{"id":15175,"date":"2026-11-02T08:43:19","date_gmt":"2026-11-02T07:43:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/jacquet-machac-onze-jours-de-repos-contre-trois-jours-de-match\/"},"modified":"2026-11-02T08:43:30","modified_gmt":"2026-11-02T07:43:30","slug":"jacquet-machac-pronostic-2026-11-02","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/tennis\/atp\/jacquet-machac-pronostic-2026-11-02\/","title":{"rendered":"Jacquet &#8211; Machac : onze jours de repos contre trois jours de match"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Premi&#232;re fois dans le tableau principal du Masters de Paris pour Kyrian Jacquet, invit&#233; du tournoi (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rolexparismasters.com\/fr\/actualites\/article\/edition-2026-wild-cards-tableau-principal-qualifications-tennis-fauteuil\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Rolex Paris Masters<\/a>). Sur le Court 1, Tomas Machac jouera lui son troisi&#232;me match en trois jours dans la m&#234;me salle (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.tennismajors.com\/atp\/rolex-paris-masters-1000-atp\/machac-on-course-for-fils-an-all-italian-qualifiers-clash-where-the-paris-masters-qualifiers-landed-864948.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tennis Majors<\/a>).<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Le vainqueur aura Arthur Fils, t&#234;te de s&#233;rie num&#233;ro six, en deuxi&#232;me tour.<\/li>\n<li>La saison de Jacquet a chang&#233; d&#8217;&#233;chelle : entr&#233; dans le Top 100, demi-finaliste &#224; Hangzhou, quart de finaliste &#224; Tokyo.<\/li>\n<li>Machac n&#8217;a jamais gagn&#233; un match dans le tableau principal ici, sorti d&#8217;entr&#233;e en 2024 comme en 2025.<\/li>\n<li>Premi&#232;re confrontation entre les deux hommes.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Onze jours contre trois<\/h2>\n<p>Jacquet n&#8217;a plus jou&#233; depuis le 22 octobre et un huiti&#232;me de finale &#224; Lyon perdu 6-4 6-3 contre B. Nakashima, apr&#232;s avoir sorti M. Berrettini 7-6 7-5 (<a href=\"https:\/\/en.tennistemple.com\/match\/jacquet-machac-rolex-paris-masters-2026\/9488404\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">TennisTemple<\/a>). Machac a battu Landaluce 6-4 6-3 samedi, puis Baez, t&#234;te de s&#233;rie num&#233;ro un des qualifications, 6-2 6-4 dimanche, sans c&#233;der un set. Trois jours de match d&#8217;un c&#244;t&#233;, onze jours de repos de l&#8217;autre.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Sur les dix derniers matchs<\/th>\n<th>Jacquet<\/th>\n<th>Machac<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Jeux de service tenus<\/td>\n<td>83,1 %<\/td>\n<td>82,4 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Jeux de retour gagn&#233;s<\/td>\n<td>21,3 %<\/td>\n<td>29,4 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Matchs et jeux sur sept jours<\/td>\n<td>0 match<\/td>\n<td>2 matchs, 37 jeux<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Dernier match jou&#233; il y a<\/td>\n<td>11 jours<\/td>\n<td>1 jour<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>La salle dit Machac, le service dit Jacquet<\/h2>\n<p>Depuis 2024, Jacquet ne compte qu&#8217;une victoire en dix matchs en salle : c&#8217;est la statistique qui contredit sa saison. Machac y revient plus exp&#233;riment&#233;, mais aussi d&#8217;une d&#233;chirure au pied gauche contract&#233;e &#224; Roland-Garros en juin (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.tennismajors.com\/atp\/machac-confirms-foot-tear-at-roland-garros-targets-grass-court-return-852289.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tennis Majors<\/a>) : trois d&#233;faites d&#8217;entr&#233;e &#224; son retour, puis un redressement, jusqu&#8217;&#224; cette pouss&#233;e contre De Minaur, futur finaliste &#224; Vienne, le 26 octobre, perdue 6-1 4-6 3-6. Jacquet tient son service : sur ses dix derniers matchs, il joue un tie-break environ tous les trois sets, et ce profil garde des manches vivantes sur dur couvert.<\/p>\n<h2>Jacquet +1,5 set &#224; 1,59 : mon pari<\/h2>\n<p>Le march&#233; fait Machac favori &#224; 1,57 chez Bet365, apr&#232;s une ouverture &#224; 1,67 ; Jacquet est remont&#233; &#224; 2,60 chez Betway, ouvert &#224; 2,26. Je ne joue pas le vainqueur : la salle reste au Tch&#232;que, et ses deux qualifications gagn&#233;es sans perdre un set ne plaident pas pour des jambes mortes. Je joue le set : Jacquet +1,5 set vaut 1,59 chez BetMGM, un prix juste &#224; 59,1 %, que je vois &#224; 68 %.<\/p>\n<p>Deux joueurs qui tiennent plus de huit jeux de service sur dix sur dur couvert, un Fran&#231;ais devant son public pour ses premiers pas ici, un troisi&#232;me jour cons&#233;cutif en face : le set accroch&#233; reste le sc&#233;nario le plus probable, m&#234;me si Machac n&#8217;a pas c&#233;d&#233; la moindre manche depuis samedi. Jacquet prend au moins un set : gagn&#233;, +29,50 $ pour une demi-unit&#233; de 50 $ ; Machac gagne 2-0 : perdu, -50 $ ; un abandon ou un forfait rembourse la mise.<\/p>\n<p>La marge de la ligne d&#233;passe 7 % : la <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">mise en unit&#233;s<\/a> reste &#224; une demi-unit&#233;, juste ce que vaut l&#8217;avantage, et ce pari entre dans <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">mon bilan public<\/a>. 18+, ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Premi&#232;re apparition dans le tableau principal de Bercy pour Kyrian Jacquet, invit&#233; frais apr&#232;s onze jours ; Tomas Machac encha&#238;ne son troisi&#232;me jour de match. Je prends le Fran&#231;ais &#224; +1,5 set &#224; 1,59, sans le jouer vainqueur.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":15178,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Jacquet \u2013 Machac : le Fran\u00e7ais invit\u00e9 et frais face \u00e0 un Machac lanc\u00e9, je prends Kyrian Jacquet +1,5 set \u00e0 1,59 chez BetMGM, mise de 0,5 unit\u00e9.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Kyrian Jacquet","ba_away_name":"Tomas Machac","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-11-02 14:30:00","ba_venue":"Paris","ba_match_key":"api-tennis:tennis:12176418","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"p49efuernmp","author_id":6,"market":"Handicap en sets","selection":"Kyrian Jacquet +1,5 set","bookmaker":"BetMGM","market_key":"spread","selection_key":"home","line":1.5,"odds":1.59,"stake_units":0.5,"stake_amount":50,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":29.5,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"pending","recorded_at":"2026-11-02 07:43:34","settled_at":"","probability":0.68,"p_market":0.5907,"p_used":0.6354,"edge":0.0102,"market_margin":0.0715,"market_books":3,"stake_rule":"kelly"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[125,29],"class_list":["post-15175","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-atp","ba_sport-tennis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Jacquet &#8211; 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