{"id":17507,"date":"2026-11-05T23:10:28","date_gmt":"2026-11-05T22:10:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/lens-marseille-quatre-jours-apres-le-1-9-le-marche-na-pas-change-de-favori\/"},"modified":"2026-11-05T23:10:39","modified_gmt":"2026-11-05T22:10:39","slug":"lens-marseille-pronostic-2026-11-08","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/ligue-1\/lens-marseille-pronostic-2026-11-08\/","title":{"rendered":"Lens – Marseille : quatre jours apr\u00e8s le 1-9, le march\u00e9 n’a pas chang\u00e9 de favori"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mercredi soir, Bollaert-Delelis a regard\u00e9 Lens prendre neuf buts contre C\u00f4me, un 9-1 qui \u00e9gale le record de la Ligue des champions<\/a>, tripl\u00e9 de Douvikas compris. Dimanche, le m\u00eame stade c\u00e9l\u00e8bre les 120 ans du club : le \u00ab Match de la m\u00e9moire \u00bb<\/a> ouvrira sur une minute d’applaudissements et des tribunes debout. Puis le ballon roulera, avec Lens encore favori du march\u00e9. Ce prix n’a pas fini de dig\u00e9rer le mercredi soir, et c’est l\u00e0 que je cherche mon pari.<\/p>\n

Quatre jours pour recoller un bloc<\/h2>\n

Une claque pareille ne se transmet pas telle quelle au match suivant : Lens a battu le Paris FC ici m\u00eame il y a quinze jours, gagn\u00e9 \u00e0 Troyes juste avant, et cette \u00e9quipe reste capable de la grande soir\u00e9e devant son public. Mais la d\u00e9fense vit au rythme de la Ligue des champions : troisi\u00e8me d\u00e9faite de rang mercredi, douze buts encaiss\u00e9s sur les deux derniers matchs europ\u00e9ens, un bloc qui a c\u00e9d\u00e9 \u00e0 Bruges (0-3) puis s’est effondr\u00e9 devant C\u00f4me. \u00c0 l’entra\u00eenement de lundi, Odsonne \u00c9douard, Isma\u00eblo Ganiou, Abdallah Sima et Maik Nawrocki<\/a>, bless\u00e9s, manquaient d\u00e9j\u00e0. Une ligne qui prend neuf buts chez elle ne se r\u00e9pare pas en trois s\u00e9ances.<\/p>\n

Marseille marque, m\u00eame en rentrant de Rh\u00e9nanie<\/h2>\n

Le calendrier sert Lens : une journ\u00e9e de r\u00e9cup\u00e9ration de plus, aucun d\u00e9placement, quand l’OM rentrait dans la nuit de son 0-0 arrach\u00e9 \u00e0 Leverkusen<\/a>, premier point europ\u00e9en de sa saison. En Ligue 1, les Marseillais racontent autre chose : neuf points sur neuf contre Angers, Le Havre et Toulouse, onze buts marqu\u00e9s, cinq encaiss\u00e9s, une sixi\u00e8me place \u00e0 deux points devant Lens. Cornelius reste absent de longue dur\u00e9e ; Emerson Palmieri et Harit n’avaient pas fait le voyage de jeudi. Sur les cinq derni\u00e8res confrontations, l’OM en a gagn\u00e9 trois, Lens deux, et chacun a gagn\u00e9 au stade de l’autre.<\/p>\n

L’\u00e9cart entre les deux s’est fait en Europe<\/h2>\n

Cinq derniers matchs de chaque \u00e9quipe, scores lus du point de vue de l’\u00e9quipe nomm\u00e9e sur chaque ligne :<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u00c9quipe<\/th>\nDate<\/th>\nAdversaire<\/th>\nComp\u00e9tition<\/th>\nScore<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Lens<\/td>\n04\/11<\/td>\nC\u00f4me (dom.)<\/td>\nLigue des champions<\/td>\n1-9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Lens<\/td>\n30\/10<\/td>\nLille (ext.)<\/td>\nLigue 1<\/td>\n0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Lens<\/td>\n24\/10<\/td>\nParis FC (dom.)<\/td>\nLigue 1<\/td>\n2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Lens<\/td>\n21\/10<\/td>\nBruges (ext.)<\/td>\nLigue des champions<\/td>\n0-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Lens<\/td>\n17\/10<\/td>\nTroyes (ext.)<\/td>\nLigue 1<\/td>\n3-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Marseille<\/td>\n05\/11<\/td>\nLeverkusen (ext.)<\/td>\nLigue Europa<\/td>\n0-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Marseille<\/td>\n01\/11<\/td>\nToulouse (dom.)<\/td>\nLigue 1<\/td>\n2-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Marseille<\/td>\n25\/10<\/td>\nLe Havre (dom.)<\/td>\nLigue 1<\/td>\n4-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Marseille<\/td>\n22\/10<\/td>\nSturm Graz (ext.)<\/td>\nLigue Europa<\/td>\n0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Marseille<\/td>\n18\/10<\/td>\nAngers (ext.)<\/td>\nLigue 1<\/td>\n5-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Mon pari : Marseille ou nul, 0,75 unit\u00e9<\/h2>\n

Les cotes ont commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 corriger, sans aller au bout : Lens est mont\u00e9 de 2,12 \u00e0 2,22 chez Betano, Marseille est descendu sous 3,20 chez 1xbet, le nul se paie 4,09. Je prends la double chance Marseille ou nul \u00e0 1,75 chez 1xbet : la cote promet un peu plus de 57 % de chances, je les vois \u00e0 61. Ce pari ne perd que si Lens gagne, et il faudrait pour cela que sa d\u00e9fense tienne quatre-vingt-dix minutes face \u00e0 une \u00e9quipe qui vient de marquer onze buts en trois matchs de championnat. La r\u00e9action de Bollaert et la fatigue du retour marseillais existent bel et bien : c’est pour \u00e7a que je couvre le nul plut\u00f4t que de prendre la victoire s\u00e8che.<\/p>\n

Avec 61 % contre 57 %, l’\u00e9cart est net sans \u00eatre \u00e9norme : la mise calcul\u00e9e<\/a> tombe \u00e0 0,75 unit\u00e9, 75 $. Marseille gagne ou fait nul : 56,40 $ de gain net. Lens s’impose : les 75 $ sont perdus. Ce pari part au bilan public<\/a> comme tous les autres, gagn\u00e9 comme perdu. 18+, ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Lens re\u00e7oit l’OM dimanche pour ses 120 ans, quatre jours apr\u00e8s avoir pris neuf buts contre C\u00f4me, et reste favori \u00e0 2,22 : je prends Marseille ou nul (X2) \u00e0 1,75.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":17508,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Lens – Marseille : quatre jours apr\u00e8s le 1-9, Lens reste favori. 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