{"id":17389,"date":"2026-11-05T20:21:18","date_gmt":"2026-11-05T19:21:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/brest-lyon-un-favori-sans-entraineur-debarque-au-le-ble\/"},"modified":"2026-11-05T20:21:32","modified_gmt":"2026-11-05T19:21:32","slug":"brest-lyon-pronostic-2026-11-08","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/ligue-1\/brest-lyon-pronostic-2026-11-08\/","title":{"rendered":"Brest \u2013 Lyon : un favori sans entra\u00eeneur d\u00e9barque au Le Bl\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Mercredi soir, l\u2019OL a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ol.fr\/fr\/actualites\/paulo-fonseca-quitte-l-olympique-lyonnais\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">annonc\u00e9 le d\u00e9part de Paulo Fonseca<\/a> vers le Sporting Portugal. Jeudi, ses joueurs sont all\u00e9s chercher un nul (1-1) \u00e0 Anoeta avec Jorge Maciel, l\u2019adjoint promu int\u00e9rimaire, sur le banc. Et dimanche au Le Bl\u00e9, le march\u00e9 les laisse favoris : 2,50 chez Bet365 jeudi matin, devant des Brestois \u00e0 2,92 chez 1xbet.<\/p>\n<p>Cette cote raconte le classement, Lyon troisi\u00e8me avec 17 points. Elle ne dit rien de la semaine du club : un entra\u00eeneur parti en pleine saison, une infirmerie pleine, un d\u00e9placement europ\u00e9en trois jours avant le coup d\u2019envoi. C\u2019est l\u00e0 que je cherche mon pari.<\/p>\n<h2>Fonseca parti mercredi, Maciel sur le banc dimanche<\/h2>\n<p>Le d\u00e9part a \u00e9t\u00e9 act\u00e9 mercredi, cinq millions d\u2019euros d\u2019indemnit\u00e9 et un communiqu\u00e9 officiel regrettant le timing. Maciel conduit l\u2019\u00e9quipe \u00e0 Saint-S\u00e9bastien puis \u00e0 Brest ; le successeur sera annonc\u00e9 au d\u00e9but de la tr\u00eave internationale. Jeudi soir, l\u2019int\u00e9rimaire a align\u00e9 une \u00e9quipe remani\u00e9e, Merah et Boudache d\u2019entr\u00e9e, et en est revenu avec un point.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Forfaits c\u00f4t\u00e9 lyonnais : Openda, \u0160ulc, Morton et Ouedraogo ; Kango reste incertain.<\/li>\n<li>Nuamah et Niakhat\u00e9, alert\u00e9s musculairement, ont rat\u00e9 le voyage au Pays basque ; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.olympique-et-lyonnais.com\/real-sociedad-ol-abner-et-athekame-titulaires-des-alertes-pour-nuamah-et-niakhate,412096.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Maciel : \u00ab On esp\u00e8re les r\u00e9cup\u00e9rer pour le match dimanche \u00e0 Brest \u00bb<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li>C\u00f4t\u00e9 brestois, Chardonnet (mollet) et Le Guen (jambe) manquent \u00e0 l\u2019appel, Versini est incertain.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Au Le Bl\u00e9, Lyon n\u2019a plus gagn\u00e9 depuis deux visites<\/h2>\n<p>L\u2019an dernier, la r\u00e9ception de l\u2019OL avait fini sur un 0-0 ; la saison d\u2019avant, Brest avait gagn\u00e9 2-1 devant son public. Sur ses deux derni\u00e8res visites en Finist\u00e8re, Lyon est reparti avec un point sur six.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Rencontre<\/th>\n<th>Comp\u00e9tition<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>18 janv. 2026<\/td>\n<td>Lyon &#8211; Brest<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>2 nov. 2025<\/td>\n<td>Brest &#8211; Lyon<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>0-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>2 mars 2025<\/td>\n<td>Lyon &#8211; Brest<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11 janv. 2025<\/td>\n<td>Brest &#8211; Lyon<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>14 avril 2024<\/td>\n<td>Lyon &#8211; Brest<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>4-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>Derby gagn\u00e9, onze inchang\u00e9 : Brest sait o\u00f9 il va<\/h2>\n<p>Lundi \u00e0 Lorient, Brest a remport\u00e9 le derby breton, 0-2, buts d\u2019Ajorque puis d\u2019Edjouma dans le temps additionnel, et sign\u00e9 son premier match sans but encaiss\u00e9 en Ligue 1 cette saison. Julien Lachuer, arriv\u00e9 sur le banc cet \u00e9t\u00e9, aligne le m\u00eame onze de d\u00e9part pour la quatri\u00e8me fois d\u2019affil\u00e9e : selon les donn\u00e9es Opta reprises par <a href=\"https:\/\/www.letelegramme.fr\/sports\/football\/stade-brestois\/jaime-beaucoup-la-force-des-habitudes-mais-le-stade-brestois-fait-partie-des-cinq-clubs-europeens-dont-le-onze-tourne-le-moins-cette-saison-7151681.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Le T\u00e9l\u00e9gramme<\/a>, le Stade Brestois fait partie des cinq clubs des grands championnats dont l\u2019\u00e9quipe tourne le moins.<\/p>\n<p>Dixi\u00e8me avec 12 points, Brest joue \u00e0 domicile avec six jours de repos ; Lyon, lui, en aura eu trois entre Anoeta et le coup d\u2019envoi.<\/p>\n<h2>Mon pari : Brest ou le nul \u00e0 1,60<\/h2>\n<p>Le vainqueur sec Brest vaut 2,92 chez 1xbet : il faudrait battre le troisi\u00e8me de Ligue 1. Je couvre le sc\u00e9nario le plus probable de ce match, un Lyon diminu\u00e9 qui ne perd pas forc\u00e9ment mais ne gagne pas. \u00c0 1,60 chez 1xbet, le march\u00e9 donne \u00e0 Brest ou nul un peu moins de deux chances sur trois ; je l\u2019\u00e9value \u00e0 66 %. La ligne s\u2019est d\u00e9j\u00e0 resserr\u00e9e cette semaine, de 1,66 \u00e0 1,60.<\/p>\n<p>La mise calcul\u00e9e est de 0,75 unit\u00e9, 75 $, pour 45 $ nets si Brest gagne ou accroche le nul ; si Lyon s\u2019impose, les 75 $ sont perdus. L\u2019avantage est r\u00e9el mais sans exc\u00e8s : le <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">calculateur de Kelly<\/a> d\u00e9taille la logique de cette mise, et le r\u00e9sultat ira au <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a>, gagn\u00e9 ou perdu. 18+, ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019OL a perdu Paulo Fonseca trois jours avant le Le Bl\u00e9 et reste favori des bookmakers. Je prends Brest ou le nul \u00e0 1,60 : la valeur est r\u00e9elle, mais mesur\u00e9e.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":17390,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Brest \u2013 Lyon (Ligue 1, 8 nov.) : l\u2019OL orphelin de Fonseca reste favori. 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