{"id":16377,"date":"2026-11-03T23:13:23","date_gmt":"2026-11-03T22:13:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/toulouse-strasbourg-apres-le-5-1-le-racing-doit-gagner-loin-de-la-meinau\/"},"modified":"2026-11-03T23:13:33","modified_gmt":"2026-11-03T22:13:33","slug":"toulouse-strasbourg-pronostic-2026-11-06","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/ligue-1\/toulouse-strasbourg-pronostic-2026-11-06\/","title":{"rendered":"Toulouse &#8211; Strasbourg : apr\u00e8s le 5-1, le Racing doit gagner loin de la Meinau"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Dimanche soir, Strasbourg a marqu\u00e9 cinq buts \u00e0 Auxerre et la Meinau a respir\u00e9 pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis un mois. Vendredi, le Racing joue au Stadium, lui qui a perdu ses trois derniers d\u00e9placements sans marquer plus d&#8217;un but. Hugo Oliveira a nomm\u00e9 le probl\u00e8me apr\u00e8s le 5-1 : \u00ab \u00e0 l&#8217;ext\u00e9rieur, on a besoin d&#8217;avoir la m\u00eame mentalit\u00e9 \u00bb (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.alsasports.fr\/football\/rc-strasbourg\/hugo-oliveira-apres-racing-auxerre-quand-on-gagne-tout-nest-pas-parfait\/86434\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Alsa Sports<\/a>).<\/p>\n<h2>Le 5-1 ne voyage pas<\/h2>\n<p>Avant dimanche, Strasbourg restait sur quatre d\u00e9faites de suite, avec sept points en huit journ\u00e9es, le pire bilan de l&#8217;\u00e8re BlueCo, au point que la semaine d&#8217;Auxerre \u00e9tait pr\u00e9sent\u00e9e comme cruciale et le discours d&#8217;Oliveira rapport\u00e9 comme \u00ab difficilement audible \u00bb (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dna.fr\/sport\/2026\/10\/26\/serie-noire-blessures-et-recrues-decevantes-le-racing-club-de-strasbourg-peut-il-sortir-du-tunnel\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DNA<\/a>). Le 5-1, doubl\u00e9s de Godo et Yassine, a coup\u00e9 la s\u00e9rie. Hors de la Meinau, rien n&#8217;a chang\u00e9 : trois des quatre d\u00e9faites venaient de loin.<\/p>\n<p>Doukour\u00e9 et Godo, de retour dans le onze contre Auxerre, y ont jou\u00e9 sans tenir les quatre-vingt-dix minutes, m\u00e9nag\u00e9s apr\u00e8s leurs p\u00e9pins (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.alsasports.fr\/football\/rc-strasbourg\/hugo-oliveira-sur-ismael-doukoure-et-martial-godo-nous-sommes-plus-forts-quand-ils-sont-disponibles\/86435\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Alsa Sports<\/a>). L&#8217;infirmerie, elle, ne s&#8217;est pas vid\u00e9e :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Bald\u00e9 (jambe) et Panichelli (genou) restent sur le flanc, le retour du second \u00e9tant annonc\u00e9 pour d\u00e9but d\u00e9cembre ;<\/li>\n<li>Nanasi et Amo-Ameyaw tra\u00eenent des absences longues ;<\/li>\n<li>Oyedele reste incertain.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Toulouse n&#8217;a pas suivi son plan \u00e0 Marseille<\/h2>\n<p>La d\u00e9faite \u00e0 l&#8217;OM vendredi dernier a laiss\u00e9 Jens Berthel Askou sans d\u00e9tour : \u00ab on n&#8217;a pas \u00e9t\u00e9 capable de suivre notre plan \u00bb, les deux buts \u00e9tant des \u00ab cons\u00e9quences de la non-application du plan de jeu \u00bb (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.toulousefc.com\/play\/blog\/2026\/11\/la-conference-de-presse-de-jens-berthel-askou-apres-olympique-de-marseille-tefece\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Toulouse FC<\/a>). Le TFC reste difficile \u00e0 battre : un seul revers sur ses quatre derniers matchs de championnat. Ses absents sont connus :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Messali (cuisse), absent pour plusieurs semaines ;<\/li>\n<li>Niflore (genou), de retour \u00e0 l&#8217;entra\u00eenement ;<\/li>\n<li>Oppong (mollet), en retour : les listes de bless\u00e9s le donnent tant\u00f4t dans le groupe, tant\u00f4t indisponible.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Les deux derniers duels sont all\u00e9s \u00e0 Toulouse, et les cinq pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents se partagent. Deux \u00e9quipes \u00e0 dix points apr\u00e8s neuf journ\u00e9es, douzi\u00e8me contre treizi\u00e8me : le classement ne d\u00e9partage personne, le lieu si.<\/p>\n<p>La forme r\u00e9cente des deux \u00e9quipes :<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>\u00c9quipe<\/th>\n<th>Comp\u00e9tition<\/th>\n<th>Adversaire<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>25\/10<\/td>\n<td>Strasbourg<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>Rennes (ext.)<\/td>\n<td>D 0-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>17\/10<\/td>\n<td>Strasbourg<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>Paris SG (dom.)<\/td>\n<td>D 1-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/10<\/td>\n<td>Strasbourg<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>Nice (ext.)<\/td>\n<td>D 1-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>19\/09<\/td>\n<td>Strasbourg<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>Paris FC (ext.)<\/td>\n<td>D 1-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>01\/11<\/td>\n<td>Toulouse<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>Marseille (ext.)<\/td>\n<td>D 0-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>25\/10<\/td>\n<td>Toulouse<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>Troyes (dom.)<\/td>\n<td>N 0-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>16\/10<\/td>\n<td>Toulouse<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>Le Mans (ext.)<\/td>\n<td>V 3-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>10\/10<\/td>\n<td>Toulouse<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>Monaco (ext.)<\/td>\n<td>N 2-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>Mon pari : Toulouse \u00e0 2,10, mise minimale<\/h2>\n<p>Toulouse est affich\u00e9 \u00e0 2,10 chez Betano, cote inchang\u00e9e depuis l&#8217;ouverture, un peu en dessous d&#8217;une chance sur deux. Je donne 48 % aux Toulousains, presque deux points au-dessus du march\u00e9 : apr\u00e8s m\u00e9lange avec le prix, l&#8217;avantage fond, et le devis reste \u00e0 la mise minimale, 0,25 unit\u00e9, 25 $. Si Toulouse gagne dans le temps r\u00e9glementaire, le pari rapporte 27,50 $ ; un nul ou une victoire de Strasbourg le perd, pour 25 $ de mise.<\/p>\n<p>Le sc\u00e9nario qui me fait gagner : le Stadium, un bloc toulousain qui sort le ballon proprement, et un Racing qui retrouve loin de la Meinau ses travers d&#8217;octobre. Celui qui me fait perdre : la dynamique du 5-1 dans les t\u00eates strasbourgeoises d\u00e8s l&#8217;ouverture. La mise est calcul\u00e9e sur ma probabilit\u00e9 et celle du march\u00e9, la <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">m\u00e9thode est publique<\/a>, et mes r\u00e9sultats sont sur le <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a>. 18+. Ne misez que ce que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Strasbourg a rompu quatre d\u00e9faites de suite par un 5-1, mais ses trois derniers d\u00e9placements restent perdus ; Toulouse l&#8217;attend au Stadium. Je prends Toulouse \u00e0 2,10, mise minimale : pas d&#8217;avantage net.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":16378,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Toulouse &#8211; Strasbourg (Ligue 1, 6 novembre) : forme, absents et mon pari Toulouse \u00e0 2,10 chez Betano, mise minimale de 0,25 unit\u00e9.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Toulouse","ba_away_name":"Strasbourg","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-11-06 19:45:00","ba_venue":"Stadium de Toulouse","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1552817","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"pdoirawea5v","author_id":4,"market":"Vainqueur (temps r\u00e9glementaire)","selection":"Toulouse","bookmaker":"Betano","market_key":"ml","selection_key":"home","line":null,"odds":2.1,"stake_units":0.25,"stake_amount":25,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":27.5,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"pending","recorded_at":"2026-11-03 22:13:41","settled_at":"","probability":0.48,"p_market":0.4618,"p_used":0.4709,"edge":-0.0111,"market_margin":0.0709,"market_books":7,"stake_rule":"min_no_value"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[19,50],"class_list":["post-16377","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football","ba_sport-ligue-1"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Toulouse &#8211; 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