{"id":13544,"date":"2026-10-28T18:53:40","date_gmt":"2026-10-28T17:53:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/shelton-kym-a-bale-44-as-dentree-un-wildcard-que-la-salle-porte\/"},"modified":"2026-10-28T20:19:07","modified_gmt":"2026-10-28T19:19:07","slug":"shelton-kym-pronostic-2026-10-29","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/tennis\/atp\/shelton-kym-pronostic-2026-10-29\/","title":{"rendered":"Shelton &#8211; Kym \u00e0 B\u00e2le : 44 as d&#8217;entr\u00e9e, un wildcard que la salle porte"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ben Shelton a ouvert son tournoi mardi soir au bord du vide : 44 as, trois tie-breaks, 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 contre Aleksandar Kovacevic, deux heures et trente-six minutes sans un seul break de part et d&#8217;autre. Il a \u00e9vit\u00e9 de devenir le premier t\u00eate de s\u00e9rie \u00e9limin\u00e9 d&#8217;entr\u00e9e \u00e0 B\u00e2le depuis 2001. Sur l&#8217;autre moiti\u00e9 de l&#8217;affiche, J\u00e9r\u00f4me Kym, 222e mondial et wildcard du tournoi, a r\u00e9gl\u00e9 Arthur Rinderknech en 1 h 41. Les deux hommes ont jou\u00e9 le m\u00eame mardi : r\u00e9cup\u00e9ration \u00e9gale.<\/p>\n<p>L&#8217;ordre du jeu du jeudi est tomb\u00e9 : ce huiti\u00e8me est le cinqui\u00e8me match du Center Court, apr\u00e8s un Djokovic-Struff qui ne commence pas avant 18 h. Il se jouera donc en soir\u00e9e, sans heure garantie, devant une salle qui attend son Suisse depuis mardi.<\/p>\n<h2>Un service retravaill\u00e9 qui r\u00e9pond<\/h2>\n<p>Shelton a chang\u00e9 sa technique de service cet automne : un mouvement de lancer, la cible avant le radar. \u00ab C&#8217;est comme \u00e7a qu&#8217;on gagne sur les indoor rapides \u00bb, a-t-il r\u00e9agi <a href=\"https:\/\/www.atptour.com\/en\/news\/shelton-kovacevic-basel-2026-tuesday\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">apr\u00e8s ses 44 as<\/a>. Mardi en a apport\u00e9 une preuve de plus : sixi\u00e8me tie-break de set d\u00e9cisif gagn\u00e9 cette saison. Finaliste ici en 2024, il tient sa mise en jeu dans plus de huit jeux sur dix sur ses dix derniers matchs, et sa place aux <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nittoatpfinals.com\/en\/news\/shelton-nitto-atp-finals-2026-qualification\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Finals de Turin<\/a> est d\u00e9j\u00e0 acquise : B\u00e2le, pour lui, sert \u00e0 ajuster, pas \u00e0 sauver des points.<\/p>\n<h2>Le wildcard que la salle porte<\/h2>\n<p>Kym doit sa place dans le tableau \u00e0 la <a href=\"https:\/\/www.swissindoorsbasel.ch\/en\/tournament\/tournament-news\/articles\/202610-19_Wild-Cards-fuer-die-Swiss-Indoors-Basel-2026.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">politique de wildcards<\/a> de la Swiss Indoors, qui met les Suisses en avant aux c\u00f4t\u00e9s de Wawrinka et Stricker. \u00c0 23 ans, il vient de signer sa premi\u00e8re victoire sur le circuit ATP hors de Gstaad, et il l&#8217;a servie lui-m\u00eame : un seul break dans le match, le sien, \u00e0 5-4 dans le deuxi\u00e8me set, conclu sur sa premi\u00e8re balle de match. \u00ab Jamais servi aussi d\u00e9tendu qu&#8217;\u00e0 5-4 dans le deuxi\u00e8me set \u00bb, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.srf.ch\/sport\/tennis\/atp-tour\/swiss-indoors-am-dienstag-zum-richtigen-moment-bereit-kym-wirft-rinderknech-raus\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a-t-il dit \u00e0 la SRF<\/a>. Son automne s&#8217;est jou\u00e9 en Challenger, demi-finale \u00e0 Roanne incluse, et ses chiffres de service y ont brill\u00e9 : c&#8217;est l\u00e0 le pi\u00e8ge.<\/p>\n<p>Le mois des deux hommes :<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Joueur<\/th>\n<th>Adversaire<\/th>\n<th>Tournoi<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<th>Issue<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>27\/10<\/td>\n<td>B. Shelton<\/td>\n<td>A. Kovacevic<\/td>\n<td>B\u00e2le<\/td>\n<td>6-7, 7-6, 7-6<\/td>\n<td>V<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/10<\/td>\n<td>B. Shelton<\/td>\n<td>A. Gea<\/td>\n<td>Shanghai<\/td>\n<td>6-7, 6-7<\/td>\n<td>D<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>09\/10<\/td>\n<td>B. Shelton<\/td>\n<td>D. Altmaier<\/td>\n<td>Shanghai<\/td>\n<td>6-3, 7-6<\/td>\n<td>V<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>27\/10<\/td>\n<td>J. Kym<\/td>\n<td>A. Rinderknech<\/td>\n<td>B\u00e2le<\/td>\n<td>7-6, 6-4<\/td>\n<td>V<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>17\/10<\/td>\n<td>J. Kym<\/td>\n<td>M. Brunold<\/td>\n<td>Roanne, Challenger<\/td>\n<td>6-7, 6-7<\/td>\n<td>D<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>15\/10<\/td>\n<td>J. Kym<\/td>\n<td>U. Blanchet<\/td>\n<td>Roanne, Challenger<\/td>\n<td>6-1, 6-3<\/td>\n<td>V<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>Mes chiffres mentent sur ce match<\/h2>\n<p>Les estimations de service que je calcule donnent Kym \u00e0 81 % de jeux gagn\u00e9s derri\u00e8re sa mise en jeu, presque au niveau de Shelton : c&#8217;est absurde, et je le sais. Ces chiffres avalent un automne de Challenger, o\u00f9 les retours mordent moins. Recalibr\u00e9s au niveau ATP, ils redescendent, et de combien ? Un premier tour r\u00e9ussi, un public qui pousse : ce doute ne se transforme pas en valeur. Quand mes chiffres contredisent le march\u00e9 d&#8217;un c\u00f4t\u00e9 et la hi\u00e9rarchie du circuit de l&#8217;autre, je ne suis ni les uns ni l&#8217;autre.<\/p>\n<h2>1,33 : le pari est d\u00e9j\u00e0 pris<\/h2>\n<p>Mercredi \u00e0 midi, Shelton cote 1,33 chez Bet365, en remont\u00e9e depuis son ouverture \u00e0 1,26 ; Kym est descendu de 4,25 \u00e0 3,60 chez Betano : le march\u00e9 s&#8217;est un peu rapproch\u00e9 du Suisse, puis s&#8217;est arr\u00eat\u00e9 l\u00e0. La probabilit\u00e9 derri\u00e8re 1,33 <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-marge-bookmaker\/\">se calcule vite<\/a> : trois chances sur quatre pour l&#8217;Am\u00e9ricain.<\/p>\n<p>Je lis comme le march\u00e9 : Shelton devant, des jeux serr\u00e9s si le premier set part en tie-break, ce que chacun des deux joue dans plus d&#8217;un set sur trois. Kym est l&#8217;outsider le plus dangereux du tableau dans cette salle. Mais sur le nombre de jeux comme sur les handicaps, tout se joue sur deux ou trois points de tie-break : cet \u00e9cart-l\u00e0 n&#8217;est pas mesurable, donc pas prenable. Pas de pari.<\/p>\n<p>Passer ce huiti\u00e8me reste une d\u00e9cision : le <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a> ne perd rien \u00e0 attendre un prix plus honn\u00eate. Si vous misez ce match malgr\u00e9 tout, 18+, ne jouez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ben Shelton a ouvert B\u00e2le sur trois tie-breaks et 44 as ; J\u00e9r\u00f4me Kym, 222e mondial, attend son public en session du soir. \u00c0 1,33, le prix a d\u00e9j\u00e0 choisi son camp : je ne prends rien.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":13707,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Shelton \u2013 Kym (ATP B\u00e2le) : Shelton \u00e0 1,33, le wildcard suisse \u00e0 domicile. Pourquoi ce huiti\u00e8me ne me donne aucun pari \u00e0 suivre.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"B. Shelton","ba_away_name":"J. Kym","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-29 09:00:00","ba_venue":"Basel","ba_match_key":"api-tennis:tennis:12175152","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[125,29],"class_list":["post-13544","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-atp","ba_sport-tennis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Shelton &#8211; Kym \u00e0 B\u00e2le : 44 as d&#8217;entr\u00e9e, un wildcard que la salle porte &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pronostic Shelton \u2013 Kym (ATP B\u00e2le) : Shelton \u00e0 1,33, le wildcard suisse \u00e0 domicile. 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