lyon","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-26 19:30:00","ba_venue":"Parc des Princes","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1552800","ba_featured":true,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"pc6vofgjaz9","author_id":4,"market":"Handicap asiatique","selection":"Lyon +1,5","bookmaker":"1xbet","market_key":"spread","selection_key":"away","line":1.5,"odds":1.836,"stake_units":1.75,"stake_amount":175,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":146.3,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"lost","recorded_at":"2026-10-23 09:38:15","settled_at":"2026-10-26 21:30:05","probability":0.6,"p_market":0.5496,"p_used":0.5748,"edge":0.0553,"market_margin":0.0714,"market_books":5,"closing_odds":2.056,"p_close":0.4791,"clv":-0.1204,"stake_rule":"kelly"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[19,50],"class_list":["post-11413","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football","ba_sport-ligue-1"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>PSG-Lyon d\u00e9cal\u00e9 au lundi soir : je garde Lyon +1,5 \u00e0 1,84 &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pronostic PSG - Lyon, report\u00e9 au lundi 26 : trois cadres parisiens forfaits, Lyon leader au Parc. 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