{"id":13476,"date":"2026-10-28T18:40:36","date_gmt":"2026-10-28T17:40:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/sans-trois-defenseurs-nice-recoit-un-rennes-qui-marque-meme-sans-lepaul\/"},"modified":"2026-10-28T18:40:48","modified_gmt":"2026-10-28T17:40:48","slug":"nice-rennes-pronostic-2026-10-30","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/ligue-1\/nice-rennes-pronostic-2026-10-30\/","title":{"rendered":"Sans trois d\u00e9fenseurs, Nice re\u00e7oit un Rennes qui marque m\u00eame sans Lepaul"},"content":{"rendered":"

Le match a \u00e9t\u00e9 avanc\u00e9 au vendredi : la pr\u00e9fecture des Alpes-Maritimes a demand\u00e9 le d\u00e9placement<\/a>, troisi\u00e8me samedi cons\u00e9cutif de mobilisation sociale, et le club rennais programme d\u00e9j\u00e0 la rencontre au vendredi. Certains calendriers, celui du club ni\u00e7ois compris, affichent encore samedi. Le fond, lui, n’a pas boug\u00e9 : Rennes est 2e avec 16 points, Nice 10e avec 11, et les deux \u00e9quipes viennent de gagner.<\/p>\n

Une d\u00e9fense ni\u00e7oise \u00e0 recomposer<\/h2>\n

L’infirmerie ni\u00e7oise se remplit au pire moment : Abergel (genou), Bombito (jambe) et Mendy (genou) sont absents, Abdi (musculaire) et Clauss incertains, et Seidu, pr\u00eat\u00e9 par Rennes, est in\u00e9ligible face \u00e0 son club d’origine. Les compositions probables<\/a> ajoutent Sanson, touch\u00e9 au genou. Clauss, sorti \u00e0 la 54e minute \u00e0 Brest vendredi<\/a>, reste un doute \u00e0 droite.<\/p>\n

Recomposer une ligne arri\u00e8re priv\u00e9e de trois titulaires ne se r\u00e8gle pas en une semaine d’entra\u00eenement : les couvertures se d\u00e9synchronisent, d’abord sur les secondes balles et dans les transitions. Face \u00e0 une \u00e9quipe qui attaque vite, chaque replacement en retard devient une occasion adverse.<\/p>\n

Rennes marque, Rennes encaisse<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u00c9quipe<\/th>\nDate<\/th>\nAdversaire<\/th>\nComp\u00e9tition<\/th>\nScore<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Nice<\/td>\n23\/10<\/td>\nBrest (ext.)<\/td>\nLigue 1<\/td>\n2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Nice<\/td>\n18\/10<\/td>\nLyon (ext.)<\/td>\nLigue 1<\/td>\n1-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Nice<\/td>\n11\/10<\/td>\nStrasbourg (dom.)<\/td>\nLigue 1<\/td>\n2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Nice<\/td>\n20\/09<\/td>\nLille (dom.)<\/td>\nLigue 1<\/td>\n2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Nice<\/td>\n12\/09<\/td>\nAuxerre (ext.)<\/td>\nLigue 1<\/td>\n0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Rennes<\/td>\n25\/10<\/td>\nStrasbourg (dom.)<\/td>\nLigue 1<\/td>\n3-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Rennes<\/td>\n22\/10<\/td>\nJuventus (ext.)<\/td>\nLigue Europa<\/td>\n2-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Rennes<\/td>\n18\/10<\/td>\nParis FC (ext.)<\/td>\nLigue 1<\/td>\n3-4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Rennes<\/td>\n15\/10<\/td>\nOFI (dom.)<\/td>\nLigue Europa<\/td>\n2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Rennes<\/td>\n11\/10<\/td>\nAuxerre (dom.)<\/td>\nLigue 1<\/td>\n4-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Neuf de ces dix matchs ont produit au moins trois buts. Rennes a marqu\u00e9 cinq buts dans les deux matchs disput\u00e9s sans Est\u00e9ban Lepaul, absent depuis son entorse de la cheville gauche contract\u00e9e le 18 octobre face au Paris FC<\/a> : Haise ne fixe aucune date de retour, \u00ab on regarde au jour le jour \u00bb. Et le dernier Rennes venu \u00e0 l’Allianz Riviera l’a emport\u00e9 4-0, en mars.<\/p>\n

Rennes favori \u00e0 2,53, la ligne des buts d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e0 3<\/h2>\n

Le 1N2 donne Rennes favori \u00e0 2,53 chez 1xbet mardi, Nice \u00e0 2,78 et le nul \u00e0 3,84 : \u00e0 peu pr\u00e8s 40 % de chances pour les Rennais. Sur les buts, la ligne principale du march\u00e9 est d\u00e9j\u00e0 mont\u00e9e \u00e0 3, et le plus de 2,5 buts se paie encore 1,648. \u00ab Les deux \u00e9quipes marquent \u00bb vaut 1,50, ce qui dit \u00e0 peu pr\u00e8s la m\u00eame chose.<\/p>\n

Plus de 2,5 buts \u00e0 1,648 : 1,75 unit\u00e9<\/h2>\n

Je donne 66 % de chances \u00e0 au moins trois buts, le march\u00e9 en donne 61 : une d\u00e9fense ni\u00e7oise recompos\u00e9e sous pression, deux \u00e9quipes qui marquent partout, un Rennes qui n’attend pas son buteur. La mise calcul\u00e9e monte \u00e0 1,75 unit\u00e9, 175 $ : au moins trois buts dans le temps r\u00e9glementaire, je touche 113,40 $ nets ; deux buts ou moins, je perds 175 $. Ce qui me ferait perdre, c’est un match ferm\u00e9, comme celui de Nice \u00e0 Auxerre en septembre : c’est la seule issue qui m’inqui\u00e8te, et la s\u00e9rie ne force rien. Si Lepaul revient, le pari n’en sera que plus solide.<\/p>\n

La r\u00e8gle de mise en unit\u00e9s est sur la page du calculateur de Kelly<\/a>, et ce pari rejoint mon bilan public<\/a>, gagnant ou perdant. 18+, ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Priv\u00e9 d’Abergel, Bombito et Mendy, incertain sur Abdi et Clauss, Nice accueille vendredi un Rennes deuxi\u00e8me qui vient de passer trois buts \u00e0 Strasbourg sans Lepaul. Je prends plus de 2,5 buts \u00e0 1,648, 1,75 unit\u00e9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":13477,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Nice-Rennes (Ligue 1) : une d\u00e9fense ni\u00e7oise d\u00e9cim\u00e9e, un Rennes qui marque m\u00eame sans Lepaul. Je prends plus de 2,5 buts \u00e0 1,648, 1,75 unit\u00e9.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Nice","ba_away_name":"Rennes","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-30 18:00:00","ba_venue":"Allianz Riviera","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1552806","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"p40jcdjcfcp","author_id":4,"market":"Total de buts","selection":"Plus de 2,5 buts","bookmaker":"1xbet","market_key":"totals","selection_key":"over","line":2.5,"odds":1.648,"stake_units":1.75,"stake_amount":175,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":113.4,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"pending","recorded_at":"2026-10-28 17:40:54","settled_at":"","probability":0.66,"p_market":0.6076,"p_used":0.6338,"edge":0.0445,"market_margin":0.0662,"market_books":9,"stake_rule":"kelly"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[19,50],"class_list":["post-13476","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football","ba_sport-ligue-1"],"yoast_head":"\nSans trois d\u00e9fenseurs, Nice re\u00e7oit un Rennes qui marque m\u00eame sans Lepaul · Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pronostic Nice-Rennes (Ligue 1) : une d\u00e9fense ni\u00e7oise d\u00e9cim\u00e9e, un Rennes qui marque m\u00eame sans Lepaul. 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