{"id":13614,"date":"2026-10-28T19:37:28","date_gmt":"2026-10-28T18:37:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/chelsea-manchester-united-la-crise-de-lun-les-absences-de-lautre\/"},"modified":"2026-10-28T19:37:39","modified_gmt":"2026-10-28T18:37:39","slug":"chelsea-manchester-united-pronostic-2026-10-31","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/premier-league\/chelsea-manchester-united-pronostic-2026-10-31\/","title":{"rendered":"Chelsea &#8211; Manchester United : la crise de l&#8217;un, les absences de l&#8217;autre"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Deux \u00e9quipes viennent de perdre, deux probl\u00e8mes tr\u00e8s diff\u00e9rents. United ramasse les morceaux d&#8217;un 0-3 \u00e0 domicile contre Bournemouth : 16e place, une victoire en huit journ\u00e9es, un entra\u00eeneur reconduit pendant que la presse cite d\u00e9j\u00e0 ses successeurs. Chelsea, 5e, n&#8217;a que des absences \u00e0 g\u00e9rer.<\/p>\n<h2>Chez United, la crise pr\u00e9c\u00e8de le match<\/h2>\n<p>Carrick reste en poste pour le d\u00e9placement \u00e0 Stamford Bridge, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/sport\/football\/articles\/crlykgeqzypyo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">comme l&#8217;a confirm\u00e9 la BBC mardi<\/a>, pendant que la presse rapporte des r\u00e9unions de crise et cite Howe et Nagelsmann comme successeurs possibles. Sur le terrain, le 0-3 contre Bournemouth a \u00e9t\u00e9 la sixi\u00e8me d\u00e9faite en douze matches ; United pointe \u00e0 un point au-dessus de la zone de rel\u00e9gation. Bruno Fernandes a v\u00e9cu la semaine autrement : laiss\u00e9 sur le banc contre Bournemouth apr\u00e8s ses critiques, puis une discussion de clarification avec son entra\u00eeneur.<\/p>\n<h2>\u00c0 Chelsea, les absences arrivent au pire moment<\/h2>\n<p>Chelsea a aussi perdu le week-end, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.chelseafc.com\/en\/match\/chelsea-vs-tottenham-hotspur-english-premier-league-2026-10-24\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">0-2 contre Tottenham<\/a> : un but contre son camp de Penders, puis, r\u00e9duit \u00e0 dix apr\u00e8s l&#8217;expulsion de Palmer, le but de Tel. Alonso doit reconstruire une attaque sans ses deux joueurs les plus cr\u00e9atifs, et la rotation commence ce soir \u00e0 Anfield, en Carabao Cup : le technicien pense d\u00e9j\u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.standard.co.uk\/sport\/football\/chelsea-fc-xi-vs-liverpool-confirmed-team-news-predicted-lineup-injury-latest-carabao-cup-b1302517.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u00e0 la visite d&#8217;United samedi<\/a>.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Palmer est suspendu (deuxi\u00e8me jaune contre Spurs) ; Joao Pedro (cuisse) sera <a href=\"https:\/\/www.football.london\/chelsea-fc\/news\/breaking-alonso-chelsea-injury-news-34824080\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">absent quelques semaines<\/a>, selon Alonso.<\/li>\n<li>Martinez (m\u00e2choire) et James (genou) sont indisponibles ; Chavarria reste un doute.<\/li>\n<li>Emegha, de retour de la blessure aux ischio-jambiers contract\u00e9e en juillet, r\u00e9int\u00e8gre le groupe.<\/li>\n<li>United voyage sans Sesko (tibia) et Shaw ; Rashford (hanche) est un grand doute, et Mainoo n&#8217;est revenu \u00e0 l&#8217;entra\u00eenement complet que mercredi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Le 0-1 d&#8217;avril au Bridge, une mise en garde<\/h2>\n<p>United a gagn\u00e9 les deux derniers face-\u00e0-face en championnat, dont un 0-1 \u00e0 Stamford Bridge en avril. Le souvenir pique ; le pr\u00e9sent flatte moins : quatre d\u00e9placements sans victoire cette saison, toutes comp\u00e9titions confondues. Les confrontations directes :<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Comp\u00e9tition<\/th>\n<th>Affiche<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>18 avril 2026<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>Chelsea &#8211; Manchester United<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>20 septembre 2025<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>Manchester United &#8211; Chelsea<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>16 mai 2025<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>Chelsea &#8211; Manchester United<\/td>\n<td>1-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>3 novembre 2024<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>Manchester United &#8211; Chelsea<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>4 avril 2024<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>Chelsea &#8211; Manchester United<\/td>\n<td>4-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Sur les cinq derni\u00e8res confrontations, deux victoires de chaque c\u00f4t\u00e9 et un nul. Le favoritisme de Chelsea s&#8217;appuie sur le pr\u00e9sent, pas sur le pass\u00e9.<\/p>\n<h2>Chelsea vainqueur, au prix de l&#8217;honn\u00eatet\u00e9<\/h2>\n<p>Je donne 52 % \u00e0 la victoire de Chelsea, contre 52,3 % pour le march\u00e9 : z\u00e9ro avantage net, et \u00e0 1,902 chez 1xbet cette semaine, la cote a tout dit. Le site calcule donc la mise au strict minimum (le <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">calculateur de Kelly<\/a> d\u00e9taille la m\u00e9thode), 0,25 unit\u00e9, 25 $ pour un gain de 22,55 $ si Chelsea gagne ; nul ou victoire d&#8217;United, et les 25 $ partent avec eux. Ce pari rejoindra mon <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a>, quoi qu&#8217;il arrive.<\/p>\n<p>Mon sc\u00e9nario gagnant tient debout : un effectif m\u00e9nag\u00e9 en Coupe, une attaque que Emegha, de retour, peut porter, en face une \u00e9quipe qui encaisse partout. Mon sc\u00e9nario perdant s&#8217;est d\u00e9j\u00e0 produit une fois : bloc bas, une action, 0-1, en avril dernier. 18+, ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Deux \u00e9quipes viennent de perdre, mais pas dans le m\u00eame \u00e9tat : United est 16e, avec une victoire en huit journ\u00e9es et un entra\u00eeneur maintenu dans un climat de crise. Sans Palmer, suspendu, ni Joao Pedro, bless\u00e9, je prends Chelsea vainqueur \u00e0 1,902 : mise minimale, le march\u00e9 a bien lu ce match.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":13615,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Chelsea - Manchester United du 31 octobre : cotes, absents et analyse. Je prends Chelsea vainqueur \u00e0 1,902, mise minimale, sans avantage net.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Chelsea","ba_away_name":"Manchester United","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-31 12:30:00","ba_venue":"Stamford Bridge","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1557450","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"pac2mqfjj82","author_id":4,"market":"Victoire (1N2)","selection":"Chelsea","bookmaker":"1xbet","market_key":"ml","selection_key":"home","line":null,"odds":1.902,"stake_units":0.25,"stake_amount":25,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":22.55,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"pending","recorded_at":"2026-10-28 18:37:42","settled_at":"","probability":0.52,"p_market":0.523,"p_used":0.5215,"edge":-0.0081,"market_margin":0.0661,"market_books":7,"stake_rule":"min_no_value"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[19,70],"class_list":["post-13614","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football","ba_sport-premier-league"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Chelsea &#8211; Manchester United : la crise de l&#8217;un, les absences de l&#8217;autre &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pronostic Chelsea - Manchester United du 31 octobre : cotes, absents et analyse. 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