{"id":14432,"date":"2026-11-01T01:38:02","date_gmt":"2026-11-01T00:38:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/lorient-na-plus-encaisse-depuis-trois-matchs-brest-a-marque-cinq-buts-a-angers-le-derby-passe-au-lundi\/"},"modified":"2026-11-01T01:38:18","modified_gmt":"2026-11-01T00:38:18","slug":"lorient-brest-pronostic-2026-11-02","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/ligue-1\/lorient-brest-pronostic-2026-11-02\/","title":{"rendered":"Lorient n&#8217;a plus encaiss\u00e9 depuis trois matchs, Brest a marqu\u00e9 cinq buts \u00e0 Angers : le derby passe au lundi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Le derby breton se jouera lundi au Moustoir, et non samedi : le club l&#8217;a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fclorient.bzh\/fc-lorient-stade-brestois-29-reporte-au-lundi-2-novembre-a-20h45\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">confirm\u00e9<\/a>, sur un d\u00e9calage demand\u00e9 par la pr\u00e9fecture du Morbihan et accept\u00e9 par la LFP, que Le T\u00e9l\u00e9gramme relie aux <a href=\"https:\/\/www.letelegramme.fr\/sports\/football\/toutes-les-infos\/lorient-brest-le-derby-breton-de-ligue-1-reporte-au-lundi-2-novembre-7146888.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">mobilisations sociales attendues<\/a> dans le d\u00e9partement. Le calendrier bouge, les forces en pr\u00e9sence non : deux jours de pr\u00e9paration de plus, des deux c\u00f4t\u00e9s.<\/p>\n<p>Reste le match lui-m\u00eame. Lorient, dixi\u00e8me avec 12 points, n&#8217;a plus encaiss\u00e9 depuis trois rencontres de championnat. Brest, treizi\u00e8me avec 9 points, a pass\u00e9 cinq buts \u00e0 Angers il y a trois semaines. Une maison ferm\u00e9e, une attaque capable d&#8217;\u00e9clats : le derby se joue entre ces deux lignes.<\/p>\n<h2>Un but marqu\u00e9, z\u00e9ro encaiss\u00e9 : le socle lorientais<\/h2>\n<p>Les trois derniers matchs de Lorient donnent la m\u00eame image : 0-0 \u00e0 Angers, 1-0 contre Monaco, 1-0 contre Paris FC, les deux derniers au Moustoir. Un but par rencontre, aucun encaiss\u00e9, sept points pris en trois sorties. Le bloc reste bas et compact, la r\u00e9cup\u00e9ration se joue pr\u00e8s de sa surface, et l&#8217;\u00e9quipe accepte de vivre sur des scores \u00e9troits. Cette mani\u00e8re de tenir a un revers : devant, chaque occasion compte double.<\/p>\n<h2>Brest n&#8217;a plus gagn\u00e9 depuis le 5-1, mais ses attaquants existent toujours<\/h2>\n<p>Le 5-1 contre Angers le 10 octobre a \u00e9t\u00e9 une vraie d\u00e9monstration offensive, et depuis, plus rien : 1-1 \u00e0 Lille, 1-2 contre Nice \u00e0 domicile. Les attaquants brestois n&#8217;ont pas disparu avec la s\u00e9rie : sur un match ouvert, ils p\u00e8sent encore. Tout le derby tient l\u00e0 : rester ferm\u00e9 une heure, ou s&#8217;ouvrir d&#8217;un degr\u00e9 contre des joueurs qui n&#8217;ont besoin que de \u00e7a.<\/p>\n<h2>Trois des quatre derniers derbys pour Brest<\/h2>\n<p>L&#8217;histoire r\u00e9cente penche nettement c\u00f4t\u00e9 brestois : trois victoires et un nul sur les quatre derni\u00e8res confrontations officielles.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Vainqueur<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>07\/02\/2026<\/td>\n<td>Brest<\/td>\n<td>2-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>19\/10\/2025<\/td>\n<td>Match nul<\/td>\n<td>3-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>31\/03\/2024<\/td>\n<td>Brest<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>20\/12\/2023<\/td>\n<td>Brest<\/td>\n<td>4-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Le 0-1 de mars 2024 a \u00e9t\u00e9 arrach\u00e9 au Moustoir m\u00eame, et le 3-3 d&#8217;octobre 2025 au m\u00eame stade a montr\u00e9 l&#8217;autre visage du derby : ouvert, chaotique, riche en buts. Le Lorient de 2026 marque un but par match, pas trois : le sc\u00e9nario \u00e9troit l&#8217;arrange bien plus que le festival.<\/p>\n<h2>Katseris et Chardonnet absents : l&#8217;infirmerie touche les deux camps<\/h2>\n<p>Aucune composition n&#8217;est encore annonc\u00e9e ; les statuts, eux, s&#8217;\u00e9claircissent :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Katseris (adducteurs) a d\u00e9j\u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.letelegramme.fr\/sports\/football\/fc-lorient\/kasteris-indisponible-deux-retours-une-seance-adaptee-a-cause-de-la-tempete-austen-le-point-sur-linfirmerie-du-fc-lorient-avant-le-deplacement-a-angers-7144454.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">manqu\u00e9 le d\u00e9placement \u00e0 Angers<\/a> et reste absent lundi ;<\/li>\n<li>Fadiga (muscle) est incertain c\u00f4t\u00e9 lorientais ;<\/li>\n<li>Chardonnet (mollet), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.letelegramme.fr\/sports\/football\/stade-brestois\/chardonnet-toujours-a-larret-versini-trop-juste-le-point-sur-les-blessures-au-stade-brestois-avant-le-deplacement-a-lille-7138785.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pas attendu avant novembre<\/a>, manque encore ce derby ;<\/li>\n<li>Le Guen (jambe) reste absent c\u00f4t\u00e9 brestois ;<\/li>\n<li>Versini, dont la reprise du collectif avait \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9voqu\u00e9e avant Nice, reste incertain.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Lorient 0, mise minimale : la cote a d\u00e9j\u00e0 fait le chemin<\/h2>\n<p>Le march\u00e9 a avanc\u00e9 vers Lorient tout seul : le handicap 0 est pass\u00e9 de 1,98 \u00e0 l&#8217;ouverture \u00e0 1,823 chez 1xbet au relev\u00e9 de vendredi. Je prends Lorient 0 avec une id\u00e9e simple : la maison ferm\u00e9e du Moustoir, et un nul rembours\u00e9 si Brest trouve la faille sans la franchir. Sur les matchs qui ne finissent pas nuls, je donne \u00e0 Lorient 54 chances sur 100 de s&#8217;imposer.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c0 1,823, la cote en attend \u00e0 peu pr\u00e8s autant que moi : aucun avantage net, et le site garde la mise au plancher, <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">0,25 unit\u00e9<\/a>. Ce pari vaut surtout pour couvrir le nul dans un derby o\u00f9 Brest a de quoi punir ; le <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a> en gardera la trace, gagn\u00e9 ou perdu.<\/p>\n<p>Le pari se lit simplement : victoire de Lorient, gagn\u00e9, 20,58 $ de b\u00e9n\u00e9fice pour 25 $ mis\u00e9s ; match nul, mise rembours\u00e9e ; victoire de Brest, perdu, 25 $ de moins. 18+. Ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Lorient n&#8217;a plus encaiss\u00e9 depuis trois matchs, Brest a pass\u00e9 cinq buts \u00e0 Angers : le derby, d\u00e9cal\u00e9 au lundi, reste serr\u00e9. Je prends Lorient 0 (nul rembours\u00e9) \u00e0 1,823, mise minimale : pas d&#8217;avantage net.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":14433,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Lorient - Brest, derby breton d\u00e9cal\u00e9 au lundi : je prends Lorient 0 (nul rembours\u00e9) \u00e0 1,823 chez 1xbet, mise minimale, sans avantage net.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Lorient","ba_away_name":"Stade Brestois 29","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-11-02 19:45:00","ba_venue":"Stade du Moustoir","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1552803","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"pddtt0l8brt","author_id":4,"market":"Handicap asiatique","selection":"Lorient 0 (rembours\u00e9 si nul)","bookmaker":"1xbet","market_key":"spread","selection_key":"home","line":0,"odds":1.823,"stake_units":0.25,"stake_amount":25,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":20.58,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"pending","recorded_at":"2026-11-01 00:38:23","settled_at":"","probability":0.54,"p_market":0.5402,"p_used":0.5401,"edge":-0.0154,"market_margin":0.0644,"market_books":3,"stake_rule":"min_no_value"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[19,50],"class_list":["post-14432","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football","ba_sport-ligue-1"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Lorient n&#8217;a plus encaiss\u00e9 depuis trois matchs, Brest a marqu\u00e9 cinq buts \u00e0 Angers : le derby passe au lundi &#183; 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