{"id":16855,"date":"2026-11-04T19:08:58","date_gmt":"2026-11-04T18:08:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/leeds-tottenham-le-marche-hesite-je-joue-le-match-ferme\/"},"modified":"2026-11-04T19:09:14","modified_gmt":"2026-11-04T18:09:14","slug":"leeds-tottenham-pronostic-2026-11-07","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/premier-league\/leeds-tottenham-pronostic-2026-11-07\/","title":{"rendered":"Leeds &#8211; Tottenham : le march\u00e9 h\u00e9site, je joue le match ferm\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Sept buts en trois matchs c\u00f4t\u00e9 Tottenham, deux en cinq c\u00f4t\u00e9 Leeds : \u00e0 Elland Road samedi, ces deux \u00e9quipes n&#8217;ont jamais sembl\u00e9 aussi proches au march\u00e9. Leeds vaut 2,68, Tottenham 2,76, le nul 3,57. Un point s\u00e9pare le 9e du 12e, les deux clubs jouent leur dernier match avant la tr\u00eave internationale, et personne n&#8217;arrive \u00e0 choisir. Moi non plus : mon pari se joue sur les buts.<\/p>\n<h2>Tottenham gagne sans ceux qui cassent les lignes<\/h2>\n<p>Crystal Palace 2-0, Chelsea 0-2, Coventry 3-1 : neuf points en trois matchs et une 9e place \u00e0 12 points. Mais la s\u00e9rie s&#8217;est construite contre un Palace r\u00e9duit \u00e0 dix, et elle continue sans les joueurs qui \u00e9liminent un adversaire en un dribble : Xavi Simons (genou) et Wilson Odobert (LCA) manqueront longtemps, Mykhailo Mudryk et Savio ne visent que la reprise apr\u00e8s la tr\u00eave, comme l&#8217;a dit <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tottenhamhotspur.com\/news\/1182782\/de-zerbi-on-when-tosin-bergvall-mudryk-and-savio-could-return\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Roberto De Zerbi le 31 octobre<\/a>. Les retours sont plus sobres : Pedro Porro remis de son ischio, Rodrigo Bentancur de retour de suspension, Lucas Bergvall et Tosin Adarabioyo peut-\u00eatre dans le groupe. James Maddison, rest\u00e9 sur le banc contre Palace pour des raisons physiques, devrait entrer en cours de match.<\/p>\n<h2>Leeds attend \u00ab un but d\u00e9vi\u00e9, sale \u00bb<\/h2>\n<p>C&#8217;est la formule de <a href=\"https:\/\/www.leeds-live.co.uk\/sport\/leeds-united\/leeds-united-training-focus-week-34846690\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Daniel Farke<\/a> pour r\u00e9sumer la panne : deux buts en cinq matchs, un seul sur les trois derniers, onze tirs cadr\u00e9s sur 32. La semaine a \u00e9t\u00e9 consacr\u00e9e \u00e0 la finition, et Dominic Calvert-Lewin, apte et aff\u00fbt\u00e9, m\u00e8ne la ligne avec quatre buts en championnat. Le bloc, lui, tient : deux d\u00e9faites en neuf journ\u00e9es, par un et deux buts d&#8217;\u00e9cart, cinq nuls. \u00c0 Elland Road, Manchester United et Crystal Palace n&#8217;ont pas trouv\u00e9 mieux qu&#8217;un point.<\/p>\n<p>Les compositions diront le reste :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Leeds : Mateo Joseph (genou), seul forfait certain ; Noah Okafor (adducteur), Joe Rodon (ischio) et Anton Stach (pied) sont <a href=\"https:\/\/www.yorkshireeveningpost.co.uk\/sport\/football\/leeds-united\/leeds-united-tottenham-noah-okafor-joe-rodon-anton-stach-james-maddison-9324526\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">les doutes de la semaine<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li>Tottenham : Lucas Bergvall (genou) et Tosin Adarabioyo (mollet) sont esp\u00e9r\u00e9s, sans garantie de d\u00e9buter.<\/li>\n<li>Nico Elvedi, remis de sa maladie, est disponible c\u00f4t\u00e9 Leeds ; Archie Gray, m\u00e9nag\u00e9 contre Palace, ne pr\u00e9sente aucune inqui\u00e9tude physique.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Trois matchs ouverts sur les dix derniers<\/h2>\n<p>Les cinq derni\u00e8res rencontres de chaque \u00e9quipe, en championnat :<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Match<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>31\/10<\/td>\n<td>Bournemouth &#8211; Leeds<\/td>\n<td>2-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>25\/10<\/td>\n<td>Sunderland &#8211; Leeds<\/td>\n<td>0-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>18\/10<\/td>\n<td>Leeds &#8211; Manchester United<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>10\/10<\/td>\n<td>Arsenal &#8211; Leeds<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>20\/09<\/td>\n<td>Leeds &#8211; Crystal Palace<\/td>\n<td>0-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>31\/10<\/td>\n<td>Tottenham &#8211; Crystal Palace<\/td>\n<td>2-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>24\/10<\/td>\n<td>Chelsea &#8211; Tottenham<\/td>\n<td>0-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>19\/10<\/td>\n<td>Tottenham &#8211; Coventry<\/td>\n<td>3-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>10\/10<\/td>\n<td>Manchester United &#8211; Tottenham<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>19\/09<\/td>\n<td>Tottenham &#8211; Aston Villa<\/td>\n<td>2-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Trois de ces dix matchs, seulement, ont d\u00e9pass\u00e9 les deux buts. La double chance Tottenham est pass\u00e9e de 1,57 \u00e0 l&#8217;ouverture \u00e0 1,53 : la s\u00e9rie de Spurs est d\u00e9j\u00e0 dans les cotes. Le prix du match ferm\u00e9, lui, n&#8217;a pas boug\u00e9 de la semaine.<\/p>\n<h2>Pourquoi je prends le moins de 2,5 buts<\/h2>\n<p>\u00c0 1,92 chez Unibet, cote relev\u00e9e samedi, le march\u00e9 promet 52,1 % de chances \u00e0 un match \u00e0 z\u00e9ro, un ou deux buts. Je le vois \u00e0 56 : Leeds qui attend son but sale, un Tottenham qui gagne collectivement, deux blocs qui ne veulent pas perdre le dernier match avant la tr\u00eave. Je prends le moins de 2,5 buts, mise 0,75 unit\u00e9 (75 $) : deux buts ou moins, le pari rapporte 69 $ ; trois buts ou plus, il co\u00fbte 75 $. La mise suit l&#8217;avantage que je me reconnais, sur le principe du <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">calculateur de Kelly<\/a> ; ce pari rejoint mon <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a>, gagnant ou perdu. 18+, ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sept buts en trois matchs c\u00f4t\u00e9 Tottenham, deux en cinq c\u00f4t\u00e9 Leeds : le march\u00e9 n&#8217;arrive pas \u00e0 les d\u00e9partager, moi non plus. Je prends le moins de 2,5 buts \u00e0 1,92 chez Unibet.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":16856,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Leeds - Tottenham : Leeds muet, Tottenham priv\u00e9 de Xavi Simons et Odobert. 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