{"id":15977,"date":"2026-11-03T15:38:19","date_gmt":"2026-11-03T14:38:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/vannes-bordeaux-begles-le-dernier-recoit-le-deuxieme-et-le-marche-prend-vannes\/"},"modified":"2026-11-03T15:39:08","modified_gmt":"2026-11-03T14:39:08","slug":"vannes-bordeaux-begles-pronostic-2026-11-08","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/rugby\/top-14\/vannes-bordeaux-begles-pronostic-2026-11-08\/","title":{"rendered":"Vannes &#8211; Bordeaux B\u00e8gles : le dernier re\u00e7oit le deuxi\u00e8me, et le march\u00e9 prend Vannes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Le RC Vannes a d\u00e9j\u00e0 rempli Rennes cette saison, environ 30 000 billets, et le club remet \u00e7a \u00e0 la neuvi\u00e8me journ\u00e9e : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rugbyrama.fr\/2026\/10\/16\/top-14-apres-le-succes-populaire-de-la-delocalisation-a-rennes-le-rc-vannes-jouera-a-nantes-contre-lubb-lors-de-la-neuvieme-journee-13605828.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">match d\u00e9localis\u00e9 au stade de la Beaujoire<\/a>, 35 000 places, billetterie ouverte depuis le 21 octobre. Le match a \u00e9t\u00e9 <a href=\"https:\/\/top14.lnr.fr\/actualite\/du-changement-dans-la-programmation-de-la-8eme-et-de-la-9eme-journee\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">report\u00e9 au dimanche<\/a> \u00e0 la demande de la pr\u00e9fecture, et la Beaujoire se remplira de Bretons : train sp\u00e9cial \u00e0 10 \u20ac au d\u00e9part de Vannes, tramways gratuits entre la gare et le stade. Le dernier du Top 14 y re\u00e7oit le deuxi\u00e8me. Et c&#8217;est Vannes que le march\u00e9 fait favori.<\/p>\n<h2>La forme dit Bordeaux, le calendrier dit Vannes<\/h2>\n<p>Bordeaux B\u00e8gles est deuxi\u00e8me, 27 points, six victoires, deux d\u00e9faites, et surtout quatre succ\u00e8s de rang, le dernier 19-14 contre Bayonne le 31 octobre. L&#8217;UBB marque <a href=\"https:\/\/top14.lnr.fr\/feuille-de-match\/2026-2027\/j9\/11875-vannes-bordeaux-begles\/face-a-face\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">32 points par match<\/a>, quatre essais de moyenne. Vannes est dernier, 5 points, une victoire en huit matchs, 27-26 contre Clermont le 24 octobre, puis 48-25 encaiss\u00e9s \u00e0 Lyon une semaine plus tard. Vingt-et-un points marqu\u00e9s par match, trois essais.<\/p>\n<p>Pourtant, mardi, Vannes se paie 1,62 chez Betano et Bordeaux 2,42. Le march\u00e9 regarde la feuille des convocations, pas le classement : France&#8211;Fidji se joue le 7 novembre, la veille du match, et neuf Bordelais sont dans le groupe des Bleus.<\/p>\n<h2>Neuf Bleus en s\u00e9lection, un ouvreur \u00e0 l&#8217;infirmerie<\/h2>\n<p>Falatea, Lamothe, Poirot, Woki, Lucu, Bielle-Biarrey, Penaud, Moefana et Depoortere sont <a href=\"https:\/\/www.letelegramme.fr\/sports\/rugby\/rc-vannes\/neufs-joueurs-de-bordeaux-begles-convoques-en-equipe-de-france-a-une-semaine-du-choc-contre-le-rc-vannes-a-nantes-7149992.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">convoqu\u00e9s avec le XV de France<\/a> pour le match contre les Fidji. Quatorze joueurs doivent \u00eatre rel\u00e2ch\u00e9s mercredi : certains rejoindront le groupe bordelais \u00e0 Nantes, d&#8217;autres disputeront France&#8211;Fidji et seront absents. Combien reviendront, personne ne le sait \u00e0 cinq jours du coup d&#8217;envoi.<\/p>\n<p>Matthieu Jalibert ne jouera pas : quadriceps droit. Penaud et Depoortere, rel\u00e2ch\u00e9s d\u00e8s la semaine pass\u00e9e, avaient \u00e9t\u00e9 titulaires contre Bayonne. \u00c0 Vannes, aucun joueur convoqu\u00e9 : les Bretons pr\u00e9parent ce match au complet.<\/p>\n<h2>Ce qu&#8217;il faut surveiller d&#8217;ici dimanche<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Les rel\u00e2ch\u00e9s du mercredi : chaque retour dans le pack ou la charni\u00e8re change la composition bordelaise.<\/li>\n<li>\u00c0 Vannes, le relev\u00e9 du 28 octobre comptait sept bless\u00e9s, Kalamafoni et Tabuavou (commotions), Djehi (biceps), Lafage et Popelin (tendons d&#8217;Achille), Augry (genou), Mafileo (vo\u00fbte plantaire), un point m\u00e9dical pris avant le d\u00e9placement \u00e0 Lyon ; cinq retours \u00e9taient alors attendus \u00e0 l&#8217;entra\u00eenement, Boniface, Boulier, Nu&#8217;u, Pedemonte et Desjeux. Ce relev\u00e9 a une semaine : rien ne dit qui sera pr\u00eat.<\/li>\n<li>Le demi de m\u00eal\u00e9e Simione Kuruvoli, en stage avec les Fidji avant Lyon, postulait au match du 31 octobre ; sa disponibilit\u00e9 face \u00e0 Bordeaux reste inconnue.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Vannes devra gagner ses ballons avant le reste<\/h2>\n<p>Devant 35 000 Bretons, Vannes jouera l&#8217;occupation : jeu au pied, p\u00e9naltouche, ballons port\u00e9s. Sa d\u00e9fense a pris 48 points \u00e0 Lyon ; contre des Bordelais remani\u00e9s, elle ne tient que si la conqu\u00eate tient. Sans Jalibert, Bordeaux perd son premier organisateur, et sa charni\u00e8re suivra les m\u00eames rel\u00e2ch\u00e9s.<\/p>\n<h2>Bordeaux B\u00e8gles +3,5 : pari \u00e9troit, mise minimale<\/h2>\n<p>Je prends Bordeaux B\u00e8gles avec 3,5 points de marge chez 1xbet, \u00e0 1,83 mardi. Le pari gagne si l&#8217;UBB gagne, fait match nul ou perd de un \u00e0 trois points ; il perd si elle s&#8217;incline de quatre points ou plus. \u00c0 cette cote, le march\u00e9 donne un peu plus d&#8217;une chance sur deux \u00e0 ce sc\u00e9nario. Je le vois \u00e0 55 %, contre 51,4 % pour le prix juste : l&#8217;\u00e9cart ne paie pas le risque.<\/p>\n<p>0,25 unit\u00e9 donc, la mise minimale : 25 $ pour 20,83 $ nets. Le march\u00e9 a bien lu ce match, je n&#8217;ai pas d&#8217;avantage net, et je ne vais pas gonfler la mise sur la foi de neuf convocations dont certaines seront lev\u00e9es d\u00e8s mercredi. <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">R\u00e9glez votre mise au calculateur de Kelly<\/a>, et suivez la mienne sur le <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a>. 18+, misez seulement ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le dernier du Top 14 re\u00e7oit le deuxi\u00e8me dans une Beaujoire pleine de Bretons. Avec neuf internationaux convoqu\u00e9s et Jalibert forfait, je prends Bordeaux B\u00e8gles +3,5 \u00e0 1,83, mise minimale.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":15980,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Vannes, dernier du Top 14, re\u00e7oit le deuxi\u00e8me, Bordeaux B\u00e8gles, dans une Beaujoire pleine. Pronostic : UBB +3,5 points \u00e0 1,83, mise minimale.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Vannes","ba_away_name":"Bordeaux B\u00e8gles","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-11-08 14:00:00","ba_venue":"","ba_match_key":"api-sports:rugby:54142","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"prdfqagpkfg","author_id":8,"market":"Handicap (points)","selection":"Union Bordeaux-B\u00e8gles +3,5","bookmaker":"1xbet","market_key":"spread","selection_key":"away","line":3.5,"odds":1.833,"stake_units":0.25,"stake_amount":25,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":20.83,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"pending","recorded_at":"2026-11-03 14:38:48","settled_at":"","probability":0.55,"p_market":0.5135,"p_used":0.5318,"edge":-0.0253,"market_margin":0.0819,"market_books":3,"stake_rule":"min_no_value"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[39,100],"class_list":["post-15977","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-rugby","ba_sport-top-14"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Vannes &#8211; Bordeaux B\u00e8gles : le dernier re\u00e7oit le deuxi\u00e8me, et le march\u00e9 prend Vannes &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Vannes, dernier du Top 14, re\u00e7oit le deuxi\u00e8me, Bordeaux B\u00e8gles, dans une Beaujoire pleine. 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