{"id":13494,"date":"2026-10-28T18:41:46","date_gmt":"2026-10-28T17:41:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/jodar-vise-turin-vacherot-cherche-son-niveau-de-tokyo-pas-de-pari-a-134\/"},"modified":"2026-10-28T20:02:58","modified_gmt":"2026-10-28T19:02:58","slug":"vacherot-jodar-pronostic-2026-10-29","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/tennis\/atp\/vacherot-jodar-pronostic-2026-10-29\/","title":{"rendered":"Jodar vise Turin, Vacherot cherche son niveau de Tokyo : pas de pari \u00e0 1,34"},"content":{"rendered":"

Valentin Vacherot a battu Navone 6-3 7-6(4) lundi \u00e0 B\u00e2le en 1 h 59 ; Rafael Jodar, t\u00eate de s\u00e9rie n\u00b03, a r\u00e9gl\u00e9 Tabilo 6-4 6-2 mardi en 1 h 25. Les deux ne se sont jamais rencontr\u00e9s. L’ordre du jeu est publi\u00e9 : ce huiti\u00e8me ouvre le Center Court jeudi, sur un indoor rapide qui sert les serveurs et le jeu de Jodar<\/a>. Le tournoi a tenu son calendrier mercredi : Borges y a sorti Ruud<\/a> sur ce m\u00eame court, aucun match report\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Jodar joue Turin, et \u00e7a se voit<\/h2>\n

L’Espagnol sort d’une finale \u00e0 Shanghai, perdue 6-1 6-7 4-6 contre Davidovich Fokina, avec Ruud et Medvedev \u00e9cart\u00e9s en route. Il occupe la neuvi\u00e8me et derni\u00e8re place qualificative de la course \u00e0 Turin<\/a>, De Minaur juste derri\u00e8re, 74 matchs au compteur cette saison. Sur la forme du moment, il est l’homme de l’affiche.<\/p>\n

Vacherot tient ses mises de jeu<\/h2>\n

Sorti au deuxi\u00e8me tour de Lyon par Van Assche la semaine pass\u00e9e, le Mon\u00e9gasque a mieux r\u00e9pondu lundi. Sa saison a \u00e9t\u00e9 cass\u00e9e par une fracture de fatigue au pied et un \u0153d\u00e8me osseux : tourn\u00e9e sur gazon manqu\u00e9e, Wimbledon manqu\u00e9, forfait avant son deuxi\u00e8me tour \u00e0 Roland-Garros. 14e le 5 octobre apr\u00e8s une demi-finale \u00e0 Tokyo, il pointe aujourd’hui au 32e rang, avec un titre de Shanghai \u00e0 d\u00e9fendre, conquis en 2025 en sortant des qualifications<\/a>, le premier de l’histoire mon\u00e9gasque sur le circuit.<\/p>\n

Sur ses dix derniers matchs, Vacherot gagne 81,8 % de ses jeux de service et joue presque un tie-break sur trois ; Jodar tient le sien \u00e0 82,2 %. Le duel a une figure logique : le retour de Jodar, 31,5 % de jeux adverses cass\u00e9s, contre ce service mon\u00e9gasque qui tient. Vacherot en casse 20,5 % de son c\u00f4t\u00e9. Gros service contre gros retour, des sets qui se d\u00e9cident au d\u00e9tail.<\/p>\n

Pourquoi je ne parie pas<\/h2>\n

\u00c0 1,34 chez Unibet, un prix \u00e0 peine \u00e9loign\u00e9 de son ouverture, le march\u00e9 donne un peu plus de sept chances sur dix \u00e0 Jodar. Vacherot, lui, a d\u00e9riv\u00e9 de 3,75 \u00e0 3,55 chez Betano depuis l’ouverture : le march\u00e9 n’a fait que renforcer la m\u00eame lecture. Mon avis est le m\u00eame, et \u00e0 ce prix il n’y a rien \u00e0 prendre. La ligne de jeux \u00e0 22,5 m’a tent\u00e9e un instant : deux services qui tiennent, un indoor rapide, un Vacherot capable d’accrocher un set. Mais l’\u00e9cart que je fais sur cette ligne repose sur deux ou trois jeux d’estimation, pas assez pour payer. Je passe.<\/p>\n

Passer fait partie du m\u00e9tier : un pari forc\u00e9 alourdit le bilan public<\/a> sans rien d\u00e9montrer, et le calculateur de mise<\/a> ram\u00e8ne \u00e0 z\u00e9ro l’envie de parier sans avantage. Si Vacherot tient deux heures au service face au retour de Jodar, j’aurai appris quelque chose pour la suite du tournoi, sans avoir pay\u00e9 pour l’obtenir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rafael Jodar d\u00e9fend la derni\u00e8re place qualificative pour Turin, Valentin Vacherot reconstruit sa saison apr\u00e8s le pied. Le service du Mon\u00e9gasque tient la comparaison, mais \u00e0 1,34, le march\u00e9 a tout lu : je ne parie pas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":13497,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Vacherot-Jodar (ATP B\u00e2le) : le retour de Jodar, en course pour Turin, contre le service de Vacherot. \u00c0 1,34, pas de pari.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Valentin Vacherot","ba_away_name":"Rafael Jodar","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-29 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