{"id":14115,"date":"2026-11-01T01:07:26","date_gmt":"2026-11-01T00:07:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/strasbourg-auxerre-quatre-defaites-de-suite-et-pourtant-favori\/"},"modified":"2026-11-01T02:04:49","modified_gmt":"2026-11-01T01:04:49","slug":"strasbourg-auxerre-pronostic-2026-11-01","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/ligue-1\/strasbourg-auxerre-pronostic-2026-11-01\/","title":{"rendered":"Strasbourg \u2013 Auxerre : quatre d\u00e9faites de suite, et pourtant favori"},"content":{"rendered":"

Quatre d\u00e9faites de suite, 18 buts encaiss\u00e9s en huit journ\u00e9es, la place de barragiste : le Racing re\u00e7oit Auxerre dimanche \u00e0 la Meinau, et le march\u00e9 l’installe quand m\u00eame favori \u00e0 1,87. C’est exactement l\u00e0 que je cherche mon pari.<\/p>\n

Oliveira compte les \u00e9motions, pas les points<\/h2>\n

Apr\u00e8s le 0-3 \u00e0 Rennes, Hugo Oliveira a parl\u00e9 de \u00ab trop d’\u00e9motion, trop d’anxi\u00e9t\u00e9 \u00bb et vis\u00e9, sans les nommer, les joueurs qui jouent perso<\/a>. La presse alsacienne fait de cette r\u00e9ception un tournant pour un club 16e avec sept points, l’une des deux pires d\u00e9fenses du championnat<\/a>, 18 buts encaiss\u00e9s, autant qu’Auxerre.<\/p>\n

Panichelli, crois\u00e9 rompu en mars, vise un retour en janvier : il manquera encore ce match. Amo-Ameyaw, Bald\u00e9 et Nanasi restent des doutes, tout au plus.<\/p>\n

Auxerre avance masqu\u00e9<\/h2>\n

12e avec dix points, l’AJA vient de prendre quatre points sur six, avec le nul contre Le Mans apr\u00e8s la victoire au Havre. Will Still g\u00e8re un effectif jeune rest\u00e9 prudent face aux concurrents du maintien et se m\u00e9fie d’un r\u00e9veil strasbourgeois<\/a> : \u00ab On veut emp\u00eacher que ce changement de r\u00e9sultats et que ce r\u00e9veil se fassent contre nous. \u00bb Les absents sont connus : Diouss\u00e9 et Okoh (genoux), Fofana (aine), Labeau Lascary (quadriceps, \u00e9cart\u00e9 au moins un mois), et Zaddy, bless\u00e9 au m\u00e9nisque cette semaine. Lamine Sy, sorti sur une g\u00eane au genou contre Le Mans, a repris l’entra\u00eenement jeudi et postule<\/a> ; Senaya et Siwe sont de retour dans le groupe. Le doute s’est d\u00e9plac\u00e9 dans l’axe : Akpa, Tuanzebe et Makosso n’ont pas entra\u00een\u00e9 vendredi, des g\u00eanes trait\u00e9es par pr\u00e9caution.<\/p>\n

Cinq matchs, deux dynamiques<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Date<\/th>\n\u00c9quipe<\/th>\nAdversaire<\/th>\nLieu<\/th>\nScore<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
25 oct.<\/td>\nStrasbourg<\/td>\nRennes<\/td>\next\u00e9rieur<\/td>\n0-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17 oct.<\/td>\nStrasbourg<\/td>\nParis Saint-Germain<\/td>\ndomicile<\/td>\n1-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11 oct.<\/td>\nStrasbourg<\/td>\nNice<\/td>\next\u00e9rieur<\/td>\n1-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19 sept.<\/td>\nStrasbourg<\/td>\nParis FC<\/td>\next\u00e9rieur<\/td>\n1-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
12 sept.<\/td>\nStrasbourg<\/td>\nMonaco<\/td>\ndomicile<\/td>\n1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
25 oct.<\/td>\nAuxerre<\/td>\nLe Mans<\/td>\ndomicile<\/td>\n1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18 oct.<\/td>\nAuxerre<\/td>\nLe Havre<\/td>\next\u00e9rieur<\/td>\n3-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11 oct.<\/td>\nAuxerre<\/td>\nRennes<\/td>\next\u00e9rieur<\/td>\n1-4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2 oct.<\/td>\nAuxerre<\/td>\nClermont (amical)<\/td>\ndomicile<\/td>\n4-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20 sept.<\/td>\nAuxerre<\/td>\nBrest<\/td>\ndomicile<\/td>\n2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Deux d\u00e9fenses qui encaissent autant, mais un seul bloc qui marque et prend des points en ce moment.<\/p>\n

Auxerre ou nul \u00e0 2,04 : le pari prot\u00e8ge le nul<\/h2>\n

Le march\u00e9 donne Strasbourg vainqueur \u00e0 1,87 chez 1xbet, un peu plus d’une chance sur deux. Auxerre est mont\u00e9 de 4,16 \u00e0 4,33 chez Bet365, le nul reste \u00e0 4,16. La double chance Auxerre ou nul se paie 2,04 chez 1xbet, 2,05 au mieux chez Unibet au relev\u00e9 de samedi soir.<\/p>\n

Les quatre confrontations pr\u00e9c\u00e9dant le 0-0 de mars \u00e0 Auxerre sont strasbourgeoises : 3-0, 3-1, 2-0, et un 0-1 d\u00e9croch\u00e9 en Bourgogne. Le march\u00e9 s’en souvient, moi aussi, et un nul me suffit. Je donne 54 % \u00e0 Auxerre ou nul, contre 48 % au prix juste du march\u00e9 ; l’\u00e9cart survit au m\u00e9lange des probabilit\u00e9s et le calculateur de Kelly<\/a> autorise une unit\u00e9 pleine : 100 $, +103,70 $ si Auxerre prend au moins un point, -100 $ si Strasbourg l’emporte.<\/p>\n

Le pari entre au bilan public<\/a> comme les autres ; s’il perd \u00e0 la Meinau, il y restera. 18+. Ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Quatre d\u00e9faites de suite, 18 buts encaiss\u00e9s, et Strasbourg reste favori \u00e0 1,87 : je prends Auxerre ou nul en double chance \u00e0 2,04 chez 1xbet, une unit\u00e9 compl\u00e8te.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":14116,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Strasbourg - Auxerre (Ligue 1, 1er nov.) : le Racing favori malgr\u00e9 quatre d\u00e9faites. Double chance Auxerre ou nul \u00e0 2,04 chez 1xbet.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Strasbourg","ba_away_name":"Auxerre","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-11-01 14:00:00","ba_venue":"Stade de la Meinau","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1552808","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"pnwtae9xxor","author_id":4,"market":"Double chance","selection":"Auxerre ou nul","bookmaker":"1xbet","market_key":"dc","selection_key":"x2","line":null,"odds":2.037,"stake_units":1,"stake_amount":100,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":103.7,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"pending","recorded_at":"2026-11-01 00:07:43","settled_at":"","probability":0.54,"p_market":0.4815,"p_used":0.5108,"edge":0.0404,"market_margin":0.0655,"market_books":8,"stake_rule":"kelly"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[19,50],"class_list":["post-14115","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football","ba_sport-ligue-1"],"yoast_head":"\nStrasbourg \u2013 Auxerre : quatre d\u00e9faites de suite, et pourtant favori · Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pronostic Strasbourg - Auxerre (Ligue 1, 1er nov.) : le Racing favori malgr\u00e9 quatre d\u00e9faites. 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