{"id":13456,"date":"2026-10-28T18:39:00","date_gmt":"2026-10-28T17:39:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/premier-duel-atp-entre-les-deux-romains-cobolli-arrive-charge-berrettini-frais-et-vexe\/"},"modified":"2026-10-28T20:19:22","modified_gmt":"2026-10-28T19:19:22","slug":"cobolli-berrettini-pronostic-2026-10-29","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/tennis\/atp\/cobolli-berrettini-pronostic-2026-10-29\/","title":{"rendered":"Premier duel ATP entre les deux Romains : Cobolli arrive charg\u00e9, Berrettini frais et vex\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"

Flavio Cobolli a battu Grigor Dimitrov 6-4 3-6 6-3 mardi \u00e0 Vienne, en 2 h 16, apr\u00e8s le soin \u00e0 la cuisse gauche relev\u00e9 par la Gazzetta<\/a> au troisi\u00e8me set. Deux Italiens, deux semaines oppos\u00e9es. Jeudi en huiti\u00e8me de finale, il retrouve l’autre Romain du tableau, Matteo Berrettini, pour leur premier duel au niveau ATP.<\/p>\n

Une semaine de 106 jeux contre une de 19<\/h2>\n

Cobolli sort d’une semaine pleine : demi-finale perdue \u00e0 Lyon 6-4 2-6 5-7 contre Lorenzo Musetti samedi, victoire \u00e0 Vienne mardi, quatre matchs, onze sets, 106 jeux en sept jours. Berrettini a r\u00e9gl\u00e9 Etcheverry 6-3 6-4 lundi en 1 h 23, un match ma\u00eetris\u00e9 de bout en bout<\/a>, et n’a plus touch\u00e9 une balle en comp\u00e9tition depuis. Une journ\u00e9e sans jouer pour Cobolli, trois pour Berrettini, \u00e0 la veille d’un derby, \u00e7a se compte.<\/p>\n

Cobolli, 7e mondial et 5e de la course \u00e0 Turin avec 3 540 points, a les Finals dans la t\u00eate. Berrettini, 46e, joue sur son meilleur terrain de fin de saison : 10 victoires en 14 matchs \u00e0 Vienne<\/a>, demi-finaliste ici en 2019, \u00e0 la recherche d’un premier titre dans cette salle.<\/p>\n

Le service de Berrettini colle \u00e0 la salle viennoise<\/h2>\n

Sur leurs dix derniers matchs, Berrettini gagne 82,7 % de ses jeux de service, Cobolli 75,9 %. Berrettini dispute un tie-break une fois sur trois sets ; Cobolli n’en a pas jou\u00e9 un seul sur la m\u00eame p\u00e9riode. Sur un dur indoor o\u00f9 la balle glisse bas, tenir sa mise en jeu vaut un set. Cobolli compense en cassant plus souvent, 20,1 % de breaks contre 18,2 %, mais face \u00e0 un frappeur, c’est son propre service qui passe \u00e0 l’\u00e9preuve.<\/p>\n

Leurs saisons disent le m\u00eame \u00e9cart dans l’autre sens : 33-22 pour Cobolli, 15-13 sur dur ; 21-18 pour Berrettini, 7-7 sur dur. Le classement penche pour le premier, la salle pour le second.<\/p>\n

Une liste de Coupe Davis sans son nom<\/h2>\n

La composition de l’\u00e9quipe d’Italie pour la Coupe Davis a \u00e9t\u00e9 rendue publique pendant son premier tour : Musetti, Cobolli, Darderi, Bolelli, Vavassori, et pas Berrettini. \u00ab Un moment de grande d\u00e9ception \u00bb<\/a>, a-t-il r\u00e9agi, avec l’intention de se rappeler au souvenir du s\u00e9lectionneur. Un derby contre un co\u00e9quipier convoqu\u00e9 tombe au bon moment.<\/p>\n

Berrettini vainqueur \u00e0 1,91, mise minimale<\/h2>\n

\u00c0 1,91 des deux c\u00f4t\u00e9s ce mercredi, chez Betano pour Berrettini et BetMGM pour Cobolli, le march\u00e9 donne ce derby pour un match \u00e0 50-50. Je vois autrement : 56 % pour Berrettini, parce que son service colle \u00e0 la salle, que trois jours de repos p\u00e8sent dans un derby, et qu’il a une convocation \u00e0 reconqu\u00e9rir. La cote promet un peu plus de 52 % ; l’avantage est r\u00e9el mais mince, et la mise le dit : 0,25 unit\u00e9, 25 $, le minimum pour un \u00e9cart \u00e9troit. Berrettini gagne, je touche 22,75 $ nets ; Cobolli passe, je perds 25 $ ; abandon ou forfait, la mise est rembours\u00e9e.<\/p>\n

Tout tient \u00e0 cette cuisse gauche. Aucun bulletin depuis mardi : le compte rendu du match chez Sky<\/a> n’y rel\u00e8ve aucune g\u00eane, la Gazzetta n’a rien ajout\u00e9 ; ce silence rassure sans rien confirmer. Le calculateur de Kelly<\/a> d\u00e9taille la r\u00e8gle de mise, et chaque pari rejoint mon bilan public<\/a>, gagnant ou perdant. 18+, ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Flavio Cobolli sort de 106 jeux en sept jours et d’un soin \u00e0 la cuisse gauche non confirm\u00e9 ; Matteo Berrettini a trois jours de repos et une convocation \u00e0 reconqu\u00e9rir. Je prends Berrettini vainqueur \u00e0 1,91, mise minimale.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":13459,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Cobolli-Berrettini (ATP Vienne) : la cuisse gauche de Cobolli \u00e0 surveiller, Berrettini frais. 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