{"id":17324,"date":"2026-11-05T18:45:49","date_gmt":"2026-11-05T17:45:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/crystal-palace-liverpool-muet-depuis-trois-matchs-palace-defie-un-liverpool-doublement-battu\/"},"modified":"2026-11-05T18:46:00","modified_gmt":"2026-11-05T17:46:00","slug":"crystal-palace-liverpool-pronostic-2026-11-08","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/premier-league\/crystal-palace-liverpool-pronostic-2026-11-08\/","title":{"rendered":"Crystal Palace \u2013 Liverpool : muet depuis trois matchs, Palace d\u00e9fie un Liverpool doublement battu"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>La derni\u00e8re sortie de Crystal Palace en championnat s&#8217;est termin\u00e9e \u00e0 dix et sans but : 0-2 \u00e0 Tottenham, avec le carton rouge de Mateta. Suivront environ trois matchs de suspension pour l&#8217;attaquant, et dimanche, Liverpool \u00e0 Selhurst Park. Entre les deux, Palace re\u00e7oit Hoffenheim jeudi soir en Europa League : trois matchs en huit jours pour une \u00e9quipe qui n&#8217;a plus marqu\u00e9 en Premier League depuis trois journ\u00e9es.<\/p>\n<h2>Trois journ\u00e9es sans marquer, et Mateta suspendu<\/h2>\n<p>Newcastle, Brighton, Tottenham : 0-2, 0-5, 0-2, z\u00e9ro but marqu\u00e9 en trois journ\u00e9es de championnat. La Coupe de la Ligue a offert un bol d&#8217;air, 1-0 \u00e0 Fulham, mais le championnat classe Palace dix-huiti\u00e8me, avec sept points en neuf matchs. Pierre Sage, arriv\u00e9 apr\u00e8s le d\u00e9part d&#8217;Oliver Glasner, tient sa place dans un climat lourd : d&#8217;autres noms circulent d\u00e9j\u00e0 pour son fauteuil.<\/p>\n<p>Le personnel, ce dimanche :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.premierinjuries.com\/teams\/crystal-palace\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">suspension et absences<\/a> : Mateta (rouge contre Tottenham, environ trois matchs) ; Tomiyasu et Riad sont out ; Sarr (aine) reste incertain ;<\/li>\n<li>retours annonc\u00e9s : Sage a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 <a href=\"https:\/\/onefootball.com\/en\/news\/crystal-palace-receive-double-injury-boost-ahead-of-liverpool-clash-43729464\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Timber et Strand Larsen \u00ab pr\u00eats \u00e0 jouer \u00bb<\/a>, deux cadres m\u00e9nag\u00e9s la semaine pass\u00e9e.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Deux d\u00e9faites en quatre jours pour Liverpool<\/h2>\n<p>Liverpool, cinqui\u00e8me avec quinze points, a perdu deux fois cette semaine : 0-1 contre Arsenal \u00e0 Anfield dimanche, puis <a href=\"https:\/\/www.liverpoolfc.com\/news\/liverpool-fenerbahce-champions-league-match-report\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">3-2 \u00e0 Fenerbah\u00e7e mercredi<\/a> en Ligue des champions, apr\u00e8s avoir men\u00e9 2-1 sur des buts de Nyoni et d&#8217;Isak. Andoni Iraola n&#8217;a pas non plus la semaine la plus calme. Frimpong (musculaire), Leoni (genou), Ekitike (Achille) et Bradley (genou) manquent \u00e0 l&#8217;appel, et Gravenberch, touch\u00e9 au talon, reste \u00ab du jour au jour \u00bb.<\/p>\n<p>Les cinq derni\u00e8res sorties des deux \u00e9quipes :<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Match<\/th>\n<th>Comp\u00e9tition<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>04\/11<\/td>\n<td>Fenerbah\u00e7e &#8211; Liverpool<\/td>\n<td>Ligue des champions<\/td>\n<td>3-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>01\/11<\/td>\n<td>Liverpool &#8211; Arsenal<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>31\/10<\/td>\n<td>Tottenham &#8211; Crystal Palace<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>2-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>28\/10<\/td>\n<td>Fulham &#8211; Crystal Palace<\/td>\n<td>Coupe de la Ligue<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>28\/10<\/td>\n<td>Liverpool &#8211; Chelsea<\/td>\n<td>Coupe de la Ligue<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>25\/10<\/td>\n<td>Crystal Palace &#8211; Newcastle<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>25\/10<\/td>\n<td>Liverpool &#8211; Brighton<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>2-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>22\/10<\/td>\n<td>Be\u015fikta\u015f &#8211; Crystal Palace<\/td>\n<td>Ligue Europa<\/td>\n<td>2-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>20\/10<\/td>\n<td>Liverpool &#8211; Villarreal<\/td>\n<td>Ligue des champions<\/td>\n<td>4-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>18\/10<\/td>\n<td>Brighton &#8211; Crystal Palace<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>5-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>Selhurst, un terrain qui ne se donne pas<\/h2>\n<p>Les confrontations r\u00e9centes rappellent que Selhurst ne se visite pas comme un terrain ordinaire : Palace y a battu Liverpool 2-1 en septembre 2025, puis accroch\u00e9 Liverpool au Community Shield (2-2) et gagn\u00e9 0-3 \u00e0 Anfield en Coupe de la Ligue un mois plus tard. La derni\u00e8re rencontre, en avril, a tourn\u00e9 3-1 pour Liverpool. Quatre victoires de Palace sur les dix derni\u00e8res confrontations : peu de favoris ont un tel passif contre le dix-huiti\u00e8me.<\/p>\n<h2>Le pari : non aux deux \u00e9quipes qui marquent<\/h2>\n<p>Liverpool est favori \u00e0 1,66 chez 1xbet, et Palace a gliss\u00e9 \u00e0 5,25 chez Bet365 depuis une ouverture \u00e0 5,00 : le march\u00e9 a l\u00e2ch\u00e9 les Londoniens. Je prends le contre-pied sur un march\u00e9 pr\u00e9cis : le non des deux \u00e9quipes qui marquent, \u00e0 2,35 chez Unibet. Il gagne d\u00e8s qu&#8217;une des deux \u00e9quipes ne marque pas (+67,50 $ nets pour 50 $ de mise), il perd si les deux marquent (-50 $). Je donne 46 % de chances au non, le march\u00e9 en promet \u00e0 peine plus de 42 : c&#8217;est l\u00e0 que je vois l&#8217;\u00e9cart.<\/p>\n<p>Le sc\u00e9nario : priv\u00e9 de Mateta et sans but depuis trois journ\u00e9es, Palace ne trouve pas la cage, et Liverpool n&#8217;a pas besoin d&#8217;un festival pour s&#8217;imposer, comme \u00e0 Brighton (2-0) fin octobre. Le pari perd si les retours de Timber et Strand Larsen redonnent un vrai couteau \u00e0 Palace, ou si la d\u00e9fense de Liverpool, encore prise de vitesse \u00e0 Fenerbah\u00e7e, l\u00e2che un but de trop.<\/p>\n<p>0,5 unit\u00e9. La mise est calcul\u00e9e sur ma probabilit\u00e9 m\u00eal\u00e9e \u00e0 celle du march\u00e9 ; ce march\u00e9 est aussi plus tax\u00e9 que le r\u00e9sultat du match, et l&#8217;\u00e9cart r\u00e9el y est plus mince qu&#8217;il n&#8217;y para\u00eet. Une mise mesur\u00e9e, pas une conviction totale. Le <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">calculateur de Kelly<\/a> d\u00e9taille le dimensionnement, mon <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a> suit le r\u00e9sultat match apr\u00e8s match. 18+, misez seulement ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sans but en championnat depuis trois journ\u00e9es et priv\u00e9 de Mateta, Palace re\u00e7oit un Liverpool battu deux fois cette semaine. Je joue le non des deux \u00e9quipes qui marquent, \u00e0 2,35 chez Unibet.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":17325,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Crystal Palace, muet depuis trois matchs, re\u00e7oit Liverpool dimanche : analyse, absents et mon pronostic, non aux deux \u00e9quipes qui marquent \u00e0 2,35.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Crystal Palace","ba_away_name":"Liverpool","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-11-08 14:00:00","ba_venue":"Selhurst Park","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1557459","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"poqgl3ftwhz","author_id":4,"market":"Les deux \u00e9quipes marquent : non","selection":"Non aux deux \u00e9quipes qui marquent","bookmaker":"Unibet","market_key":"btts","selection_key":"no","line":null,"odds":2.35,"stake_units":0.5,"stake_amount":50,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":67.5,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"pending","recorded_at":"2026-11-05 17:46:09","settled_at":"","probability":0.46,"p_market":0.4179,"p_used":0.439,"edge":0.0315,"market_margin":0.0749,"market_books":9,"stake_rule":"kelly"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[19,70],"class_list":["post-17324","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football","ba_sport-premier-league"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Crystal Palace \u2013 Liverpool : muet depuis trois matchs, Palace d\u00e9fie un Liverpool doublement battu &#183; 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