{"id":12863,"date":"2026-10-27T23:39:31","date_gmt":"2026-10-27T22:39:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/fritz-hijikata-la-course-a-turin-commence-par-un-repeche\/"},"modified":"2026-10-27T23:39:40","modified_gmt":"2026-10-27T22:39:40","slug":"fritz-hijikata-pronostic-2026-10-28","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/tennis\/atp\/fritz-hijikata-pronostic-2026-10-28\/","title":{"rendered":"Fritz &#8211; Hijikata : la course \u00e0 Turin commence par un rep\u00each\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Dimanche \u00e0 Lyon, Taylor Fritz a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.atptour.com\/en\/news\/fritz-musetti-lyon-2026-final-sunday\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">perdu la finale<\/a> 6-3, 6-4 contre Lorenzo Musetti. Mercredi \u00e0 B\u00e2le, il rejoue, en premier tour, contre Rinky Hijikata, rep\u00each\u00e9 des qualifications. C&#8217;est aussi le jour de ses 29 ans.<\/p>\n<h2>Un adversaire entr\u00e9 au dernier moment<\/h2>\n<p>Hijikata a perdu son dernier match de qualification contre Yannick Hanfmann dimanche, et il n&#8217;entre au tableau que par le forfait de Stefanos Tsitsipas, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetennisgazette.com\/opinion\/taylor-fritzs-chances-of-success-at-the-basel-open-increase-before-hes-even-played-a-match\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">touch\u00e9 \u00e0 l&#8217;\u00e9paule droite<\/a>, qui devait \u00eatre l&#8217;adversaire de Fritz. Le tableau de B\u00e2le a perdu en quelques heures Tsitsipas, Bublik et Davidovich Fokina ; la route de la 6e t\u00eate de s\u00e9rie s&#8217;est ouverte d&#8217;autant. Fritz m\u00e8ne leur unique confrontation, 6-3, 6-3 \u00e0 Delray Beach en 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Le rep\u00each\u00e9 n&#8217;arrive pas en forme : sorti d&#8217;entr\u00e9e \u00e0 Almaty le 20 octobre, sorti d&#8217;entr\u00e9e \u00e0 Shanghai le 7. Sa saison reste honn\u00eate, 34 victoires en 63 matchs, mais le fond du tableau b\u00e2lois est exactement son niveau du moment.<\/p>\n<h2>La semaine de Lyon p\u00e8se encore<\/h2>\n<p>Quatre matchs en sept jours pour Fritz \u00e0 Lyon, dont <a href=\"https:\/\/www.atptour.com\/en\/news\/fritz-herbert-cobolli-wawrinka-lyon-2026-thursday\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">une chute spectaculaire contre Herbert<\/a>, qu&#8217;il a qualifi\u00e9e de la plus dure de sa carri\u00e8re, sans cons\u00e9quence visible ensuite. Le genou ? Il tra\u00eene une tendinite depuis le printemps, celle qui l&#8217;a g\u00ean\u00e9 \u00e0 Wimbledon, et rien de neuf n&#8217;en a filtr\u00e9 depuis son arriv\u00e9e \u00e0 B\u00e2le. La motivation, elle, est \u00e9crite : 12e de la course \u00e0 Turin, Fritz joue sa qualification pour les Finales ATP, et la salle rapide de la St. Jakobshalle est faite pour son service : 82,2 % de jeux de service gagn\u00e9s sur ses dix derniers matchs, et <a href=\"https:\/\/rg.org\/news\/tennis\/swiss-indoors-basel-2026-shelton-djokovic-fritz-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">le meilleur taux d&#8217;aces du plateau<\/a> sur la saison.<\/p>\n<p>Les derniers matchs des deux joueurs :<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Joueur<\/th>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Tournoi<\/th>\n<th>Adversaire<\/th>\n<th>R\u00e9sultat<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>T. Fritz<\/td>\n<td>25\/10<\/td>\n<td>Lyon, finale<\/td>\n<td>L. Musetti<\/td>\n<td>D<\/td>\n<td>3-6 4-6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>T. Fritz<\/td>\n<td>24\/10<\/td>\n<td>Lyon, demie<\/td>\n<td>T. Paul<\/td>\n<td>V<\/td>\n<td>6-3 7-5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>T. Fritz<\/td>\n<td>23\/10<\/td>\n<td>Lyon, quarts<\/td>\n<td>D. Altmaier<\/td>\n<td>V<\/td>\n<td>7-6 6-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>T. Fritz<\/td>\n<td>22\/10<\/td>\n<td>Lyon, huiti\u00e8mes<\/td>\n<td>P. Herbert<\/td>\n<td>V<\/td>\n<td>6-2 7-5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>T. Fritz<\/td>\n<td>12\/10<\/td>\n<td>Shanghai, 2e tour<\/td>\n<td>S. Tsitsipas<\/td>\n<td>D<\/td>\n<td>6-3 5-7 3-6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>R. Hijikata<\/td>\n<td>25\/10<\/td>\n<td>B\u00e2le, qualif., finale<\/td>\n<td>Y. Hanfmann<\/td>\n<td>D<\/td>\n<td>4-6 6-1 3-6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>R. Hijikata<\/td>\n<td>24\/10<\/td>\n<td>B\u00e2le, qualif.<\/td>\n<td>M. Kecmanovic<\/td>\n<td>V<\/td>\n<td>7-6 6-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>R. Hijikata<\/td>\n<td>20\/10<\/td>\n<td>Almaty, 1er tour<\/td>\n<td>T. Atmane<\/td>\n<td>D<\/td>\n<td>6-7 2-6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>R. Hijikata<\/td>\n<td>07\/10<\/td>\n<td>Shanghai, 1er tour<\/td>\n<td>R. Safiullin<\/td>\n<td>D<\/td>\n<td>5-7 3-6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>Pourquoi je ne parie pas<\/h2>\n<p>Mardi soir, Fritz cote 1,12 chez BetMGM, Hijikata 7,00 chez Bet365. Le vainqueur est hors de prix, il ne reste que les lignes de marge : le total de 21,5 jeux penche \u00e0 peine, et le handicap de 4,5 jeux offre 1,85 \u00e0 l&#8217;Australien. C&#8217;\u00e9tait le seul angle plausible, lui donner quatre jeux et demi dans un match o\u00f9 Fritz g\u00e8re sa reprise deux jours apr\u00e8s une finale dominicale. Je le voyais \u00e0 58 % ; une fois mes certitudes rabot\u00e9es, mon chiffre retombe sur les 54 % que la cote affiche d\u00e9j\u00e0. Pas d&#8217;\u00e9cart, pas de pari.<\/p>\n<p>Pas de pari pour l&#8217;ouverture de B\u00e2le. La <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">m\u00e9thode de mise<\/a> ne se force pas, et le <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a> n&#8217;a rien \u00e0 gagner d&#8217;un pari invent\u00e9 ; ce match, le march\u00e9 l&#8217;a bien pes\u00e9. Si vous jouez malgr\u00e9 tout : 18+, ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Deux jours apr\u00e8s sa finale de Lyon, Fritz ouvre B\u00e2le contre un rep\u00each\u00e9, le jour de ses 29 ans. \u00c0 1,12, et m\u00eame le +4,5 jeux d&#8217;Hijikata \u00e0 1,85 n&#8217;offre plus d&#8217;\u00e9cart : pas de pari.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":12864,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Fritz \u2013 Hijikata (B\u00e2le) : apr\u00e8s sa finale de Lyon, Fritz court apr\u00e8s Turin face \u00e0 un rep\u00each\u00e9. \u00c0 1,12, aucun \u00e9cart net : pas de pari.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"T. Fritz","ba_away_name":"R. Hijikata","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-28 17:00:00","ba_venue":"Basel","ba_match_key":"api-tennis:tennis:12174305","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[125,29],"class_list":["post-12863","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-atp","ba_sport-tennis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Fritz &#8211; Hijikata : la course \u00e0 Turin commence par un rep\u00each\u00e9 &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pronostic Fritz \u2013 Hijikata (B\u00e2le) : apr\u00e8s sa finale de Lyon, Fritz court apr\u00e8s Turin face \u00e0 un rep\u00each\u00e9. \u00c0 1,12, aucun \u00e9cart net : pas de pari.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/tennis\/atp\/fritz-hijikata-pronostic-2026-10-28\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fritz &#8211; 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