{"id":17145,"date":"2026-11-05T12:28:55","date_gmt":"2026-11-05T11:28:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/psg-estac-troyes-apres-le-6-0-de-villarreal-plus-besoin-de-ses-cadres-pour-simposer\/"},"modified":"2026-11-05T12:29:09","modified_gmt":"2026-11-05T11:29:09","slug":"psg-estac-troyes-pronostic-2026-11-07","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/ligue-1\/psg-estac-troyes-pronostic-2026-11-07\/","title":{"rendered":"PSG &#8211; Estac Troyes : apr\u00e8s le 6-0 de Villarreal, plus besoin de ses cadres pour s\u2019imposer"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u00ab Je n&#8217;aime pas ce type de r\u00e9sultat. \u00bb Luis Enrique venait de <a href=\"https:\/\/le10sport.com\/football\/je-naime-pas-ce-type-de-resultat-la-mise-au-point-de-luis-enrique-apres-la-victoire-60-du-psg-791305\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">regarder son \u00e9quipe gagner 6-0 \u00e0 Villarreal<\/a> : quatre buts en dix-sept minutes, Neves (9e), Dou\u00e9 (12e), Mayulu (13e), Ruiz (17e), puis deux autres apr\u00e8s la pause, Ruiz (50e) et Boly (78e). Cinq victoires de suite, la premi\u00e8re place avec 20 points, et un entra\u00eeneur qui n&#8217;a pas aim\u00e9 le film. Le PSG re\u00e7oit l&#8217;Estac Troyes samedi au Parc des Princes, coup d&#8217;envoi d\u00e9cal\u00e9 \u00e0 21h05 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lfp.fr\/article\/les-coups-d-envoi-de-aj-auxerre-paris-fc-et-psg-estac-troyes-decales\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">par la LFP<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>Six buts sans quatre titulaires<\/h2>\n<p>Le 6-0 s&#8217;est jou\u00e9 sans Demb\u00e9l\u00e9, Kvaratskhelia, Marquinhos ni Nuno Mendes, et rien n&#8217;annonce leur retour samedi :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Ousmane Demb\u00e9l\u00e9, touch\u00e9 aux ischios ;<\/li>\n<li>Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, rupture des crois\u00e9s, absent plusieurs mois ;<\/li>\n<li>Marquinhos, ischios ;<\/li>\n<li>Nuno Mendes, cuisse.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>La <a href=\"https:\/\/ligue1.com\/fr\/articles\/l1_article_5704-les-compositions-probables-ligue-1-2026-2027\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">composition probable<\/a> tourne autour de Safonov dans les buts, Za\u00efre-Emery avec le brassard, J. Neves et Beraldo au milieu, Akliouche, Mayulu et Godts devant. Quatre jours apr\u00e8s Villarreal, la rotation se jouera sur le rythme.<\/p>\n<h2>Troyes respire, mais marque peu<\/h2>\n<p>La derni\u00e8re visite troyenne au Parc s&#8217;\u00e9tait termin\u00e9e 4-3, en octobre 2022. Cette ESTAC-l\u00e0 n&#8217;a pas les armes d&#8217;un remake : 16e avec 8 points, elle a battu Le Mans (2-0) pour sa deuxi\u00e8me victoire de la saison, et reste muette une rencontre sur deux. Devant, St\u00e9phane Dumont devrait aligner Ifnaoui et Ripart autour de l&#8217;attaquant disponible.<\/p>\n<h2>Trois points \u00e0 suivre d&#8217;ici samedi<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>la conf\u00e9rence de presse de Luis Enrique, vendredi, sur l&#8217;\u00e9tat des quatre absents de Villarreal ;<\/li>\n<li>Nkada, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lest-eclair.fr\/id837604\/article\/2026-11-02\/estac-le-mans-pourquoi-timothe-nkada-est-sorti-la-mi-temps\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sorti \u00e0 la mi-temps<\/a> contre Le Mans sur une g\u00eane aux adducteurs : s&#8217;il manque, K. Diawara prendra sa place ;<\/li>\n<li>Ouzenadji et Y. Kon\u00e9, absents des feuilles de match probables c\u00f4t\u00e9 troyen.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\u00c0 1,14, le vainqueur ne se vend plus<\/h2>\n<p>Le PSG vaut 1,14 chez BetMGM, Troyes 22,00 chez 1xbet, le nul d\u00e9passe 11. Sur le vainqueur, il n&#8217;y a plus rien \u00e0 prendre, et le handicap de 2,5 buts reste une pi\u00e8ce \u00e9quilibr\u00e9e. La seule zone o\u00f9 je lis le match autrement que le march\u00e9 : les buts des deux camps.<\/p>\n<h2>Les deux \u00e9quipes marquent : non, \u00e0 1,83<\/h2>\n<p>La cage parisienne est rest\u00e9e ferm\u00e9e contre Villarreal (6-0) et Lyon (2-0) ; Troyes n&#8217;a pas marqu\u00e9 deux de ses quatre derniers matchs de championnat. Je prends les deux \u00e9quipes marquent : non, \u00e0 1,83 chez 888Sport. Au moins une \u00e9quipe muette, 0-0 compris, et la mise de 0,25 unit\u00e9 rapporte 20,75 $ ; les deux marquent, et 25 $ partent. Je donne 55 % \u00e0 ce sc\u00e9nario, la cote en promet \u00e0 peine moins : elle valait encore 1,95 mercredi, le march\u00e9 a corrig\u00e9 dans le sens de cette lecture et effac\u00e9 l&#8217;avantage. Mise minimale donc, comme le d\u00e9taille notre <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">calculateur de mise en unit\u00e9s<\/a> ; le pari rejoindra le <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a>. Le risque est parisien : sans Marquinhos ni Mendes, la d\u00e9fense a conc\u00e9d\u00e9 deux buts \u00e0 Barcelone et un au Havre r\u00e9cemment. 18+, misez seulement ce que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Un 6-0 \u00e0 Villarreal sans quatre titulaires, un entra\u00eeneur qui n\u2019a pas aim\u00e9 son match : le PSG re\u00e7oit Troyes en t\u00eate. Je prends non aux deux \u00e9quipes marquent, \u00e0 1,83.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":17146,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"PSG, cinq victoires de suite, re\u00e7oit l\u2019Estac Troyes : mon pronostic sur les deux \u00e9quipes marquent, avec la cote et la mise pour la 10e journ\u00e9e.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Paris Saint Germain","ba_away_name":"Estac Troyes","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-11-07 20:05:00","ba_venue":"Parc des Princes","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1552815","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"plxx3syt04c","author_id":4,"market":"Les deux \u00e9quipes marquent","selection":"Non","bookmaker":"888Sport","market_key":"btts","selection_key":"no","line":null,"odds":1.83,"stake_units":0.25,"stake_amount":25,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":20.75,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"pending","recorded_at":"2026-11-05 11:29:18","settled_at":"","probability":0.55,"p_market":0.527,"p_used":0.5385,"edge":-0.0145,"market_margin":0.0755,"market_books":9,"stake_rule":"min_no_value"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[19,50],"class_list":["post-17145","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football","ba_sport-ligue-1"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>PSG &#8211; 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